Fluke
Probably a bit late now, but I've been away.
The bounce was a hopeful sign near a support area - with the
May low @ 1516 and fib 50 support @ around 1510 (almost co-
incident with the double top target measure of around 1504).
However, I won't be convinced the intermediate down trend has
changed until there's a significant move above 1612 which I have
as a swing reaction high on 8 May (followed idc by a move
beyond fib 50 resistance @ around 1660 - by which time your
long will have made a few bob of course!!!)
My system gives me a short signal if there's a close below 8 May
low 1570 (assuming it stays below 1612) but I doubt I'll trade it
because it's a bit close to the support area for comfort.
All imo of course. All the fancy analysis in the world won't impress
the market - it'll go where it will, with us (hopefully) hanging on
its coat tails.
good trading
jon