SirFrancis
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MarvinS said:
Thanks for your input Marvin, your time is appreciated.
I am always bull! I cannot explain why but even in early 2000 I anticipated a rise in the markets - I'm painfully optimistic by nature.
However there is more to it than that. It is my opinion that for the past five years a great many investors have been saving their cash in the bank or purchasing investments in property. The return on equities outstripped both these in 2005 and will, all being equal, continue to do so in 2006. The stock exchange is being forgiven for its dereliction at the beginning of the century! So there will be a great deal of new investor cash entering the market this year. A significant amount of SIPP money previously earmarked for property is now looking for a new home.
Although this cash is insufficient to impact on the market, it reflects an optimistic mood amongst investors that will be amplified by stable or reducing interest rates, soon to be reducing energy prices and ongoing M & A rumour. Company profitability will improve throughout the year and I'm both a prophet and the son of a prophet!
I am a pig! oink oink oink....
To be honest your perception is spot on at the moment we are going through a bull run, however what goes up must come down. I would personally not be much of an investor at these levels, however if one would of taken this opinion in the early 90's no money would have been made.
True the Net asset worth of the nation has significantly grown with property prices shooting up, however the younger generation will suffer. In regards to a potential credit crunch it seems unlikely as all our heads are stuck in the clouds. Blinkers on BUY BUY BUY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Who is more foolish? The fool or the fool who follows the fool. (Obi-Wan Kenobi Star Wars)
To be honest your perception is spot on at the moment we are going through a bull run, however what goes up must come down. I would personally not be much of an investor at these levels, however if one would of taken this opinion in the early 90's no money would have been made.
True the Net asset worth of the nation has significantly grown with property prices shooting up, however the younger generation will suffer. In regards to a potential credit crunch it seems unlikely as all our heads are stuck in the clouds. Blinkers on BUY BUY BUY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Who is more foolish? The fool or the fool who follows the fool. (Obi-Wan Kenobi Star Wars)
CityTrader
Established member
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MarvinS said:
Wall of money will keep the market bouyant throughout 2006. O2, baa, hof, P&O etc etc. My personal view, is you will only come to harm shorting this market. I predict a close of 6130 end of year. Good luck with your bear strategies!!
CT
ps clients? what are you a stockbroker??
As a dealer i am not going to divulge any hot tips, however i reckon the FTSE is heading for 6000 or higher. I tried shorting the FTSE earlier on but i have decided it's not the right time.
One thing i have noticed is the slight lag in the Nasdaq comapred to the Dow30. If i was to take a view i would trade the Nasdaq 100 Dow Differential, that is buy tech's and sell blue chips stocks, or another trade could be sell the Dax and long the Nasdaq.
Dow/Nasdaq diff - 9400
Nasdaq/Dax diff - -4200
One thing i have noticed is the slight lag in the Nasdaq comapred to the Dow30. If i was to take a view i would trade the Nasdaq 100 Dow Differential, that is buy tech's and sell blue chips stocks, or another trade could be sell the Dax and long the Nasdaq.
Dow/Nasdaq diff - 9400
Nasdaq/Dax diff - -4200
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