EUR USD Short from 1.4225
Hi everyone. Had a horrible 2 weeks with my demo acct balance just going down further and further. However, I have finally started a profitable trade shorting EUR USD from 1.4224-ish. Saw what looked like the possibility of a big Head and Shoulders forming on the daily, 4hr and 1hr, so as usual went to 5 minute for better entries. Started out with 8 units and have progressively closed 5 units so far, so have 3 left in the trade and stop is now at break even at 1.4224.
My question of course is trade management. I have measured the top to the neckline of the H&S to be about 220 pips, and I suppose that is where the professionals would just set their take profit level, but I wonder if perhaps it might have much more in it than this. Currently looks like it is forming a mini H&S on the right shoulder, so if this eventuates before I have to go to sleep, then I may be brave and scale in some more. Would appreciate more experienced comments on when to scale out my 3 remaining units. The big level I see on the chart is 1.4000, but potentially this might even break that. EURUSD seems to have had a rapid run up, which I am hoping turns into a rapid swing down, which would go a long way to repairing my pride... and my trading balance!!
Addendum 1 @ GMT1246. Violent bounce off 1.412. Won't be surprised to see a retrace to 1.4185-1.4195 (50%fib of the latest downswing. I will be disappointed with much more than that, but at least my stop is at BE.
Regards, Chris Collins