GBPvsUSD

smullaney

Junior member
37 1
Personally I am looking for the pound to drop - I have no target though. My basic reading of the chart suggests a continued drop....Gut feel is for a turnaround mid week - but of course we don't work on emotions :cheesy:
 

Car Key Boi

Well-known member
396 8
i don't know about this week, but in the next few months i figure that the dollar will be sold at every opportunity and before next years election, don't be surprised to see a dollar backed by gold in order to prevent it's ultimate destruction. The debt in the US is out of control and they are in a box that they cannot escape. This is hte real troof behind the American economy

US dollar is in big trouble. Greenspan didn't really have the option of dropping rates by more than .25% If he had, all hell would've broken loose on the dollar...
 

CityTrader

Established member
665 26
I think it'll drop- already tried shorting it ( and getting stopped out)- maybe that's why it's not going down- too many bears..?
 

smullaney

Junior member
37 1
I shorted as well. Not stopped out but damn close. I might just close anyway soon. Not quite what I expected :cry:
 

genti

Active member
152 0
weekly gbp-USD

I reckon if it does not trade and hold above 16580/90. soon we may see 250/300 in the cards.(weekly)
 

warm_machine

Member
70 0
Pound is benefiting from interest rate differentials...following Norway's rate cut, the pound offers the highest rate available from as far as developed nations are concerned, making it an excellent yield play. Debt wise it's also considered to be at least the second best debtor globally. So there is much demand for the currency; it is benefiting from positive flows.
 

genti

Active member
152 0
still not thinking about 16580/90. however if it goes and hold above that , we should see 700/800 in the chats.



by the way i have no trade on this one.(just monitoring it)
 

warm_machine

Member
70 0
Neckline of head & shoulder comes in at 1.6640 today so bears can argue that it's just a retracement whilst under there. Bulls will point to the fact that the long term trend is still intact. Euro will be key to cable's movements.
 

Newtron Bomb

Experienced member
1,602 86
GBP/USD

We have just seen the break of the down trend and the possible start of a new up trend.

There is also an resistance level at 6560 which it has just penetrated and found support from there was also some minor resistance which was marked at 6590.

Very loosely based on these levels it appears to be an ascending triangle which has just confirmed a break out. I would give this a target of 1.6710 there abouts. if it can get past some previous minor resistance at 1.6660 and 1.6690 and reach my target then it would not be imposable for it to get back to 1.6800

At the time we discussed this in the chat room and the direction of the break out. I am currently long 1.6525, 1.6536, 1.6575. At the time of writing 1.6625 has just been filled

I was also told in the chat room that the funnymentals could warrant such a move but i dont look at them so cant comment
 

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Newtron Bomb

Experienced member
1,602 86
As we see events unfold, there are several features which stand out. Continuing with just the patterns that are plain to see there are two ascending triangles forming, the smaller of the two looks better formed thus far and is showing a target of 0.0135 points. The uptrend is finding previous resistance which, i thought would only be minor, and could show a larger ascending triangle with a target of 0.0195 point.

The more interesting factor is that this is only basic TA and we are seeing patterns within patterns which, in my mind, demonstrates the simplicity with which you can successfully trade with only a small amount of knowledge.
 

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warm_machine

Member
70 0
At present, unable to regain neck line (today comes in at about 1.6650). The present fluctuation could last for a few days but the pair will need to stay above 1.6550 otherwise it risks the resumption of the recent downtrend. Bulls look for a close above the neck line while bears will obviously gun for the lower level. As is often the case, cable's fate is tied to that of the euro and any break out there will lead the way for the pound; 1.1510/1.16 lvls to watch for the euro.
 

Newtron Bomb

Experienced member
1,602 86
I suppose it was too much to hope for a combination of events all working together, and going in my favour!

Anyway a new uptrend has been confirmed with a consolidation at the 50% retracement area. The channel has a 50 point range which would give a breakout range of 1.6710 for the up move and 1.6560 for a downward resistance target, that is if a new channel is formed.

I still fancy this move to go higher, especially now there is a solid trend in force. A move below1.6600 would trigger me to take profits on three of the positions mentioned and a small loss on the fourth and to start assessing whether a short position is warranted
 

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Newtron Bomb

Experienced member
1,602 86
Am no wave expert but i do think that there is something to watch out for.

Is this the start of the 3rd leg down?

Although am currently long, I always have a plan B and be ready to use it.
 

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