[DARWIN] ILR by IlIlIlIlI

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ridgeback

Junior member
23 11
No frontal attack from me, just stating facts. Free speech on this forum is allowed isn't it?
Any trader touting for investment must be prepared for critique. What got me was when he list listed his darwin and he adverstised that he was a long term, experienced trader and also sold indicators/ea's in his darwin description. But yet still can't trade his way out of a paper bag? And then soon took that down when his ea stopped working.. same old, same old.. no i didn't invest.
Sorry, but these forums are full of these BS merchants.
 

IlIlIlIlI

Established member
686 663
No frontal attack from me, just stating facts. Free speech on this forum is allowed isn't it?
Any trader touting for investment must be prepared for critique. What got me was when he list listed his darwin and he adverstised that he was a long term, experienced trader and also sold indicators/ea's in his darwin description. But yet still can't trade his way out of a paper bag? And then soon took that down when his ea stopped working.. same old, same old.. no i didn't invest.
Sorry, but these forums are full of these BS merchants.
If you go for investing in a Darwin, you should know enough English if you see a Darwin with this description which is published since months:
1631624270016.png

Believe it or not, there were investors who made some money with this Darwin. You can easily find that out in the Hall of Fame at Darwinex.
I never was and I never wrote that I'm "touting for investment", that point of view just happens only between your ears. ;)

Before you judge others who try the FTMO trial or challenge, try it out yourself. For most traders trading a challenge account is very different to their trading before if they can pass the challenge and make money with FTMO.
IMO prop firms like FTMO are the future for the better traders, they don't need any social trading platforms where most platforms are crap and investors are losing money, unfortunately Darwinex is also suffering. In the future the social trading stuff is only for traders who are not able to pass the challenges of the prop firms and make money with them - like me 🤣 until now.

To my person and my past:
I'm in the lucky situation that I made a 6-digit amount profit (in EUR) twice in my life with trading which makes me relaxed with losses besides I still dislike them, times are changing - meanwhile rapidly - so a lot of things and strategies don't work any more which were brilliant years ago.

Note:
Free speech should not be used as an excuse for attacks and unfriendliness. These kind of attacks were the first trigger for Darwinex to kill the old forum. It also makes newbies and readers avoiding such a forum. The damage hits more than the writer usually wants to hit.
 
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trilobite

Active member
122 226
a lot of things and strategies don't work any more which were brilliant years ago.
Very true, I think that's why a lot of the training materials and courses are useless. They are trying to sell methodologies that just don't work any more (as you said). As the saying goes; if you can't blind them with science, baffle them with bullshit!
 

CavaliereVerde

Experienced member
1,677 2,173
It is survivorship bias.
We are here discussing because at some point in the past we made money, maybe it was just luck, a profitable part of a random walk.
 
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ridgeback

Junior member
23 11
My English is ok thanks, oh and I can read too..

As I wrote on January 19th here, I'm happy with 1-2 % return every month - without exception.
That is still valid and it implies that you have a new all time high every month.
At the end of a year that should be between 15 and 25 % annual return.
IMO that is very competetive to the majority of the most invested Darwins.
If I add this goal to the performance of January and February, ILR should show at least 30% at the end of the year, more than 50% would be really great with the 3.25% - 6.5% Target VaR. The current VaR ratio is 0.24 (reduced from 0.26 on Thursday night), and that number is more stable than the VaR you see.
I never was and I never wrote that I'm "touting for investment", that point of view just happens only between your ears. ;)
Err, I don't think so....
 
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IlIlIlIlI

Established member
686 663
Thanks for remembering me to the good times, but you didn't copy the full post:

1631629420011.png

What do you think, did I mean with "enough"? Buy, hold and cry? ;)

But you're right, I failed my forecast and my goals.

And this is still valid:
I never wrote that I'm "touting for investment", that point of view just happens only between your ears. ;)
I didn't say that a possible effect was not wanted.

Edit:
you're also right, that I stopped listing the Darwins data in my post footer here when it broke down as I don't believe in "buying on dips" when investing. IMO that's only good for trading Darwins (example HFD).
 
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CavaliereVerde

Experienced member
1,677 2,173
It seems pretty normal.
I dont' agree with expectations like printing money every month or quarter but every darwin provider risks real money and pays fees because he assumes to be a profitable trader.
If you trade a live account you suppose to be profitable otherwise you stay in demo and you don't waste money for fees.
 
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IlIlIlIlI

Established member
686 663
ILR now shows 17 consecutive days cumulating profit:
1633013023222.png

Darwin's profit in September: 2.38%, trading account more than 18% (including today).
I'm curious where the risk manager let the Darwin's price go when the trading account is shown even.
 

IlIlIlIlI

Established member
686 663
It's hard to believe that the VaR value looses more than 20% while the trading volume is changed from 8-10% (2% of the volume traded at the FTMO account) to 9% (3% of the FTMO volume).
1633721242432.png

The Darwin's trading account is only traded by my trade copier where I changed the replication factor to 3% a couple of days ago.
Not all trades can be copied because the free margin is not always sufficient.

But as the target VaR is now at the defined bottom of 50% out of the standard value of 6.5%, I'm curious whether the replication factor (VaR ratio) will rise if the VaR will continue falling.
1633720988318.png
 

QAVinversion

Junior member
35 59
It is survivorship bias.
We are here discussing because at some point in the past we made money, maybe it was just luck, a profitable part of a random walk.
Interesting annotation, although it seems strange my trading plan is based on taking advantage of that chance, the truth is that I would like to read a lot about it, since most readings and videos are of technical analysis.
 
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trilobite

Active member
122 226
That's what should never happen with the risk manager and what I will always complain about:
The current risk manager prohibits the recovery of investor accounts.
Urgent changes are needed.

The ridiculous replication factor is constant at 0.12 since weeks:
View attachment 305759
1638973808942.png

I have the opposite problem with Darwin JKL. Due to infrequent trades the VaR kept dropping. I tried to reduce risk (on the Darwin ) by increasing equity in the trading account, and risking the same amount of money on each trade, but the VaR just kept dropping. I thought it would come to rest around 2, but no, it just kept dropping. Now with the latest changes in Darwinia I have been shafted!
 

IlIlIlIlI

Established member
686 663
View attachment 310074
I have the opposite problem with Darwin JKL. Due to infrequent trades the VaR kept dropping. I tried to reduce risk (on the Darwin ) by increasing equity in the trading account, and risking the same amount of money on each trade, but the VaR just kept dropping. I thought it would come to rest around 2, but no, it just kept dropping. Now with the latest changes in Darwinia I have been shafted!
If you increase only equity and not trade size, the drop of the VaR is to expect. The same happens if the trading account is permanently profitable.

That's why I've always asked to limit the VaR down to 1% or 2%, which can't be lowered, but they don't listen to me ;)

ILR meanwhile has a replication factor of only 10%:
1638979882692.png
 
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