FTSE 100 intraday trading - JULY 2003

bonsai

Veteren member
FTSE 100 Intraday trading - JULY

....................................JULY STARTS HERE ..........................................[img src="http://www.proudtobebritish.co.uk/ptbb/intropics/uk.gif"]

<img src="http://chart.neural.com/servlet/GIFChart?sym1=ls:ukx&cbcku=FFFFFF&cbckl=EBF5FF&cbckd=cccc99&ctxtu=000000&ctxtd=000000&ctxtl=000000&csym1=000099&csym3=000000&cbckg=FFFFFF&cind7a=FF0033&cind7=009900&cind8=blu&cind9=6666CC&avg1=55&avg2=510&ind7=macd&periodMACDLow=510&periodMACDHigh=60&height=350&width=450&source=SP&multipane=1&watermark=splogoblue.gif&dres=min&plottype=range&ignore=1220025226&dperiod=days&coname=1&image=PNG"></img>
<img src="http://cchart.finance.ukl.yahoo.com/z?s=^ftse&a=v&p=m100,m50&t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=c&i=uk">
 
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bonsai

Veteren member
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bonsai

Veteren member
At least on July 1st, we are higher than we were on January 1st !

But only just. It seems to me the buy and hold strategies leave a
lot to be desired ?
 

lockstock

Well-known member
Morning chaps & chapesses,

Hi Kev,

Ain't seen Surfspike on my surfing. Do you miss the fish tank? LOL


Aisian markets seriously =ive last night.

Dow at the bottom of it's current upward channel .

New month.

Could be a +ive move Northwards- (kind of flys in the face of Sunseekers' 4th July predictions) whose views I respect immensely. Ok three days- will do. All IMHO
 

bonsai

Veteren member
lockstock
just for you, I have added another bit of eye candy ?

LOL
 

bonsai

Veteren member
2 if possible
1 bounce off trend line from 4200
2 break of 1 hr ma

or change of trend in Winners/Losers Line
or fib level
or bounce on gain line
etc

this bounce looks a bit suspect.
 

ChowClown

Senior member
...agreed, I'm looking for 1 more higher low on the RSI and will see if that looks more promising. Thanks for your reply.
 

bonsai

Veteren member
don't use the rsi you get on charts. seems too ambiguous for me.
I have my own version which works much better.
But you have to have a real time spreadsheet to do the calcs.
It involves working off the averages to calc the ups/downs.
Very very smooth and tops and bottoms very well on ftse.
I'll post a picture if I get time later on.
 

ChowClown

Senior member
...that would be great Bonsai, thanks.
 

bonsai

Veteren member
Chow
here is the pic.
since I snapped it, rsi is now lower and in oversold territory
so the trigger is cocked !
 

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ChowClown

Senior member
Thanks for the insight, much appreciated - intraday chart forming a nice triangle now, shouldn't be too long b4 she blows.
 

kevin546

Established member
Well the FTSE has dipped its foot in the water below 4000 today, and is testing the lower channel of this last rise from 3300.

The question, is this a retracement of this rise before it gets another attempt up, OR is it a continuation of the downtrend with this last rise just being a correction of the previous fall.

I don't know is my answer maybe someone with knowledge of EW can assist, for my part what I can mention is that at the very least it will produce a retracement and on that basis a rise of approx 900 points would produce approx point reversals of 30% = 270 or around 3930, 50% = 450 or around 3750 or a conservative 60% (because the upper level is said to be between 62 - 66% but 60 is easier,LOL) = 540 or around 3660.

The % are conservative f you wont to be more precise then there are also the Fibonacci retracements which are slightly different to the basic retracement theory 0f 33%, 50% and 66%, Fibonacci figures (if my memory serves me correctly) are 38%, 50% and 62%. Often when the upper level is breached ten it can be in the 80% region and obviously if strong support then 10 - 20%. Although we have not yet had a confirmation with a closing figure below 4000 the intraday moves are already around a 25% retracement.

The move from 3300 to 4200 must be a wave so can anyone shed some light on this for possible future analysis

Kevin
 

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