ARM Hldgs.(ARM)...

Riz

Experienced member
1,266 5
Up +4.5 to 281.5...once again disappointing shorters taking positions with great appetite early morning...

I got in after it bounced from 270 at 274...

Riz

LONDON (AFX) - Shares in ARM Holding PLC were slightly higher in mid-morning trade after Merrill Lynch issued a positive note on the chip designer in which it predicted the group will post strong results for the rest of the year, dealers said.

The US-owned broker said a presentation from ARM chief executive Robin Saxby leaves it convinced the company will post third and fourth quarter will meet or beat the company's 40 pct revenue growth target.

While it anticipates weak wireless and networking revenues, this will likely be balanced out by robust storage, imaging, consumer, and automotive sales, said Merrill, which repeated its "buy" rating and 400 pence price target.

Looking beyond the current year, the broker said software and platforms will be the key to future revenue growth.

"The software market is important because helping customers integrate hardware and software is a very high value-add process and ARM can generate multiple royalties (semiconductor and software) from the same end product," said Merrill.

There was a lot of interest in ARM's new package of fast-time-to-market wireless platforms at a recent industry conference in Cambridge, added Merrill.
 

shelman

1
439 1
Thanks for that link Riz, it seems a good site.
Is there a connection between 'The Street' and the site of the same name which folded some time ago?

I see ARM closed up here and down in US. Monday could be interesting ... a possible bounce on the NAS?... its due but lets wait and see.

Steve
 

Riz

Experienced member
1,266 5
Hi Steve,

As far as I know Street UK belonged to those in US...

Hope you're enjoying +ve trades :)

Riz
 

y2k

Junior member
40 0
Best value tech short

ARM looks to be the best value tech to sell short, suspect sub 225p by Wednesday. Agree that ARM is sentiment driven, the sentiment this week will be the most negative we have seen so far this year. In my opinion we shall crash through previous year lows on FTSE and Nasdaq.
 

Riz

Experienced member
1,266 5
Now wouldnt it be nice to catch ARM at 225 and pile in big time, but I very much doubt that, as I've seen ARM disappointing shorters day in day out...Nothing has changed with ARM ever since it started its journey from 200 to well over 300 on upbeat results...Friday's performance is another example to ARM's strength...It's easy to predict the worst for any share in such market sentiments, but the point should be to find the most vulnerable ones to short and quality ones to long making use of the general downtrend...

Riz
 

shelman

1
439 1
Another good day... sold at 299 just before close for + 15.
It would be wonderful if it fell to 225 Sir but i doubt it.

You get yours Riz?

Steve
 

y2k

Junior member
40 0
ARM very strong today

Caught me by surprise, possible short covering before FED meet tomorrow. If ARM does fall it will fight all the way by the looks. Im still short and shall continue to play it for now.

WD on your +15 Shellman
 

Riz

Experienced member
1,266 5
hehe...well Done, Steve...I did get +14.75 to catch up with you :)

Sir, watch it, arm got strong followers and they'll fight even if the market turns negative after tomorrow...I wouldnt stay short if 300 turns into support

Riz
 

titus-uk

1
291 5
Trades today.....

As most will remember, I am a big fan of ARM - well respected management, and always seem to post excellent results.

Arm confounded me today - whilst I did not feel it would fall as rapidly as Y2K suggested, I certainly felt sentiment would end any upside for now.

ADVFN quoted:
buys - 4.438M.
sells - 7.305M.

After hours - sell 139K
During hours - 1.5M at approx 3.pm (297p).

there were also several other substantial sells of >100 000 during the day.
In my mind, there are a few scenarios:

1. That the rise was genuine, and the sellers are mugs who will be disappointed when ARM rises after a Fed cut.

2. that the accumulation phase has ended, and distribution is occurring witnessed by the fact that many of the buys were small.

3. that the share was hyped by the MM's to fulfil the sale orders - my favoured explanation. The large sell order is filled, and now the downside might start - esp if the Fed hint at any negativity. By the way, Level 2 showed some placement and removal of several 100 000 orders during the day that I never saw filled - again possibly hyping the buy to sell ratio.

Or maybe I am getting cynical. I hope that is all it is, because if anything nasty does happen, the falls might be precipitous.

Comments please.....

All the best,

Mark
 

shelman

1
439 1
Good points Mark.
My feeling is that the MMs have been short circa 5 mil shares this last week and todays trading may have redressed this somewhat and at an appropriate price for them.
Unless there is a very large buy order, yet to be disclosed, this may answer.
I am happier not holding the position overnight even if i've got it wrong.
Obviously the scenario i now want is what you describe in your last paragraph, and i hope the cliff is very steep.
Good luck
Steve
 

titus-uk

1
291 5
Same sentiments.....

Hehe mate....

I am not holding either, but am also hoping that there will be a swift decline so that they will once again be a steal. Only sustained support of over 300p would persuade me to go in this high...

MArk
 

Riz

Experienced member
1,266 5
hehe...now you 2 speaking like y2k, arranging your assessment according to your wish :)

I am out, and will keep it on top of my watch list...that's the story with arm, buy on support sell on resistance if you can establish them properly...but never short on a bounce...

ARM is a terrific share after all...

Riz
 

shelman

1
439 1
Will someone please say something negative about ARM... it's still going up.
You're right about wishful thinking Riz, i even woke last night dreaming that it had soared out of my reach.

Steve

Hmmm its pulling back a bit... go on down down down
 
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titus-uk

1
291 5
Anytime now.....?

After the overwhelming response to the Fed cut today, I suspect that both your and my wish will soon happen. Things must be very sick for this reponse - people just were not interested. The end of a sucker rally - we will see. I firmly believe ARM is an excellent company, but I would be shocked if I cannot buy it dramatically cheaper in a few days than at its current price.

Hopeing all are prepared for a potential bumpy ride tomorrow,

Mark
 

shelman

1
439 1
Despite the NAS falling 2.66% last night, ARMHY (ARM) ended up 2.3%.
Patience is required now ... where are the shorters when you need them? apart from Sir, my hero. :)

Steve
 

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