Hellen's thoughts

[Hellena Trade]

#GBPUSD
🔔(UPDATE) GBP/USD (4H): SHORT to min wave "4" area 1.30100.
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➡️Consolidation of the flat price has been delayed, but I am not in a hurry to cancel the forecast. I believe that by the end of the week we will see a breakout of the conditional flat boundaries (1.32143 and 1.30846).
Of course, to a greater extent I count on overcoming the level of 1.30846 after which trades will be set to breakeven.

#SPX500
5️⃣ SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6775.
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➡️Dear colleagues, according to the last forecast the price is at the support level, but as it turned out, the correction in wave “4” is a bit more complicated than I thought.
Wave “4” consists of three waves “ABC” and should be over soon. The upward movement is still in priority, but I will target the not so distant resistance area of 6775.
Once it is reached, we will think about how to reach higher levels.

#GOLD
🔔(UPDATE)🥇 GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4382.
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➡️Colleagues, I know you have a lot of questions about overcoming the cost of the support area.
But I've always said that it's just an area, so there can be errors.
At this point, I expect the upward movement to resume despite the fact that there are some changes in the wave pattern for waves “12345”, where wave “4” has gone a bit further than expected.
If the price updates the local low of 3925 - the forecast will be canceled or revised.

 

[HB123]

#GBPUSD
🔔(UPDATE) GBP/USD (4H): SHORT to min wave "4" area 1.30100.
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➡️Consolidation of the flat price has been delayed, but I am not in a hurry to cancel the forecast. I believe that by the end of the week we will see a breakout of the conditional flat boundaries (1.32143 and 1.30846).
Of course, to a greater extent I count on overcoming the level of 1.30846 after which trades will be set to breakeven.

#SPX500
5️⃣ SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6775.
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➡️Dear colleagues, according to the last forecast the price is at the support level, but as it turned out, the correction in wave “4” is a bit more complicated than I thought.
Wave “4” consists of three waves “ABC” and should be over soon. The upward movement is still in priority, but I will target the not so distant resistance area of 6775.
Once it is reached, we will think about how to reach higher levels.

#GOLD
🔔(UPDATE)🥇 GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4382.
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➡️Colleagues, I know you have a lot of questions about overcoming the cost of the support area.
But I've always said that it's just an area, so there can be errors.
At this point, I expect the upward movement to resume despite the fact that there are some changes in the wave pattern for waves “12345”, where wave “4” has gone a bit further than expected.
If the price updates the local low of 3925 - the forecast will be canceled or revised.

• Similar to you I see the EURUSD pair coming lower between 1.15296 - 1.14981 region where there is a fairvalue gap which I have highlighted in the chart. The initial move lower (highlighted with the blue arrow) was also accompanied with above average volume.
• Gold created what looks like a hammer candlestick on slightly below average volume near previous resistance now turned into support and within a fair value gap support zone. Under normal situation the hammer formation around support after a brief down trend might indicate a potential reversal signal. However, one needs to bear in mind that this has occured on slightly below average volume. The slightly lower than average volume suggests less conviction behind the buyer's pushback, making the potential reversal less certain on its own.
• For the S&P500 I see it still as bullish until we hit the 7400 region where we have an equality move from the previous significant drop. I have attached a chart that I created on 29th July 2025 and believe that it still remains valid.
• I have attached relevant charts with this reply and would really welcome your thoughts on the analysis.
• Also, great work with your analysis! I think you do a wonderful job. Keep it up!

 

[Hellena Trade]

#GBPUSD
🔔(UPDATE)GBP/USD (4H): SHORT to min wave "4" area 1.30100.
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➡️I recommend to set trade to breakeven.
(Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level).

#SPX500
🔔(UPDATE)5️⃣ SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6775.
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➡️The price actively seeks the target area, which means the completion of the correction in wave “4”.
I recommend to set trade to breakeven.
(Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level).

#EURUSD
🔔(UPDATE)EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area 1.14647.
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➡️Price has overcome most of the points towards the target. I think we will soon see a small correction where we can profitably enter the position again.
⚡️I recommend to set trade to breakeven.
(Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level).

 

[Hellena Trade]

• Similar to you I see the EURUSD pair coming lower between 1.15296 - 1.14981 region where there is a fairvalue gap which I have highlighted in the chart. The initial move lower (highlighted with the blue arrow) was also accompanied with above average volume.
• Gold created what looks like a hammer candlestick on slightly below average volume near previous resistance now turned into support and within a fair value gap support zone. Under normal situation the hammer formation around support after a brief down trend might indicate a potential reversal signal. However, one needs to bear in mind that this has occured on slightly below average volume. The slightly lower than average volume suggests less conviction behind the buyer's pushback, making the potential reversal less certain on its own.
• For the S&P500 I see it still as bullish until we hit the 7400 region where we have an equality move from the previous significant drop. I have attached a chart that I created on 29th July 2025 and believe that it still remains valid.
• I have attached relevant charts with this reply and would really welcome your thoughts on the analysis.
• Also, great work with your analysis! I think you do a wonderful job. Keep it up!

View attachment 344629

View attachment 344630


View attachment 344631

Thank you very much for your appreciation of my work) Well, apparently our thoughts are similar, so I do not know what else to write about your predictions. I think it's great.)

 

[Hellena Trade]

#SPX500
✔️5️⃣ SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6775.
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👀What can I say?) Both the target and support areas have been achieved, no matter in what sequence)

#Oil
🛢Oil (4H): LONG to the area of the maximum of wave “A”.
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➡️Colleagues, the past forecast has not been canceled, but I see some changes and therefore feel it is necessary to make a fresh forecast.
Apparently, the corrective wave “B” has extended to the area of 57.930. This is quite close to the low of wave “C” at 56.408 and the price should not update it, otherwise there will be a full-fledged break of the structure.
In connection with the above, I think that the price is already completing the downward movement and I expect the resumption of the upward movement at least to the area of the maximum of wave “A” - 62.990.

 

[Hellena Trade]

#GBPUSD
🔔(UPDATE) GBP/USD (4H): SHORT to min wave "4" area 1.30100.
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➡️I think the target will be reached this week and wave “5” will update the low of 1.30103. The forecast is dragging and maybe it makes sense to start a new one, but I need confirmation of the downtrend.


#Oil
🔔(UPDATE)🛢Oil (4H): LONG to the area of the maximum of wave “A”.
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➡️Price is showing a reaction to the 57.93 area, but I would like to see the level reach at least 60.10 to add confidence to the upside.
At this point, a wave “B” low update is possible and that's fine.
We are waiting for the movement to develop.

#GOLD
🥇 GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4382 (Wave 3).
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➡️In the past forecast, many have rightly pointed out that wave “4” went behind the high of wave “2” and yet we are not dealing with a diagonal.
This means that the waves have stretched and have a larger range of motion and now the correction in wave “2” is ending.
Essentially the upward movement is still prioritized and I expect two scenarios:

1) Continuation of the upward movement to the resistance area of 4382 (market entry)
2) Reaching the support area 3994.4, after which the correction can be considered complete and only then the movement to the area 4382 will start.

 

[Hellena Trade]

GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4382 (Wave 3).
There's a slight error, of course. I apologize. Wave “b” should be at the place of “c”, and ‘c’ below (where wave “2” ends).

 

[Hellena Trade]

#SPX500
5️⃣ SPX500 (4H): LONG to MAX of wave "3" of 6928.
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➡️Colleagues, we continue the previous scenario of upward movement in the impulse “12345”.
I expect a small correction in the middle order wave “2” approximately to the area of 38.2%-50% Fibonacci levels (6675).
Then I expect a continuation of the upward movement to the maximum of the wave "3" of the higher order 6928.4.
It is possible that the first wave may be stretched, which may mean a correction-free movement to the target.

📣Fundamental Context.
Market sentiment remains cautiously bullish ahead of this week’s US data releases. Investors continue to price in a softer Fed policy path for 2026, which supports the equity market after the recent correction.

US Treasury yields remain under pressure, and the latest macro indicators — especially labor market cooling and weaker business activity components — reinforce expectations of an economic slowdown. This backdrop typically favors equity upside as markets look ahead to potential policy easing.


#EURUSD
EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the MIN of wave "3" 1.14647.
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➡️We continue to monitor the decline in downward momentum. In the last forecast the target was almost reached, but the correction turned out to be stronger than we thought, which does not cancel the forecast, but just gives us an opportunity to enter a short position once again quite favorably.
I expect that the small wave “b” is either over or almost over and the price is about to start its decline to the support area at 1.14647.
This movement should be a confirmation of the completion of the large correction (red) “ABC”.