Brexit and the Consequences

Jason101

Well-known member
Oct 9, 2008
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It's a tough one to call for sure, but on balance I think the UK has more shocks to come especially given that all sides are digging their heels in and hardening their positions.

Might be an idea to run through the various scenarios.
Lol, I wouldn't want to go all in now.
Maybe starting off with 10-15% of a full size position (to average in, not average down.)
or..
Use the next shock waves as a better starting point (say a vote of no confidence or general election.)
 

Atilla

Well-known member
Nov 15, 2006
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Sorry I just don't see the positive talk.
But if there is positive talk, then great gbp up.
If there's a crash out with no deal or a general election I just don't think we have much further to fall.
After all what the markets dislike the most is uncertainty.



That is what I am thinking, the Euro has Italian problems that are not going away any time soon and should continue the decline of the Euro.
And the pound has stopped responding bearishly to bad brexit news.

I don't believe the latter is just as a result of the former, I reckon the market might be priced in for a potential no deal now.

I'm not even sure that a snap election would sink the pound to much against the Euro, as this is already a well known possibility.
The talks and extensions of transmission period is seen as positive that a deal can be made.

All up in the air. Agree about more shocls and upsets ahead.

Elections Id see as positive raising hopes of over turning brexit but even then likely to be a roller coaster ride.
 

Jason101

Well-known member
Oct 9, 2008
1,357
212
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The talks and extensions of transmission period is seen as positive that a deal can be made.

All up in the air. Agree about more shocls and upsets ahead.

Elections Id see as positive raising hopes of over turning brexit but even then likely to be a roller coaster ride.
I'd agree with all your points there Atilla
 

Signalcalc

Well-known member
May 21, 2016
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LOL

Let's negotiate and talk about it?

What you offering?
In the true spirit of Antifa, I can offer a blood soaked, signed copy of THE baseball bat used on every anti-Brexit demonstration thus far.

Alternatively a friction-less border between Brighton & Hove and the rest of the UK, with a special corridor to London and Brussels, no border checks, just electronic tagging for residents of the special administration area, stray too far in to the UK and the baseball team will scramble. :LOL:
 
Likes: mike.

Splitlink

Well-known member
Nov 18, 2001
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We are probably now at the closest to a no deal Brexit as we have ever come.
Tonight's news of stalled talks from Brussels, hardly moved the pound at all.
Just a little price blip.
This makes me wonder if the worst case scenario for the gbp is now priced in?

If so then it must make sense that now is the time to start slowly building a long position in the gbp, no?
:D Are you asking this lot?
 
Aug 21, 2004
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Manchester
Good film, explains much.

I'm minded of my time as an apprentice where my mentor had previously served in the Middle East as RAF ground crew. He had nothing good to say about the region and that the inhabitants were just tribal, ungovernable, untrustworthy, backward rabble. Obviously, I had no understanding nor interest in his utterances back then, but time has a funny way of crystalysing and clarifying truth and fiction.

I can understand why the young cannot arrive at correct, logical conclusions (no life experiences to draw on), but I can only imagine that some of our elders who ought to know better, have simply not mixed with the right people or perhaps not searched for the right information themselves. Perhaps they put too much faith in the now discredited MSM. An easy mistake to make given that we ought to be able to trust our political leaders.

Was there ever a time I wonder when MSM was not just propaganda!:rolleyes:

Btw, all you have succeeded in doing is convince me that I need to start my own country. Anyone up for it? :LOL:
https://www.yenisafak.com/en/world/...ed-then-dismembered-while-still-alive-3463764

Hmm, a sticky end indeed.
 

Atilla

Well-known member
Nov 15, 2006
18,257
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In the true spirit of Antifa, I can offer a blood soaked, signed copy of THE baseball bat used on every anti-Brexit demonstration thus far.

Alternatively a friction-less border between Brighton & Hove and the rest of the UK, with a special corridor to London and Brussels, no border checks, just electronic tagging for residents of the special administration area, stray too far in to the UK and the baseball team will scramble. :LOL:
Well if that's a baseball bat in your hands I can only imagine you are not happy to negotiate with me and simply offering punishment and beatings.

I didn't have you down as an EU man but I think I see where you are coming from.


So what are you 'really' offering me then? Go on make me an offer I can't refuse otherwise I'm walking! ;)
 

Atilla

Well-known member
Nov 15, 2006
18,257
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Is this numpty the best you can muster.

What a dork.

Brexiteers made loadsa promises they can't deliver.

Blind as a bat dimwit.

So you go to referendum, promise the world to the people and then claim promises broken.

Have you notice he simply says broken promises without outlining what they are?


Have access to the common market but not recognise Treaty of Rome or ECJ is just not happening. It's total and utter B0LL0X!

Take back control of our money???

We do have control of our money. Membership costs money. Leave the market then don't pay. What you want to be member of a club and because we import more than export you don't want to pay fees??? Who's blinking world of rules do you Brexiteers live in?

UK benefits from collective bargaining and trade agreements EU has with many other bodies around the world. Who's gooing to pay to support that infrastructure. All the standards rules and regulations demanded and introduced by UK, who do you think is going to enforce, govern and manage those rules. Numpties aren't aware Gove is talking about raising animal husbandry rules and regs to raise standards. That means more regulation and directives from the UK. Goes totally unpicked and unchallenged. His fecked up Education and wants to do the same to Farming. Bunch of freaks.

If you don't wish to be party to those agreements get out and make your own deals and setup up your own governing costly bodies.

Brexiteers haven't a clue. Living in cloud cuckooo land. Close your eyes and wish away. :LOL::LOL::LOL:


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