S&P500 - Weekly Forecasting Competition for 2022

Velo

Member
Arggh!

Bank Holiday laissez-faire has emptied my head. Quick before it turns 3pm maybe I can sneak in under the radar

4100 thanks
 

Atilla

Legendary member
Hello to you all you fab forecasters... What a turn this week 35 has taken with a sweltering 581 point variance in forecasts. Really??? That's up from 130 last week. Moreover, the field is still all so bullish, 6 bulls, v 2 bears. One is the trend following metric and the other is lil ol me who is down in the dumps. Amazing stuff.

Just look at these forecasts. Shocking. 1nvest is more bullish than I am bearish. Market has sure got some steam still left in the system. If I get another -1 point I might deck myself. Oh dear me :(

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Wishing you all good fortune and happy week. :)
 

1nvest

Well-known member
Hello to you all you fab forecasters... What a turn this week 35 has taken with a sweltering 581 point variance in forecasts. Really??? That's up from 130 last week. Moreover, the field is still all so bullish, 6 bulls, v 2 bears. One is the trend following metric and the other is lil ol me who is down in the dumps. Amazing stuff.

Just look at these forecasts. Shocking. 1nvest is more bullish than I am bearish. Market has sure got some steam still left in the system. If I get another -1 point I might deck myself. Oh dear me :(

View attachment 321201


Wishing you all good fortune and happy week. :)
I might have put a 3 instead of a zero..that'll teach me
 

Atilla

Legendary member
Hey guys,

There are 4 weeks of forecast left to the end of Quarter-3. I'll continue running the competition until then. Sadly, I will not be able to do Quarter-4.

Anyone who is familiar with Excel spreadsheet can take over running it.

It is pretty rudimentary and the formulas are not too heavy. Make it your own as they say and change any elements you choose. Happy to copy the spreadsheet up to T2W.

Have a think about it and let me know if you would like to volunteer to help run an enjoyable little forecasting competition.

All the best :)
 

Velo

Member
Hey guys,

There are 4 weeks of forecast left to the end of Quarter-3. I'll continue running the competition until then. Sadly, I will not be able to do Quarter-4.

Anyone who is familiar with Excel spreadsheet can take over running it.

It is pretty rudimentary and the formulas are not too heavy. Make it your own as they say and change any elements you choose. Happy to copy the spreadsheet up to T2W.

Have a think about it and let me know if you would like to volunteer to help run an enjoyable little forecasting competition.

All the best :)Sorry to hear of that Atilla.

I think you've shown immense and commendable self-discipline to manage this thing for as long as you have, so thank you for your efforts.

I struggle just to complete a weekly entry, let alone what you contribute
- having to compile the results etc., week-in week-out.

Whatever demands have been placed upon you, I feel sure that admirable self-discipline will reveal the perseverance you possess to overcome all obstacles in your path. 👏 👍🖐
 

Atilla

Legendary member
Thanks Velo for your inspirational words of support.

There are no demands or obstacles, but more a desire to head off elsewhere to new horizons and adventures. :)


4014 for me this week.
 

Velo

Member
Tell us more.
I'm sure he will, but when he says:
"... but more a desire to head off elsewhere to new horizons and adventures"

I think it implies he's joined some sort of joint-international travel/expeditionary organisation and what he really meant to say was:

"To explore strange new worlds, to seek out new life and new civilisations, and to boldly go where no man has gone before".
 

Atilla

Legendary member
Here goes week 36 in 2022. We have 5 bulls and 3 bears. Cat's Paw true to form is twice as bullish as the trend following system is bearish.

Weighted metrics are both bulls but market sentiment is on a downer. Most peeps have been focusing on consumer impact of high energy and fuel bills. Now small businesses are wondering what they'll do? oooohhhh?

Wishing you all good prosperous trading...

1662385887790.png



:)
 

Atilla

Legendary member
3859
And Atilla, if you dont get any joy, i'll try and take it on. at least to see off the last quarter
I'm finding my time also possibly heading in different directions, my methods are mostly alien to the vast majority here

That's excellent news, thank you 1nvest.

I'll wrap up the quarter end and send you the complete XLS with the 4 quarter primed ready to go. (y)
 

counter_violent

Legendary member
3859
And Atilla, if you dont get any joy, i'll try and take it on. at least to see off the last quarter
I'm finding my time also possibly heading in different directions, my methods are mostly alien to the vast majority here

Thanks for taking it on.

Tell us more about your alien methods. :)
 
 
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