Predicting future FX support and resistance levels using mathematics

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gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
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GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 10th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

GBPUSD followed EURUSD down to its low.

EURUSD made its low at its lowest daily sentiment level 1.1529

Both GBPUSD and EURUSD then rallied with EURUSD making its high at daily level 1.1617 and GBPUSD making ts high at the same time.

Prior to the EU news today GBPUSD had support on its weekly S1 level 1.2930. On the EU news GBPUSD rallied to its high and EURGBP collapsed to its low at daily level 0.8895

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 11th September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 11th September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 11th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

GBPUSD high for the day at daily level 1.3086 and low for the day at short term trend channel middle 1.2973

EURUSD high for the day at weekly level 1.1641 and low for the day at its lowest daily sentiment level 1.1569

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

Last edited:

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 12th September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 12th September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 12th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

GBPUSD low for the day at weekly sentiment level 1.2981.

GBPUSD high for the day at daily level 1.3080. And GBPUSD was unable to break through the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.3071.

EURUSD low for the day at its weekly sentiment level 1.1572.

EURUSD high for the day at its highest daily sentiment level 1.1647.

EURUSD not able to break through its weekly level 1.1641 again

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 13th September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 13th September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 13th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

EURUSD found support at the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.1612. On the 9:30 am (GMT-4) news it rallied to its high which coincided with the high for GBPUSD

GBPUSD found support at daily sentiment level 1.3030 and made its high at weekly sentiment level 1.3113

EURGBP found support at daily sentiment level 0.8893 and made its high at the middle of its short term trend channel at 0.8928

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 14th September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 14th September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 14th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

GBPUSD high for the day at weekly sentiment level 1.3135. Then fell to the lowest daily sentiment level at 1.3087 and found support for at least 2 hours.

GBPUSD low for the day at weekly level 1.3057

EURUSD rose to its high at daily level 1.1721. Then fell to its low at the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.1621

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 17th September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 17th September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
accuracy of your future prediction

Hi gka, how about the accuracy of your future prediction?
Thank you for your question.

There are two parts to the VRM levels.

1. The daily and weekly levels (24 of each type).
2. The short and long term trend channels (top, middle and bottom of each type)

Together they form the road map or obstacle course through which the FX will move in the next day and week. Retracements and reversals happen at these VRM levels.

Going back through my last posts in this thread showing hourly candlestick charts for the day and 10 minute candlestick charts throughout the day I believe the VRM does a good job of mapping out the retracement and reversal levels that the FX encounters.

The VRM cannot predict extreme events. It can predict where the FX can move to under extreme events. I attach a 4 hour candlestick chart showing the GBPUSD open on 15 January 2017 after extreme Brexit news over the weekend with the weekly predicted VRM levels calculated before the New York open. The FX opened exactly on weekly VRM level 1.1987.

Finally the middle of the short and long term trend channels give a measure of the bullishness and bearishness of the FX market.

If the FX closes the day below the middle of the short term trend channel then the market is short term bearish and vice versa it is bullish if it closes the day above the middle of the short term trend channel.

If the FX closes the week below the middle of the long term trend channel then the market is long term bearish and vice versa it is bullish if it closes the week above the middle of the long term trend channel.

So reading the latest VRM chart for GBPUSD in my last post for the New York open tonight 16th September, GBPUSD has been short term bullish for the last 5 days and long term bearish for the last 21 weeks.

Last Friday I would not have gone long GBPUSD because that would imply that GBPUSD would need to close above last weeks long term trend channel middle at 1.3071 and that did not happen. The close last Friday was 1.3068. In fact on Friday GBPUSD reversed at weekly sentiment level 1.3135 to fall below the middle of the long term trend channel 1. 3071.

Until GBPUSD closes the week above the middle of the long term trend channel middle it will never be long term bullish.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 17th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

At the start of the 24 hours GBPUSD found support on its weekly S1 sentiment level 1.3070 and EURUSD found support on its daily sentiment level 1.1622

GBPUSD rose to its daily high at daily level 1.3158 and EURUSD rose to its high at its highest weekly sentiment level 1.1688

EURGBP continued down its short term trend channel after making its high at the middle of its short term trend channel at 0.8905

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 18th September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 18th September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 18th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

GBPUSD trapped inside sentiment levels in last 24 hours. High for the day at daily sentiment level 1.3167. Low for the day at weekly sentiment level 1.3127

EURUSD high for the day at weekly level 1.1718 / daily level 1.1718. Low for the day at its lowest daily sentiment level 1.1657

EURGBP high for the day at daily level 0.8911 and its short term trend channel is still falling

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 19th September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 19th September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 19th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

GBPUSD had its high for the day at its daily level 1.3212 in the same hour as EURUSD had its high for the day at its daily level 1.1716

EURGBP had support during the day at its weekly S1 sentiment level 0.8868 and its high for the day at daily level 0.8921

In the same hour EURGBP made its high for the day GBPUSD made its low for the day.

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 20th September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 20th September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD results for 20th September

Yesterday I attached the predicted support and resistance levels of GBPUSD of the Volatility Response Model (VRM) for today.

EURGBP and EURUSD VRM levels and 11 other FX pairs were on the website

Here are the results for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD.

FOUR ATTACHMENTS

FIRST ATTACHMENT

Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts, daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included.

GBPUSD found support on its daily S1 sentiment level 1.3138. Then rallied to the top of its short term trend channel at 1.3301

EURGBP had support on its daily S1 sentiment level at 0.8880 then fell to the middle of its long term trend channel at 0.8845 and bounced but was unable to break up through its daily S1 sentiment level

EURUSD broke through its daily S1 sentiment level at 1.1675 and rallied to its weekly level 1.1787

LAST 3 ATTACHMENTS

Show 10 minute charts for the 3 FX through the day as they navigate their respective VRM levels

There were some large gaps between VRM levels to trade between.
 

Attachments

gka

Member
Dec 16, 2017
537
3
18
GBPUSD predictions for 21st September

I attach the VRM predictions for GBPUSD for tonight and tomorrow finishing 5 pm 21st September in New York.

The predictions are now in chart format and CSV format for input into charting systems. Predictions are in the column format of date, high, low, close, trend channel top, bottom and middle and 24 dual columns for the VRM levels. The last entry gives today's predictions and this week's predictions. The CSV file also gives past results for the VRM for back testing trading strategies. As the current day and week have not finished, the high, low and close entries are set to zero for these dates. The FX chart corresponds to the last daily and weekly CSV file entries.

Documents describing the Volatility Response Model (VRM) and the chart format can be found on the first post of this thread.

Predictions for VRM levels of EURGBP and EURUSD and 10 other FX pairs can be found on the website

My current trading strategy is on post #157 of this thread.
 

Attachments