THE Fundamentals

Pat494

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Mar 27, 2004
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#1
I have started this thread because the fundamentals are the underlying forces that move major markets. They are particularly relevant to the forex market with their different currencies.
The 2 big events on the horizon at the moment are the US elections and the marked slow down of the Chinese economy. The latter is further complicated when the State has been known to massage the figures.
Brexit has now come to pass. It will take the coming months to see how it pans out. The poor appointment of a semi hinged person like Boris Johnson doesn't exactly help either. Business likes a steady progress, not wild swings.

Feel free to put your point of view of world events that may affect the markets.
 

Pat494

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Mar 27, 2004
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#3
Tensions between India and Pakistan are near boiling point. A nuclear exchange there could have profound effects.

China is showing some muscle taking over disputed coral reefs in the China Sea for military bases. If it was for marine studies and weather etc. there wouldn't be such a fuss.

Russia is being accused of War Crimes in Syria and more sanctions are likely.
 

Pat494

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Mar 27, 2004
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#4
The historic decision to leave the EU creates uncertainty about the outlook for the UK economy. In the short term, investment into the UK and activity within the economy could suffer as spending plans are delayed.
 

forker

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Jul 12, 2008
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#5
Perhaps the thread should be renamed to geopolitical events instead. The fundamentals are data releases which are the primary drivers. Geopolitical events definitely affect markets but more in context of risk on or risk off. Just a suggestion ;)
 

forker

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Jul 12, 2008
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#6
To add to the thread, I have been keeping an eye on the bond bubble and what could cause a run for the doors scenario.
 

forker

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#10
You don't need to subscribe. Open an incognito window on that link.
 

forker

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#14
i always access ft through cached pages. you can get around the telegraph page limit with incognito windows.