THT's Methods that WIN

[traydar]

Thanks, that's a pretty clear roadmap on its own. If I were starting again, I'd devote more time to cycles. I'm settled into what I do these days. That said, this has huge value as an overlay for my own reading of things. Please let us know if you ever start a subscription service.

 

[THT]

Thanks, that's a pretty clear roadmap on its own. If I were starting again, I'd devote more time to cycles. I'm settled into what I do these days. That said, this has huge value as an overlay for my own reading of things. Please let us know if you ever start a subscription service.

Great - Whatever works for you, we are all built differently - the aim is to profit, who cares how we do it, as long as its positive!

If you look at cycles start with Jim Hurst and Brian Millard - for the generic gist of things, but don't let them interrupt a profitable method, they have to add to it, not compete with it

I reckon I only know a fraction of what some out there know - there'll be some who can nail pretty much most swings in terms of price & time

I was just lucky in that I stumbled on cycles in 2010 and it made a bit of sense to me - enough to explore

Thanks for reading, appreciated

 

[THT]

Quick look at the next possible LOW

PLEASE NOTE the fun and games that the market does on a 2 Dimensional price chart

This chart shows the 175/180 trading day cycle - With cycles you HAVE to calculate the LENGTH, the AMPLITUDE AND probably the most Important aspect the PHASING - the 1st chart below does just that to account for the 3D moves

This chart is not 100% exact, but it is pretty damn good - good enough anyway

The next low comes in DECEMBER'25

This is where it goes wrong on normal price charts

This is the cycle - the vertical lines are the corresponding cycle in the chart above

BUT notice the TIME BARS BETWEEN each cycle - they VARY - this is where it becomes guess work and we don't like guessing in this game/business!

Assuming the current sequence continues, this is the ZONE the static cycle should land within(GREEN and RED vertical lines

This is OK, but its fairly WIDE in TIME and has you second guessing

I appreciate you do not have the cycle software that I do, I just wanted to show you how it looks in the real 2D world we are forced to view price action on

Hopefully you can see why we often get those time counts that vary - my cycle software takes account of part of the 3 Dimensional nature at play

There's nothing wrong with this chart below - We can as shown place the expected min/max cycle timings on as vertical lines or we could place a timing band type Indicator on the chart

One thing is certain, "IF" the cycle continues, you'll get price declining below the 10 SMA into the cycle low and then above the 10 SMA out of it

So if/when you discover cycles - work out the min and max timing over a number of occurrences, that will give you timing bands to work within/watch for a cycle turn point etc

We don't know what type of price moves will follow, you could have straight up/down, laboured swings or even a tired lacklustre sideways move!

Which is why we need trading methods and plans & rules etc and the crucial stop