Technical Analysis By zForex

[Z Forex]

Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.23.2025​

Trump’s Iran Strike Fuels Dollar Rally, Pressures Euro and Gold​

Markets opened the week gripped by fresh geopolitical risks after U.S. forces struck Iranian nuclear sites, prompting a wave of safe-haven demand.

The dollar surged as tensions escalated, pulling EUR/USD lower and weighing on risk assets. Gold held near recent highs, while silver rebounded on renewed uncertainty. Central bank outlooks and PMI data remain in focus for the week ahead.

EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.23.2025​

Trump’s Strike on Iran Lifts Dollar, Weighs on Euro​

EUR/USD dipped to around 1.1480 in early Asian trading Monday as the dollar strengthens following President Trump’s decision to join Israel’s war on Iran, escalating the conflict. Over the weekend, US forces struck three Iranian nuclear sites; Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump claimed the facilities were “totally obliterated” and warned of harsher attacks unless Iran seeks peace. The escalation supports safe-haven demand for the dollar, pressuring EUR/USD.

Meanwhile, the ECB cut rates for the eighth time this year but signaled a pause in July. President Lagarde said cuts are nearing an end, which may help limit euro losses.

Resistance is located at 1.1530, while support is seen at 1.1450

Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.23.2025​

Middle East Conflict Keeps Gold Elevated​

Gold traded near $3,360 per ounce in choppy conditions on Monday, as investors closely watched developments in the intensifying Middle East conflict following U.S. involvement in Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Over the weekend, U.S. forces targeted Iran’s three main nuclear facilities, with President Donald Trump warning of further action unless Tehran agrees to peace. The eruption of war between Israel and Iran has added new fuel to a rally that has pushed gold prices up nearly 30% this year.

Resistance is seen at $3,395, while support holds at $3,316.

 

[Z Forex]

Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.24.2025​

Ceasefire and Fed Dovishness Pressure US Dollar
The euro climbed to a fresh weekly high near 1.1610 on Tuesday as the US dollar weakened sharply after President Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
The news improved market confidence and reduced demand for safe-haven assets like the dollar, pushing the Dollar Index down from 99.42 to 98.10. On top of that, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman signaled support for a possible rate cut in July, citing rising concerns over the job market.

USD/JPY Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.24.2025​

Yen Rebounds as Ceasefire Calms Markets
The Japanese yen recovered to around 145.5 per dollar on Tuesday, gaining strength after the ceasefire announcement. Although Iran launched missiles at a US base in Qatar, causing no casualties, the gesture was largely seen as symbolic. Tehran’s decision not to target the Strait of Hormuz further eased fears of major disruptions.
The key resistance is at $146.20 while the major support is at $144.85.

GBP/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.24.2025​

British Pound Slips to One-Month Low
GBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF.
Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman.
Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.

 

[Z Forex]

Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.25.2025​

Risk Sentiment Improves; Dollar Down
Markets remained cautiously optimistic on Wednesday as the ceasefire between Israel and Iran lifted risk sentiment, improving the euro, pound, and silver while weighing on the US dollar. EUR/USD edged up toward 1.1620, supported by hopes of a de-escalation in the conflict and slightly rising July rate cut odds.

The yen held firm near recent highs with BOJ caution and demand. Gold rebounded to $3,330 as ceasefire fragility and diverging Fed views stirred uncertainty, while GBP/USD neared 1.3650, its highest since February 2022. Silver continued to outperform gold, climbing toward $36, driven by solid industrial demand and a weaker dollar.

EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.25.2025​

EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s Testimony
EUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar.
All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher.
Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.

Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.25.2025​

Gold Rebounds on Ceasefire Fragility​

Gold edged back up to around $3,330, recovering from a two-week low. While the Israel-Iran ceasefire brought temporary calm, a US intelligence report showed that Iran’s nuclear progress was only briefly disrupted, raising concerns about renewed tensions.
Fed Chair Powell adopted a cautious stance, saying rates would likely stay unchanged for now, though a July cut remains possible. Diverging views among Fed members on inflation and job data may limit gold’s upside in the near term.
Resistance is seen at $3,355, while support holds at $3,285.

 

[Z Forex]

Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.30.2025​

Fed Rate Cut Speculation Weighs on Dollar​

The US dollar weakened across the board as markets grew more confident in a potential Fed rate cut, following disappointing personal spending and income data.

The euro climbed to 1.1720, while the yen approached 144, supported by fiscal concerns and dovish Fed sentiment. GBP/USD edged higher ahead of UK GDP, aided by persistent inflation and political tensions. Gold fell toward a one-month low as easing geopolitical risks and a US-China trade deal dampened safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, silver rebounded above $36 with a softer dollar and lingering trade uncertainty.

USD/JPY Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.30.2025​

Fed Dovishness Supports Yen Upside
The Japanese yen climbed toward the 144 level as the dollar weakened with a dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve, increasing concerns over the US fiscal position, and lingering trade uncertainties. This week’s US employment data might reveal signs of a cooling labor market.
In Japan, industrial production in May rose less than expected, with high US tariffs continuing to weigh on economic prospects. The ongoing 25% tariff on Japanese automobile exports remains a major concern in trade negotiations between the US and Japan, with little reported progress. Tuesday’s Bank of Japan Tankan survey will offer fresh perspectives on business sentiment and the overall economic outlook.
The key resistance is at $145.70, the major support is located at $143.55.

EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 06.30.2025​

EUR/USD Climbs on Weak Spending Data
The EUR/USD pair rose to 1.1720 during early Asian trading this Monday, supported by an underperforming US dollar. The Greenback came under pressure as markets grew more confident that the Federal Reserve is most likely to begin cutting rates in September.
Friday’s data showed US personal spending unexpectedly declined in May while personal income marked the sharpest decline since September 2021, falling by 0.4%.
Focus in Europe turns to Germany’s upcoming retail sales and CPI data. ECB Governing Council member Klaas Knot stated Friday that the current interest rate is appropriate, but hinted at one more 25 basis point cut by the end of 2025. Markets still believe there will only be one ECB rate cut over the next year, with rates expected to bottom at 1.75%.
Resistance for the pair is at 1.1745, while support is at 1.1630.

 

[Z Forex]

Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.01.2025​

Dollar Sinks as Fiscal Worries Increase
Markets remained sensitive on Tuesday as the US dollar weakened with growing fiscal concerns, stalled trade negotiations, and rising expectations of a September Fed rate cut.
EUR/USD hovered near 1.1790 as uncertainty loomed over the fate of suspended tariffs, while soft German inflation data capped euro gains. The Japanese yen firmed after Trump threatened new tariffs on Japan, though local business sentiment surprised to the upside. Gold climbed above $3,320, supported by geopolitical unease and Fed rate cut bets. Silver stayed resilient around $36, with eyes on Trump’s tariff deadline and fiscal debates in the Senate.

Silver Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.01.2025​

Trade Uncertainty Keeps Silver Supported
Silver prices held steady around $36 per ounce after a strong performance in June. Meanwhile, market participants are watching the US Senate’s efforts to pass President Trump’s expansive tax-cut and spending package before the July 4 deadline.
Attention remains focused on whether the US can finalize agreements with key partners before the expiration of Trump’s 90-day tariff reprieve next week.
Resistance is seen at 36.85, while support holds at 35.40.

EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.01.2025​

EUR/USD Stuck Near 1.1790 as Dollar Stalls
The EUR/USD pair remained under pressure near 1.1790 during early European trading on Tuesday, as the US Dollar struggled with rising fiscal concerns and uncertainty surrounding trade negotiations.
According to the Financial Times, US officials are now after smaller, phased trade deals to avoid the reactivation of suspended tariffs. With the July 9 deadline approaching, the Trump administration is reportedly focused on reaching agreements with the most engaged nations, keeping market sentiment fragile and weighing on the currency.
More pressure on the USD comes from growing investor unease over the Senate’s efforts to pass Trump’s tax cut and spending package, which faces internal opposition due to its projected $3.3 trillion increase to the national debt.
The preliminary data from Germany showed inflation easing. The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose just 2.0% year-on-year in June, down from 2.1% and below expectations of 2.2%. Inflation increased by only 0.1% monthly, missing the forecast of 0.3%. These figures could limit further gains for the euro, even as the dollar weakens. Later in the day, attention turns to the Eurozone’s HICP data and the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, which is expected to provide further direction for the pair.
Resistance for the pair is at 1.1850, while support is at 1.1730.

​

 

[Z Forex]

Daily Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.02.2025​

Euro Climbs as Trump and Powell Drive Volatility
Markets stayed cautious midweek as the U.S. dollar continued to weaken due to fiscal worries, political pressure on the Fed, and anticipation ahead of the jobs report.

The euro traded near $1.1790, supported by expectations of Fed rate cuts. The pound rose to $1.3740 on firm signals from the BoE, while gold stayed above $3,330 amid debt concerns. The yen slipped slightly after new trade threats from Trump, and silver held steady around $36 as investors waited for key labor data.

GBP/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.02.2025​

BoE Hawkish Tone Supports GBP
The British pound rose to $1.374, as the U.S. dollar weakness continued to support sterling. Market sentiment remained cautious before Thursday’s U.S. payrolls report.
Growing concerns over the inflationary impact of Trump’s $3.3 trillion tax-and-spending bill and political pressure on the Fed eased investor confidence in the dollar, allowing GBP/USD to build on recent gains. The pound also benefited from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey’s comments suggesting inflation pressures persist and that policy remains restrictive for now, giving GBP/USD relative support against the dollar.
Resistance is seen at 1.3760, while support holds at 1.3620.

Gold Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.02.2025​

Fed Caution Keeps Gold Elevated
Gold held above $3,330 per ounce with the gains of over 1% from the day before, as a weaker U.S. dollar supported prices. The Senate's approval of Trump’s massive tax-and-spending package, expected to increase national debt by $3.3 trillion, added to these concerns.
Powell stressed a patient stance on rate cuts but didn’t rule out action this month, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicted cuts by September. Markets are now focused on upcoming U.S. labor data, especially Thursday’s payroll report, for direction on the Fed’s next moves. However, fading geopolitical risks slightly softened the gold demand, as Trump announced a 60-day Gaza ceasefire agreement with Israel and issued a warning to Hamas.
Resistance is at $3,350, while support holds at $3,300.