ICC Forex System testing

Looking back, €¥ has been a nice solid buy all day. If you'd entered at 9.30 this morning, you'd be up 160 pips and counting. Hindsight makes trading look so easy!

I was quite happy with my +39 on that pair until I noticed that.
 
EOD Pip Report
£$ ---
€$ -6, +14, +19
€£ -5, +4
£¥ +39
€¥ -13, +52, +7
$¥ ---
total +111

Strong downtrend in the Yen helped today, with most of it given to the Euro. Good start for the rejigged system parameters, but very helpful conditions.

Key: Vertical line on the left is 8am UK time
Arrows are Entries, Ticks are successful exits, Crosses are unsuccessful exits, Thumbs up & down are signals (and their exit) rejected through timing (e.g. lunchtime, or just before a major economic data announcement) or through poor personal judgment.
 

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Hi Gavin,

do you want to go into details about what you changed, how and why? Also, can you give some insight into your system? It would help to understand your trades and how you judge them.

Till
 
Hi Gavin,

do you want to go into details about what you changed, how and why? Also, can you give some insight into your system? It would help to understand your trades and how you judge them.

Till

Hi Till

I really can't be bothered explaining it until I have some solid evidence it works over a decent amount of time. Most of these posts are thinking out loud so I have some reference points if I want to look back on how it developed, and a record of what I was thinking or how I was reacting to certain conditions (badly mostly!).
Most likely it'll end up on the scrapheap with all my other hare-brained ideas (sure, today's results look good but any idiot can make money off a trending market) so it's best not to waste anyone else's time with it as well as mine.
It's largely based on a modified correlator, which is why I post the results over at NVP's thread, so if nothing else it'll give some idea of what use such indicators are.

Have a good weekend - Gavin
 
Hi Till

I really can't be bothered explaining it until I have some solid evidence it works over a decent amount of time. Most of these posts are thinking out loud so I have some reference points if I want to look back on how it developed, and a record of what I was thinking or how I was reacting to certain conditions (badly mostly!).
Most likely it'll end up on the scrapheap with all my other hare-brained ideas (sure, today's results look good but any idiot can make money off a trending market) so it's best not to waste anyone else's time with it as well as mine.
It's largely based on a modified correlator, which is why I post the results over at NVP's thread, so if nothing else it'll give some idea of what use such indicators are.

Have a good weekend - Gavin


hey mate

trade with the trend buying strongest currencies and selling weakest

as we know the FXcorrelator (the corrie) makes this a piece of cake and gives you helicopter vision

thats the easy bit and where I was over a year ago....loads of people telling me how great strengthmeters are (Jason Fielder still is right now :p) but no one telling me what to look for or a decent system to use :eek:

so I spent literally hundreds of hours watching for movements and currency dynamics both within the G8 and then as the G8 were impacted by market forces (mainly gold and DJ30)

I created my set of Fuzzy logic rules.....Fuzzy meaning they kinda work most of the time......theres no guarantee in trading !

and thats what I apply......simple rules what pairs not to trade against each other and what pairs to trade when you se certain dynamics....

we discuss these everyday over at my corrie thread so keep going as you will crack it Gavin......trust me and try to stop looking at pair charts as much as you do.....(difficult I know :rolleyes:) tear up the rule book and start to fill your screen with corrie charts.....soon you will start to see the patterns and then you just need the pair charts for entry and exit points (I dont even do that sometimes)

sound crazy ...............sure it does......but you cant get half pregnant with the corrie :p

thanks for the template tip.......excellent (y)

NVP
 
hey mate

trade with the trend buying strongest currencies and selling weakest

NVP

That's pretty much what this system does, but it's a case of finding settings that agree with your mindset, available time & trading style. Pair charts have to still be used for entry & exits, as a correlator shows you the general picture but not the specifics - e.g. the strongest currency isn't equally strong in every pair, and a trend that's obviously over on a pair chart won't necessarily show up on the correlator screen. The devil is in the detail!
 
Missed a couple of lovely signals selling sterling this morning. Managed to hop in & out of €£ pair for +5, and I've hopped on to £$ but it's always risky trying to join the party late - I usually catch the top/bottom.
 
out of cable at +2 - may turn back down but it's hopeless when you don't get in on the original signal
€ appears to have taken over bottom spot now
 
short cable again, mainly in hope that the mortgage data will push it a bit lower
 
lunchtime strength in Yen vs. CAD & AUD now looking like it's bleeding through into €¥
 
tempting to sell €$ here too but there's some US data at 2pm which could make things messy
 
tempting to sell €$ here too but there's some US data at 2pm which could make things messy

€$ sold at original signal's level, but not convinced as dollar's essentially pretty flat.. most of €'s weakness is coming from Yen strength
 
€$ sold at original signal's level, but not convinced as dollar's essentially pretty flat.. most of €'s weakness is coming from Yen strength

€$ closed at -8 - not a system exit, just me thinking the $ doesn't look right for a Buy
 
looks like Game Over for the Yen's rise today following the 3pm data... not sure what the next trade would be now..could take a while for things to sort themselves out, unless you just took a punt on €$ long
 
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