THT
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Well its fairly well established that Israel, is on a mission
Russian drones have also landed in Poland - NATO territory!
It's going to be Interesting to see what comes of all this as it is all brewing up
I've known about the war cycle since the 2010's - when you first see the prediction, you think "maybe", then when you get closer to the time and you start seeing all the unrest and fighting, it really brings it home, how remarkable all this is - the cause of all this was shown on page 10 of this thread
At some point the USA won't be able to remain outside of the game
On the Vuelta we've had many stages shortened due to protesting Pro-Palestine supporters - There is a cycling team on the Vuelta that is called "Israel........" hence the protests! How the organisers failed to think that this would not attract the type of person to protest is beyond me, it was a nailed on certainty as soon as the Israel team we named to participate in race
This was a serious consideration that we thought of in advance, but we decided to take the risk even if the whole race was cancelled, because we are in Rioja region and could easily convert the tour into a wine tour if forced to
This is what happens in life, people fail to think through scenarios or fail to plan effectively, if you do this in the markets, you get taught a costly lessons
Anyhow, going forward, its obvious that the expected Oct'25 LOW will not be a laboured out affair now, it will either be a plunge or more likely some sort of timid correction - a sideways market is perfectly fine
My gut feeling says timid correction, rally up somehow into the "BEAST" cycle dates of Spring 2026 and then the fun and games will begin, if the war cycle kicks in at this time too, it is going to be very very volatile - we can't predict exactly the war cycle, we just have the open window around its exact date of July 2026 - We also have some "internal" planetary cycles due in 2026 too, which have been shown to you months ago on the charts that contain the Oct 2025 low expectation
Sideways markets that get nowhere I class personally as BEARISH - Its just something I tend to do to label the bull/bear cycles, to make sense of the cycles
Markets tend to go sideways when the bull phases pause - Think the period 1966-1982, that was a down section, but the markets just went sideways, that tells you that the BIGGER cycle was PAUSING, hence the sideways action, then on the smaller cycles you had bear markets etc - see how it all fits in
I've shown you this sideways pausing on various time-frames
The main USA markets NATURAL DIRECTIONAL movement that is HAS to go is UPWARDS - this is why over 200+ years its transcended UPWARDS, its a continually evolving and GROWING entity
That does NOT mean, it will not suffer from a 1929 type flush out, because it will - that happened in 2000 on the Nasdaq - the next flush out is decades away and I reckon I'll of popped my clogs by then anyway
Russian drones have also landed in Poland - NATO territory!
It's going to be Interesting to see what comes of all this as it is all brewing up
I've known about the war cycle since the 2010's - when you first see the prediction, you think "maybe", then when you get closer to the time and you start seeing all the unrest and fighting, it really brings it home, how remarkable all this is - the cause of all this was shown on page 10 of this thread
At some point the USA won't be able to remain outside of the game
On the Vuelta we've had many stages shortened due to protesting Pro-Palestine supporters - There is a cycling team on the Vuelta that is called "Israel........" hence the protests! How the organisers failed to think that this would not attract the type of person to protest is beyond me, it was a nailed on certainty as soon as the Israel team we named to participate in race
This was a serious consideration that we thought of in advance, but we decided to take the risk even if the whole race was cancelled, because we are in Rioja region and could easily convert the tour into a wine tour if forced to
This is what happens in life, people fail to think through scenarios or fail to plan effectively, if you do this in the markets, you get taught a costly lessons
Anyhow, going forward, its obvious that the expected Oct'25 LOW will not be a laboured out affair now, it will either be a plunge or more likely some sort of timid correction - a sideways market is perfectly fine
My gut feeling says timid correction, rally up somehow into the "BEAST" cycle dates of Spring 2026 and then the fun and games will begin, if the war cycle kicks in at this time too, it is going to be very very volatile - we can't predict exactly the war cycle, we just have the open window around its exact date of July 2026 - We also have some "internal" planetary cycles due in 2026 too, which have been shown to you months ago on the charts that contain the Oct 2025 low expectation
Sideways markets that get nowhere I class personally as BEARISH - Its just something I tend to do to label the bull/bear cycles, to make sense of the cycles
Markets tend to go sideways when the bull phases pause - Think the period 1966-1982, that was a down section, but the markets just went sideways, that tells you that the BIGGER cycle was PAUSING, hence the sideways action, then on the smaller cycles you had bear markets etc - see how it all fits in
I've shown you this sideways pausing on various time-frames
The main USA markets NATURAL DIRECTIONAL movement that is HAS to go is UPWARDS - this is why over 200+ years its transcended UPWARDS, its a continually evolving and GROWING entity
That does NOT mean, it will not suffer from a 1929 type flush out, because it will - that happened in 2000 on the Nasdaq - the next flush out is decades away and I reckon I'll of popped my clogs by then anyway
THT
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July 26 is the war cycle which has a wide window, we're already seeing the effects of the war cycle with everything that's been going on since 2022 - the only thing you can do with the war cycle is wait until the USA get dragged into physical action, when that happens the stock markets will crash, then rebound - other than that you just use the date to watch for war as well as defence stocks etc
I don't track Gold, I should look at it more in-depth at some stage though
April 2026 lines up with the Spring BEAST cycle - the BEAST cycle is ALWAYS some sort of swing high - the APRIL'26 is an Internal cycle and can be either a high or a low, I just list the dates, to prove beyond doubt that A) You can predict the market and B) Time the market throughout the 18 year UP cycle to 2034
ALL cycles can Invert, although as of yet the BEAST cycle hasn't done so - It's easy to spot Inversions as say you're waiting for a 4 year low to come in and in the months/year before its due, the market has just been rallying upwards, you can pretty well determine an inversion is happening and the big money is made on the bigger cycles
I've shown this before, but you can see the Inversions - The last one in 2020 should have been an extreme high, it was obvious a low was forming
THT
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Its a "variable" 4 YEAR cycle - which means its not exact or static and its an average
Don't try to be exact - just knowing the cycle exists and then applying trend qualifiers to watch out for reversals in the direction of the expected cycle is perfectly good enough, as most people trading it, won't be aware of the cycle - 4 years is approx 208 WEEKS but it can be +/- around that period of time
If you want to get slightly better confirmation, watch the COT Indicators (commitment of traders report) as you will find in 90%+ of cases the COMMERCIALS (smart money) will be NET LONG (accumulating positions) near the lows and then when they [the commercials] go NET SHORT, that is usually when prices start to rise as the smart money starts off loading their accumulations to traders, fuelling the price rise etc
I wrote about the COT on page 2
THT
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OK I'm back home - well that certainly was an interesting Vuelta!
At the Vuelta (I actually thought this would have happened at the Tour De France but it didn't! It would of had much more impact for the protestors if it had of, but that's an opportunity missed for them), we had mass protests at points throughout the tour routes by Pro-Palestine protestors
Because there's a team named "Israel....." - It was virtually guaranteed to happen and it did, with a couple of stages cancelled for the cyclists safety, the final stage saw some ugly fighting in Madrid, but on the whole it was a peaceful protest(s) at the horror that Israel is inflicting upon and within Gaza
Its obvious that the USA are staying silent on the matter and Israel are hell bent of flattening Gaza - The UN yesterday said Genocide was occurring, which has been evident for months
It is absolutely sickening to see it unfold, the irony is, that Israel have capitalised upon the horrors of World War II against the Jewish people, only to now do similar to the people of Palestine and Gaza, but rather than gassing them, they are using missiles, bombs and bullets to drive them out - truly sad and horrific, to which the world will remember!
Anyway, we all know why this is happening, its because the 84 year Uranus war cycle is repeating - previously showed you the following chart a month or so ago:
Its WHY we are seeing an increase and uprising of RIGHT WING thinking, protests and rallies around the world - its simply repeating the mind-set that it caused 84 years back in the 1940's and we all know what creature of evil that created!
you ALWAYS have a "period of Influence" either side of the exact date and that is what is happening right now, with Israel, hell bent of revenge at all costs and assignations in the USA etc
UK military planes are now in Poland to defend Polish airspace
Something will tip and then you'll see the involvement of the USA somehow, still waiting on this though
So to the markets
This is what the stats are showing:
These 2 next charts fit into the Oct'25 low thinking, how it pans out is anyone's guess
See what happens
Seasonal charts are from Jake Bernstein's Seasonaltrader.com
PS - If you are at all Interested in understanding why world events seem to happen out of the blue, in an Illogical manner, I would trace where the money comes from, in the UK at the weekend there were mass patriotic rallies by a right wing thug and his pals, yet he is "funded" by our friends of Israel! You might not believe in or like conspiracy theories, but so far on most things David Icke has been right
Just this week we had "50 [USA] states AND Israel" standing together at a conference! - Up until the current Chairman of the FED reserve, ALL previous chairpersons were Jewish - It's all hidden in plain sight, but devious enough to be "layered"
Delve into who actually "funds" your local politician or member of parliament, it might be revealing
At the Vuelta (I actually thought this would have happened at the Tour De France but it didn't! It would of had much more impact for the protestors if it had of, but that's an opportunity missed for them), we had mass protests at points throughout the tour routes by Pro-Palestine protestors
Because there's a team named "Israel....." - It was virtually guaranteed to happen and it did, with a couple of stages cancelled for the cyclists safety, the final stage saw some ugly fighting in Madrid, but on the whole it was a peaceful protest(s) at the horror that Israel is inflicting upon and within Gaza
Its obvious that the USA are staying silent on the matter and Israel are hell bent of flattening Gaza - The UN yesterday said Genocide was occurring, which has been evident for months
It is absolutely sickening to see it unfold, the irony is, that Israel have capitalised upon the horrors of World War II against the Jewish people, only to now do similar to the people of Palestine and Gaza, but rather than gassing them, they are using missiles, bombs and bullets to drive them out - truly sad and horrific, to which the world will remember!
Anyway, we all know why this is happening, its because the 84 year Uranus war cycle is repeating - previously showed you the following chart a month or so ago:
Its WHY we are seeing an increase and uprising of RIGHT WING thinking, protests and rallies around the world - its simply repeating the mind-set that it caused 84 years back in the 1940's and we all know what creature of evil that created!
you ALWAYS have a "period of Influence" either side of the exact date and that is what is happening right now, with Israel, hell bent of revenge at all costs and assignations in the USA etc
UK military planes are now in Poland to defend Polish airspace
Something will tip and then you'll see the involvement of the USA somehow, still waiting on this though
So to the markets
This is what the stats are showing:
These 2 next charts fit into the Oct'25 low thinking, how it pans out is anyone's guess
See what happens
Seasonal charts are from Jake Bernstein's Seasonaltrader.com
PS - If you are at all Interested in understanding why world events seem to happen out of the blue, in an Illogical manner, I would trace where the money comes from, in the UK at the weekend there were mass patriotic rallies by a right wing thug and his pals, yet he is "funded" by our friends of Israel! You might not believe in or like conspiracy theories, but so far on most things David Icke has been right
Just this week we had "50 [USA] states AND Israel" standing together at a conference! - Up until the current Chairman of the FED reserve, ALL previous chairpersons were Jewish - It's all hidden in plain sight, but devious enough to be "layered"
Delve into who actually "funds" your local politician or member of parliament, it might be revealing
Last edited:
THT
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Not sure If I've shown this before or not
My friends are NOT traders - they are more position based Investors, I sent this one out to them just before I headed out to the Tour de France and they got in on it because it made sense to them, purely because the stock was at rock bottom prices
They just bought blindly because it made sense - I doubt they have set a stop either!
Let me stage the analysis so it makes sense to you
Markets at some point in their life will base - it could be on any or multiple time-frames
This one was/is on the WEEKLY time-frame, which is perfect for base builder Investors looking to hold for months/years
BASE BUILDING - GOING SIDEWAYS for MONTHS
At some point is WILL breakout and notice the muted decline in March 2025, as the world markets plunged = BULLISH
So with a BASE, we want an idea of the rally potential - the potential as a minimum is that the HEIGHT = the WIDTH
Now I can't draw squares wth this charting software, so I have to draw an approx circle and then refine thereafter - the circle height will be the same length as its width - See we're using part of that high school maths you thought was useless knowledge
Now to avoid scaling issues, I have to create lines on the chart around the circle, as once I rescale the page view on my screen, the size of the circle is going to change and we don't want that, so I simply use a Gann Box to do that
Then I can delete the circle
Now I can either add horizontal lines or I can copy the Gann Box across
By using the Gann Box, I can now if I wish, use the ANGLES of the Gann Box as a trailing stop or whatever - the choice is there
Now if I zoom out to add more price action and time to the chart, I can see prior price history
I can also stack the Gann Boxes on top of each other and see where 2 or 3 times the height of the box lies in terms of price levels, that we might be able to use in the future
It will be Interesting to see the different personalities of my friends with this stock, because, they are all very different people and its going to be interesting seeing who holds the longest and the reasons - 1 of them is already out, he made circa 30% and for him that was enough as he's convinced everything is going to the dogs when war gets stronger, so its a bit of a social experiment for me watching
Obviously, I'm not going to let them loose, I've Insisted they use a hard stop of 100p, as it makes absolutely no sense letting a winning position turn negative, but I can't force them, some will listen to me and some I know will think they can outsmart the game - I'll assist those still in the position with logical stop placement along the way according to their outlooks
You can use whatever analysis methods make sense to YOU
The above concept came to me years ago, I was reading Dr Van Tharps "Trade your way to Financial Freedom" and in that book he referred to a Ken Roberts 123 pattern - That's the same 123 formation I've previously mentioned throughout this thread - anyhow,
I googled Ken Roberts, found his book below and on about page 110 he shows the basing method - I think he wrote the book in the mid 1980's, worth getting hold of
My friends are NOT traders - they are more position based Investors, I sent this one out to them just before I headed out to the Tour de France and they got in on it because it made sense to them, purely because the stock was at rock bottom prices
They just bought blindly because it made sense - I doubt they have set a stop either!
Let me stage the analysis so it makes sense to you
Markets at some point in their life will base - it could be on any or multiple time-frames
This one was/is on the WEEKLY time-frame, which is perfect for base builder Investors looking to hold for months/years
BASE BUILDING - GOING SIDEWAYS for MONTHS
At some point is WILL breakout and notice the muted decline in March 2025, as the world markets plunged = BULLISH
So with a BASE, we want an idea of the rally potential - the potential as a minimum is that the HEIGHT = the WIDTH
Now I can't draw squares wth this charting software, so I have to draw an approx circle and then refine thereafter - the circle height will be the same length as its width - See we're using part of that high school maths you thought was useless knowledge
Now to avoid scaling issues, I have to create lines on the chart around the circle, as once I rescale the page view on my screen, the size of the circle is going to change and we don't want that, so I simply use a Gann Box to do that
Then I can delete the circle
Now I can either add horizontal lines or I can copy the Gann Box across
By using the Gann Box, I can now if I wish, use the ANGLES of the Gann Box as a trailing stop or whatever - the choice is there
Now if I zoom out to add more price action and time to the chart, I can see prior price history
I can also stack the Gann Boxes on top of each other and see where 2 or 3 times the height of the box lies in terms of price levels, that we might be able to use in the future
It will be Interesting to see the different personalities of my friends with this stock, because, they are all very different people and its going to be interesting seeing who holds the longest and the reasons - 1 of them is already out, he made circa 30% and for him that was enough as he's convinced everything is going to the dogs when war gets stronger, so its a bit of a social experiment for me watching
Obviously, I'm not going to let them loose, I've Insisted they use a hard stop of 100p, as it makes absolutely no sense letting a winning position turn negative, but I can't force them, some will listen to me and some I know will think they can outsmart the game - I'll assist those still in the position with logical stop placement along the way according to their outlooks
You can use whatever analysis methods make sense to YOU
The above concept came to me years ago, I was reading Dr Van Tharps "Trade your way to Financial Freedom" and in that book he referred to a Ken Roberts 123 pattern - That's the same 123 formation I've previously mentioned throughout this thread - anyhow,
I googled Ken Roberts, found his book below and on about page 110 he shows the basing method - I think he wrote the book in the mid 1980's, worth getting hold of
THT
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OK
Back to normality - I wasn't going to share this, but have decided to
I've mentioned Walter Bressert numerous times - Its up to you to research him if interested - As you can see he was light years ahead of most traders and investors 30+ years ago! and I bet most traders/Investors are still light years behind the times still
I really would love to see what would happen If the stock market just did not always go upwards - people would be forced to get real with what is actually going on in the markets, unfortunately, as the market just goes upwards over the long term, people just sleep walk into Investments
right in the chart above:
You know my thoughts on the BEAST cycle due Spring'26
I have also shown Larry Williams 4 year OCT cycle low previously - this would be [IS] due in OCT 2026 as well
So we have some nice timing coming up
You can see the average % move following the 4yr cycle low - the leaders move more than this remember!
and if you trade, you also have a pretty clear road map for years of what to expect and we all know you only make money by trading in the direction that prices move in
Lets see what actually happens
The ideal situation is UP into Spring 2026, crash into the 4 year cycle low and then it will be up again to some degree
As ever - trade at your own research and discretion as YOU are 100% liable for all trading results including losses
Back to normality - I wasn't going to share this, but have decided to
I've mentioned Walter Bressert numerous times - Its up to you to research him if interested - As you can see he was light years ahead of most traders and investors 30+ years ago! and I bet most traders/Investors are still light years behind the times still
I really would love to see what would happen If the stock market just did not always go upwards - people would be forced to get real with what is actually going on in the markets, unfortunately, as the market just goes upwards over the long term, people just sleep walk into Investments
right in the chart above:
- GREEN line = the AVERAGE 4 year cycle
- The RED line is the ACTUAL 4 year cycle LOW and
- The BLUE line is the AVERAGE low to High cycle
- The Indicator catches the turns, but its the TIMING BAND on the Indicator that is the Important bit
- The TIMING BAND covers the period of time in the tables for low to low and is displayed as bands overlapping and the DATES are shown on the RIGHT hand side of the Indicator window
You know my thoughts on the BEAST cycle due Spring'26
I have also shown Larry Williams 4 year OCT cycle low previously - this would be [IS] due in OCT 2026 as well
So we have some nice timing coming up
You can see the average % move following the 4yr cycle low - the leaders move more than this remember!
and if you trade, you also have a pretty clear road map for years of what to expect and we all know you only make money by trading in the direction that prices move in
Lets see what actually happens
The ideal situation is UP into Spring 2026, crash into the 4 year cycle low and then it will be up again to some degree
As ever - trade at your own research and discretion as YOU are 100% liable for all trading results including losses
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