Low risk long term trading strategy

bigbadboot

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I've been working on this after seeing the Callan Associates Periodic Table of Investment Returns (see here: http://www.callan.com/research/download/?file=periodic%2Ffree%2F757.pdf if you haven't seen it before)
Anyway my trading strategy is to only invest during bear markets of a given sector (eg S&P500, Emerging Markets, Small Caps, etc) and to remain in government bonds the rest of the time to minimize downside risk. The results of 20 years (US based: http://www.moneybooty.com/staying-on-the-side-lines/ ) and 7 years (UK based: http://www.moneybooty.com/the-low-risk-strategy-that-has-outperformed-the-market-for-the-last-7-years/) are positive. Check out the links to find out more.
 
I've been working on this after seeing the Callan Associates Periodic Table of Investment Returns (see here: http://www.callan.com/research/download/?file=periodic%2Ffree%2F757.pdf if you haven't seen it before)
Anyway my trading strategy is to only invest during bear markets of a given sector (eg S&P500, Emerging Markets, Small Caps, etc) and to remain in government bonds the rest of the time to minimize downside risk. The results of 20 years (US based: http://www.moneybooty.com/staying-on-the-side-lines/ ) and 7 years (UK based: http://www.moneybooty.com/the-low-risk-strategy-that-has-outperformed-the-market-for-the-last-7-years/) are positive. Check out the links to find out more.

define bear market
 
Over the span of 20 years, buying ETFs at any current level would be profitable. I'd put at least 50% in bonds and commodities if I were wealthy. Then spread 40% in sectors. Sit on it until I retire. Trade 10% in equities and options for fun. Maybe some sports betting, horse races, and poker too.
 
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