Low risk long term trading strategy

[bigbadboot]

I've been working on this after seeing the Callan Associates Periodic Table of Investment Returns (see here: http://www.callan.com/research/download/?file=periodic%2Ffree%2F757.pdf if you haven't seen it before)
Anyway my trading strategy is to only invest during bear markets of a given sector (eg S&P500, Emerging Markets, Small Caps, etc) and to remain in government bonds the rest of the time to minimize downside risk. The results of 20 years (US based: http://www.moneybooty.com/staying-on-the-side-lines/ ) and 7 years (UK based: http://www.moneybooty.com/the-low-risk-strategy-that-has-outperformed-the-market-for-the-last-7-years/) are positive. Check out the links to find out more.

 

[NVP]

I've been working on this after seeing the Callan Associates Periodic Table of Investment Returns (see here: http://www.callan.com/research/download/?file=periodic%2Ffree%2F757.pdf if you haven't seen it before)
Anyway my trading strategy is to only invest during bear markets of a given sector (eg S&P500, Emerging Markets, Small Caps, etc) and to remain in government bonds the rest of the time to minimize downside risk. The results of 20 years (US based: http://www.moneybooty.com/staying-on-the-side-lines/ ) and 7 years (UK based: http://www.moneybooty.com/the-low-risk-strategy-that-has-outperformed-the-market-for-the-last-7-years/) are positive. Check out the links to find out more.

define bear market

 

[drtro]

Over the span of 20 years, buying ETFs at any current level would be profitable. I'd put at least 50% in bonds and commodities if I were wealthy. Then spread 40% in sectors. Sit on it until I retire. Trade 10% in equities and options for fun. Maybe some sports betting, horse races, and poker too.