Hellen's thoughts

[Hellena Trade]

#EURUSD
EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area 1.15419.
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➡️The situation is quite interesting. I would not like to recommend selling, but judging by the waves, the price should update the minimum of 1.15419 and complete the wave "C" of higher order near the level of 1.15000.
Then the triangle (ABCDE) will continue to develop. And as much as I don't want to, I will insist that the price will continue the downward movement at least to the support area of 1.15419.

📣Fundamental context
The dollar continues to be under pressure - markets are increasingly laying expectations of a soon Fed rate cut due to signs of a slowdown in the US economy. At the same time, the euro is receiving moderate support due to stability in the eurozone and investors' interest in alternative assets outside the dollar.
In fact, this may lead to some sideways movement, which will be expressed in the triangle (ABCDE).

 

[Hellena Trade]

#GOLD
🥇 GOLD (4H): SHORT to support area of 4040.
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The impulse continued - the forecast failed to materialize. I hate corrections)

 

[Hellena Trade]

#SPX500
🔔(UPDATE)5️⃣ SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6777.
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➡️The price has almost reached the target area. I think a small correction is possible today, then I expect the upward movement to continue.
I recommend to set trade to breakeven.
(Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level).

 

[Hellena Trade]

#Oil
🛢Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 54.00.
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➡️As I continued to watch oil I realized that the structure I built in the last forecast is still in place. I think we should expect a correction in wave “4” to the 59.3 area, then a continuation of the downward movement at least to the 54.00 support area. This will be the completion of the downward impulse.
I do not exclude the probability of lengthening of wave “3” and in this case there will be no correction and the price will immediately reach the target.

📣Fundamental context
The oil market remains under pressure as supply continues to outpace demand, raising the risk of a surplus. Forecasts for 2025-2026 indicate higher production growth while consumption slows.
Rising inventories and a shift in the futures curve into contango suggest growing storage levels and weaker near-term demand.
Under these conditions, downside pressure persists, keeping the probability of a further decline high.

 

[Hellena Trade]

#EURUSD
🔔(UPDATE)🇪EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area 1.15419.
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➡️The price has already overcome about half of the movement to the target area. At this stage, I think we should look out for a small correction and expect the downward movement to continue this week. When the level of 1.16000 is reached, I recommend that trades should be set trades to breakeven. In principle it can be done already now.
(Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level).

 

[Hellena Trade]

#GOLD
✔️🥇 GOLD (4H): SHORT to support area of 4040.
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⚡️I had no doubts that wave “3” has updated its maximum. Wave “4” still reached the support area and the forecast worked out its target level!

 

[Hellena Trade]

#GOLD
🥇 GOLD (4H): LONG to 61.8% Fibo of 4265.
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➡️Dear colleagues, in the new forecast the idea remains the same - the upward momentum (12345) is not yet complete.
At the moment I see the end of the formation of the corrective wave “4” at the level of 4000, as stated earlier, and the beginning of the upward movement in wave “5”.
I do not want to set distant targets, because their achievement may take time, so let's start small - the nearest target is the resistance area at 4265 - the area beyond the 61.8% level of wave “4”. I think that this is the nearest target that we should expect.

📣Fundamental context
Earlier this week, gold experienced a sharp pull-back after its recent record highs. Nothing to panic about — it’s simply a technical correction: investors are taking profits after a rapid and extended rally. Key drivers like central bank buying and lower rate expectations remain intact, so the broader bullish story is still alive. In fact, this brief dip may offer a better entry point before the next leg up.

 

[Hellena Trade]

#Oil
🛢Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 54.00.

The prognosis is off. I'm reanalyzing.

 

[Hellena Trade]

#SPX500
✔️5️⃣ SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6777.
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Well done‼️

 

[Atilla]

#Oil
🛢Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 54.00.

The prognosis is off. I'm reanalyzing.

The oil sanctions US is pressing beginning to take effect. The news that China and India are now curbing their purchases and looking to buy from ME has sent the price up again.

Very difficult to respond to these types of news and fundamental unknown shifts in supply and demand quantities.

I think these changes may also help the dollar index a little as well.