S&P500 - Weekly Forecasting Competition for 2021

Nowler

Experienced member
1,488 217
Hi Nowler et al,

Because it is the last week and couple of bods can take the top place, I will have to exclude this forecast. Otherwise it will impact placings. Sorry matey but last week is always somewhat delicate on outcome of places.

I've put your entry in grey as a late entry but will not be awarded any points or medals.

(y)

All good buddy :)
Understandable
 
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Atilla

Legendary member
19,704 3,024
1616841187160.png


Well done to our golden boy Barjon
who is the
SPX500 Forecasting
Champion for Quarter 1 - 2021.


Barjon made some heavenly calls taking 3 gold medals in 6 weekly forecasts. Two calls coming within just less than half a point. That is quite a feat.

1616841388746.png



Barjon

1616840714216.png


1nvest has come in 4 points behind with 9 points takes silver.
Oscar Reed, who held the lead for a while in third place, takes the bronze medal with 8 points.

1616841511952.png

As it happens no one finished on negative points.

Now for some stats over the first quarter.

The average points scoring was 6.2
Average Forecast variance was 115 points.
Actual Average Trading Range ATR was 83 points.
Forecasters were 2/3 bullish and 1/3 bearish.
Most interestingly - Weighted and Simple Average players were just that Average and did well to get 7 points each.
Sadly - the Black Box system didn't do so well with just 3 points off the bottom. I was expecting BB to do better. I'll have to have some words with the creator...

Thank you for all participating.

We will be starting Quarter 2 next week so scores go back to zero. As before there will be running score board too until the end of the year so all points count.

Any new forecasters who would like to join the league table - next week would be an ideal time to start.

Wishing you all a wonderful weekend of sun and fun... :)



 

counter_violent

Legendary member
11,195 2,984
View attachment 298453

Well done to our golden boy Barjon
who is the
SPX500 Forecasting
Champion for Quarter 1 - 2021.


Barjon made some heavenly calls taking 3 gold medals in 6 weekly forecasts. Two calls coming within just less than half a point. That is quite a feat.

View attachment 298454


Barjon

View attachment 298452

1nvest has come in 4 points behind with 9 points takes silver.
Oscar Reed, who held the lead for a while in third place, takes the bronze medal with 8 points.

View attachment 298455
As it happens no one finished on negative points.

Now for some stats over the first quarter.

The average points scoring was 6.2
Average Forecast variance was 115 points.
Actual Average Trading Range ATR was 83 points.
Forecasters were 2/3 bullish and 1/3 bearish.
Most interestingly - Weighted and Simple Average players were just that Average and did well to get 7 points each.
Sadly - the Black Box system didn't do so well with just 3 points off the bottom. I was expecting BB to do better. I'll have to have some words with the creator...

Thank you for all participating.

We will be starting Quarter 2 next week so scores go back to zero. As before there will be running score board too until the end of the year so all points count.

Any new forecasters who would like to join the league table - next week would be an ideal time to start.

Wishing you all a wonderful weekend of sun and fun... :)



Any word back from Sharky on prizes?

Well played Barjon.
 

counter_violent

Legendary member
11,195 2,984
3909.3 ta
 
Last edited:

Nowler

Experienced member
1,488 217
Crap... I keep forgetting until 1-2 hours after the deadline.

3950 for me if not too late
 
 
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