2nd of September was the day!

We are at the level described in post 53.
The smart money now has to decide if inflation is a realistic threat.

For me inflation is a non issue for the foreseeable future so probably a good place for gold to make a sideways range and then collapse back towards the initial break and quite possibly beyond.

I am hoping this earlier blog post helps put perspective on the 'why no inflation in the numbers' question.

http://themarketsniper.com/?p=766

Its there, just the deleveraging is a counteracting deflationary effect.
 
I don't see a continuation on the weekly. The weekly setup is a huge double top formation, which looks pretty similar to copper from 2004-2008, before the 64% drop. You keep mentioning inflation but money supply and credit has fallen at the fastest rate since the onset of the great depression.

The world is deflating, and when in a deflationary cycle, dollars are needed to pay off debts. Holding some gold is fine, but why would China bet the house at 1000-2000 when they could buy more at 800 or 500?

You will maybe see the highs around 1030, maybe then hysteria will push it higher like it did with oil last year, but this will only happen if the double dip hasn't started.

If you look more closely at the prechter link which was posted on the first page of this post, you will see that excess liquidity means that all markets are the same market. It's a casino. Dollar down equals eur, gbp, aud, gold, commodities, oil up in linear fashion. Flight-to-risk/flight-to-quality.

The problem with that, as happened last year, when the 'nailed-on' China decouple play turned out to be nonsense, is you get an almighty crash across the board.

Also, IMO, Barrick Gold removing its hedges is not a bullish sign for me. It's a sign that they are going all-in HBOS style.

Deflation/Inflation :
http://themarketsniper.com/?p=766

Barrick did what I would have advised and are smarter than they were given credit for. Nothing Like HBoS. Cot reports sees smart money follow the Commercials.
 
btw have any of you actually looked at a gold chart priced in a currency other than $? its completely range bound. in real terms gold is no more valuable than its been in the last year. if you buy gold with your pounds and it goes up 10% and thje dolalr declines 10% you have made jack all! (seeing gold tracks DXY inversely almost to the tick). if gold was really in high demand etc etc it would break this correlation and SKY rocket taking the value of gold up in all currency..but its not.

http://themarketsniper.com/?p=914

New Euro Highs (not to mention GBP)
 
in the short term yes, i was wrong. how ever my long term view has not changed, gold bellow $1000 before march imo

My First leg targets were $1,250/$1,300 So I am close to going short term square.

Long Run I expect a great deal more (multiple Thousands) and differ to you, but it will need a breath and I suppose that will come around target levels, before easing on new fears, however I do not expect the same level of weakness as in Cr crunch.

To many big buyers have now been mobilised.
 
haha if you were a real trader you would know arogance will be your downfall ;)

A good natured ribbing - Thankfully I do trade, in fact starting to feel short term vulnerable, a lot in a short time frame, approaching target levels and am a fair bit lighter.

Will refuel after a fear set back.
 
A good natured ribbing - Thankfully I do trade, in fact starting to feel short term vulnerable, a lot in a short time frame, approaching target levels and am a fair bit lighter.

Will refuel after a fear set back.

At least you still pop out unlike my mate guga.. credit to you.
 
you are aware that about 90% of all open interest on gold is long yeh? and you think it wont reverse hard?
 
you are aware that about 90% of all open interest on gold is long yeh? and you think it wont reverse hard?

An awful amount is taking actual delivery, China has set up a HK vault and hoovering up all their own production along with their citizens..Number of $'s in circulation is up 70% and due to increase a further 70% in all instruments.

If you trebled the numbers of shares in issue overnight on a private company, they would fall in value by 66% so that equilibrium was maintained.
 
Baptist, undoubtedly that was a great legendary call and it is all in black and white indelible proof of what was said and done.

I have that plank on ignore list so I really don't care for what he says but know for a fact he has verbal chronic diarrhea as well as a mental deficiency that prevents him from being able to put two sentences together on any one blog.

Guys a pure waste of space time and effort to reason with imho. Good for a laugh though.

Top call well done. (y)
 
Baptist, undoubtedly that was a great legendary call and it is all in black and white indelible proof of what was said and done.

I have that plank on ignore list so I really don't care for what he says but know for a fact he has verbal chronic diarrhea as well as a mental deficiency that prevents him from being able to put two sentences together on any one blog.

Guys a pure waste of space time and effort to reason with imho. Good for a laugh though.

Top call well done. (y)

Thanks both of you for the aknowledgement of the call, I hope you and Poborsky had opportunity to fill your boots.

Getting close to eventual first leg target at 1250-1300 level and we have just had an evening star, so i am a lot lighter to the original position.

Having predicted an 'exponential burst a week or so ago' (below) a breather maybe on its way.

p=833"]http://themarketsniper.com/?p=833[/URL]

Long term I am a snorting Bull to multiple thousands..

Hope useful to you both.

Good trading.
 
Thanks both of you for the aknowledgement of the call, I hope you and Poborsky had opportunity to fill your boots.

Getting close to eventual first leg target at 1250-1300 level and we have just had an evening star, so i am a lot lighter to the original position.

Having predicted an 'exponential burst a week or so ago' (below) a breather maybe on its way.

p=833"]http://themarketsniper.com/?p=833[/URL]

Long term I am a snorting Bull to multiple thousands..

Hope useful to you both.

Good trading.

Evening star was good warning for pull back to $1155.
 
:rolleyes:

just another run of the mil $55 pull back?

Well summised 4.5% off after a 26% climb from 962, 3 months ago, or 180% from same time in 2004 at $415.

Classic 'after timers' shout - Not seeing 'Forest' for 'trees'?

For Chart
http://themarketsniper.com/?p=939


I take it you missed my evening star post the day before the 4.5% 'collapse' .

Long term Macro traders - It could still pull back a fair bit more, so prepare for 'Hysterical Bear posts and activity for the short term'.

:whistling
:whistling
:sleep:
 
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a broken clock is right twice a day, thats gold bulls! all been losing money for 20 odd years..finally get a move in their favour and think there the bollox lol..
 
:cry:
a broken clock is right twice a day, thats gold bulls! all been losing money for 20 odd years..finally get a move in their favour and think there the bollox lol..

:cry:

It has virtually trippled in 5 year's, you are the broken clock, Not worthy of further response.
 
hah, ok so what exactly do you think will happen when the usd rallies? oh wait thats not going to happen either is it.. your a sheep following the croud, you know what happend to sheep!
 
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