Momentum/Trend Following with ETFs?

billpritjr

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Wanted some opinions on the below strategy. This can be done with any account balance, but lets say $100,000 cash balance to start.

Trader uses below data, and using "best performer for one month" information, keeps his 100K invested in the top 2 performing ETF's at all times. Trader could also use 90-day data.

Trader could choose to limit his universe to whatever trading volume ETF, say those which trade 1M or more a day, for liquidity.

SEE:

http://screen.morningstar.com/etf/Lists/ETFReturns.html

(sort 1-month return column)

also:

http://stockcharts.com/webcgi/perf....RKH,EWS,EWY,EWW

(adjust scroll bar to whatever time period)

As we know, trend following does not predict, it just responds, but we also know the #1 ETF will not drop to #50 in one month. Things happen gradually. We also know that things in motion tend to stay in motion.

Above strategy would require the trader to buy/sell ETFs every month to few months to remain in the top performer.

Thoughts?

Not saying this is the Holy Grail or even a good idea, just wanted to get some discussion going.
 
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