THT
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Well its fairly well established that Israel, is on a mission
Russian drones have also landed in Poland - NATO territory!
It's going to be Interesting to see what comes of all this as it is all brewing up
I've known about the war cycle since the 2010's - when you first see the prediction, you think "maybe", then when you get closer to the time and you start seeing all the unrest and fighting, it really brings it home, how remarkable all this is - the cause of all this was shown on page 10 of this thread
At some point the USA won't be able to remain outside of the game
On the Vuelta we've had many stages shortened due to protesting Pro-Palestine supporters - There is a cycling team on the Vuelta that is called "Israel........" hence the protests! How the organisers failed to think that this would not attract the type of person to protest is beyond me, it was a nailed on certainty as soon as the Israel team we named to participate in race
This was a serious consideration that we thought of in advance, but we decided to take the risk even if the whole race was cancelled, because we are in Rioja region and could easily convert the tour into a wine tour if forced to
This is what happens in life, people fail to think through scenarios or fail to plan effectively, if you do this in the markets, you get taught a costly lessons
Anyhow, going forward, its obvious that the expected Oct'25 LOW will not be a laboured out affair now, it will either be a plunge or more likely some sort of timid correction - a sideways market is perfectly fine
My gut feeling says timid correction, rally up somehow into the "BEAST" cycle dates of Spring 2026 and then the fun and games will begin, if the war cycle kicks in at this time too, it is going to be very very volatile - we can't predict exactly the war cycle, we just have the open window around its exact date of July 2026 - We also have some "internal" planetary cycles due in 2026 too, which have been shown to you months ago on the charts that contain the Oct 2025 low expectation
Sideways markets that get nowhere I class personally as BEARISH - Its just something I tend to do to label the bull/bear cycles, to make sense of the cycles
Markets tend to go sideways when the bull phases pause - Think the period 1966-1982, that was a down section, but the markets just went sideways, that tells you that the BIGGER cycle was PAUSING, hence the sideways action, then on the smaller cycles you had bear markets etc - see how it all fits in
I've shown you this sideways pausing on various time-frames
The main USA markets NATURAL DIRECTIONAL movement that is HAS to go is UPWARDS - this is why over 200+ years its transcended UPWARDS, its a continually evolving and GROWING entity
That does NOT mean, it will not suffer from a 1929 type flush out, because it will - that happened in 2000 on the Nasdaq - the next flush out is decades away and I reckon I'll of popped my clogs by then anyway
Russian drones have also landed in Poland - NATO territory!
It's going to be Interesting to see what comes of all this as it is all brewing up
I've known about the war cycle since the 2010's - when you first see the prediction, you think "maybe", then when you get closer to the time and you start seeing all the unrest and fighting, it really brings it home, how remarkable all this is - the cause of all this was shown on page 10 of this thread
At some point the USA won't be able to remain outside of the game
On the Vuelta we've had many stages shortened due to protesting Pro-Palestine supporters - There is a cycling team on the Vuelta that is called "Israel........" hence the protests! How the organisers failed to think that this would not attract the type of person to protest is beyond me, it was a nailed on certainty as soon as the Israel team we named to participate in race
This was a serious consideration that we thought of in advance, but we decided to take the risk even if the whole race was cancelled, because we are in Rioja region and could easily convert the tour into a wine tour if forced to
This is what happens in life, people fail to think through scenarios or fail to plan effectively, if you do this in the markets, you get taught a costly lessons
Anyhow, going forward, its obvious that the expected Oct'25 LOW will not be a laboured out affair now, it will either be a plunge or more likely some sort of timid correction - a sideways market is perfectly fine
My gut feeling says timid correction, rally up somehow into the "BEAST" cycle dates of Spring 2026 and then the fun and games will begin, if the war cycle kicks in at this time too, it is going to be very very volatile - we can't predict exactly the war cycle, we just have the open window around its exact date of July 2026 - We also have some "internal" planetary cycles due in 2026 too, which have been shown to you months ago on the charts that contain the Oct 2025 low expectation
Sideways markets that get nowhere I class personally as BEARISH - Its just something I tend to do to label the bull/bear cycles, to make sense of the cycles
Markets tend to go sideways when the bull phases pause - Think the period 1966-1982, that was a down section, but the markets just went sideways, that tells you that the BIGGER cycle was PAUSING, hence the sideways action, then on the smaller cycles you had bear markets etc - see how it all fits in
I've shown you this sideways pausing on various time-frames
The main USA markets NATURAL DIRECTIONAL movement that is HAS to go is UPWARDS - this is why over 200+ years its transcended UPWARDS, its a continually evolving and GROWING entity
That does NOT mean, it will not suffer from a 1929 type flush out, because it will - that happened in 2000 on the Nasdaq - the next flush out is decades away and I reckon I'll of popped my clogs by then anyway
THT
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July 26 is the war cycle which has a wide window, we're already seeing the effects of the war cycle with everything that's been going on since 2022 - the only thing you can do with the war cycle is wait until the USA get dragged into physical action, when that happens the stock markets will crash, then rebound - other than that you just use the date to watch for war as well as defence stocks etc
I don't track Gold, I should look at it more in-depth at some stage though
April 2026 lines up with the Spring BEAST cycle - the BEAST cycle is ALWAYS some sort of swing high - the APRIL'26 is an Internal cycle and can be either a high or a low, I just list the dates, to prove beyond doubt that A) You can predict the market and B) Time the market throughout the 18 year UP cycle to 2034
ALL cycles can Invert, although as of yet the BEAST cycle hasn't done so - It's easy to spot Inversions as say you're waiting for a 4 year low to come in and in the months/year before its due, the market has just been rallying upwards, you can pretty well determine an inversion is happening and the big money is made on the bigger cycles
I've shown this before, but you can see the Inversions - The last one in 2020 should have been an extreme high, it was obvious a low was forming
THT
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Its a "variable" 4 YEAR cycle - which means its not exact or static and its an average
Don't try to be exact - just knowing the cycle exists and then applying trend qualifiers to watch out for reversals in the direction of the expected cycle is perfectly good enough, as most people trading it, won't be aware of the cycle - 4 years is approx 208 WEEKS but it can be +/- around that period of time
If you want to get slightly better confirmation, watch the COT Indicators (commitment of traders report) as you will find in 90%+ of cases the COMMERCIALS (smart money) will be NET LONG (accumulating positions) near the lows and then when they [the commercials] go NET SHORT, that is usually when prices start to rise as the smart money starts off loading their accumulations to traders, fuelling the price rise etc
I wrote about the COT on page 2
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