Following the money: catching the trends before they realize

Mr. Crabs

Established member
598 3
I've been making threads for a while so instead I thought I would just put all my thoughts into one thread. My focus is speculating where savvy deep pockets will stash their cash before a trend is created out of it.

I called this past gold bounce, USD breaking support and the EUR cornering to the upside, all in the short term. Usually I focus on significant short-term moves and mod-term reversals.

Mod-tem my outlook is to buy the AUD, short the EUR as I mentioned in prior threads. This trend realized partially but the EUR has been holding up staunchly. The AUD on the other hand moved up much quicker than I anticipated. (y)

This leads me to a new short-term idea that the EURUSD will pivot, the EUR will fracture dragging the AUD down with it in the short-term. The CAD will move up contrary, after the CAD bounces the USD will pull back and the AUD will resume its' high intensity rebound. :idea:

Gold will pull back into the $1,300 range to re-energize its' short-term bounce so it may extend into the mod-term and subsequently long-term as the market takes profits and reverses bearish early next year. :clover:

So there you have it. This will be my official thread for all the macro-trends I find that can be taken advantage of. I intend to post my thoughts on everything macro-market related, not only on the forex and commodity markets but in stock markets as well.
 

Mr. Crabs

Established member
598 3
Gold will pull back into the $1,300 range to re-energize its' short-term bounce so it may extend into the mod-term and subsequently long-term as the market takes profits and reverses bearish early next year. :clover:
Still waiting on gold to fracture, would like to see it pull back under 1,330 and to find support right around 1,320 before rebounding and re-energizing the bulls.
 

Mr. Crabs

Established member
598 3
The first short-term sell signal for gold is in.

Still waiting on gold to fracture, would like to see it pull back under 1,330 and to find support right around 1,320 before rebounding and re-energizing the bulls.
So gold fractured right after I happened to post this reply to myself early this morning and it is having a hard time breaking back out. It pulled off a relatively strong rebound initially but it pulled back to intra-day support and has shown weakness considering it has not bounced back up strongly a second time. Looks like some profits on the short-side were taken and positions are reloading. If this fractures again it will send a strong sell signal and create a greater profit allowance for those who already have short positions. I think there's a strong chance it will fracture again within the next 12 hours.
 
Last edited:

rsh01

Experienced member
1,184 299
Gold will pull back into the $1,300 range
Still waiting on gold to fracture, would like to see it pull back under 1,330 and to find support right around 1,320
post: 29/10/13; Gold low: $1340
So gold fractured right after I happened to post this reply to myself
wtf does 'fracture' mean? if you meant it to mean a 'sell off at specific price levels i have mentioned' then you have failed miserably as your levels keep changing & they still havent hit them yet. joke.

and then.....

post: 29/10/13; Gold low: $1340
I think there's a strong chance it will fracture again within the next 12 hours.
...congrats on finally including a time frame when mentioning 'fracture' but hang on, you seem to be missing 'price' now....how convenient. did it 'fracture' when hitting the low of 1338?

you sound like a shill at best & a potential vendor at worst.

g/l.
 

Mr. Crabs

Established member
598 3
Gold cracked again. Things moving forward as I have expected.

post: 29/10/13; Gold low: $1340


wtf does 'fracture' mean? if you meant it to mean a 'sell off at specific price levels i have mentioned' then you have failed miserably as your levels keep changing & they still havent hit them yet. joke.

and then.....

post: 29/10/13; Gold low: $1340

...congrats on finally including a time frame when mentioning 'fracture' but hang on, you seem to be missing 'price' now....how convenient. did it 'fracture' when hitting the low of 1338?

you sound like a shill at best & a potential vendor at worst.

g/l.
Some people have no class. :rolleyes: Did you really expect me to read this / address this entirely? (n)

By fracture I meant the price would fracture i.e. drop sharply and significantly. I have been proven correct again, this hours $23 drop will likely prove to be a sell signal to traders. I covered my short position at a profit and will maintain only a nominal short position until gold turns bullish again.
 

Mr. Crabs

Established member
598 3
XD funny how gold "fractured" 10 minutes after you posted.

post: 29/10/13; Gold low: $1340


wtf does 'fracture' mean? if you meant it to mean a 'sell off at specific price levels i have mentioned' then you have failed miserably as your levels keep changing & they still havent hit them yet. joke.

and then.....

post: 29/10/13; Gold low: $1340

...congrats on finally including a time frame when mentioning 'fracture' but hang on, you seem to be missing 'price' now....how convenient. did it 'fracture' when hitting the low of 1338?

you sound like a shill at best & a potential vendor at worst.

g/l.
Ain't life a peach? :p
 

rsh01

Experienced member
1,184 299
Some people have no class. :rolleyes: Did you really
expect me to read this / address this entirely? (n)

By fracture I meant the price would fracture i.e. drop sharply and significantly. I have been proven correct again, this hours $23 drop will likely prove to be a sell signal to traders. I covered my short position at a profit and will maintain only a nominal short position until gold turns bullish again.
let google educate you in the english language....

definition of fracture: "the cracking or breaking of a hard object or material"

(nb: note no mention of drop sharply/significantly/'or drop/fall in any way whatsoever')

so lets replace object / material with 'level' ie price level - great, i can hang with that, but both levels you have mentioned so far are: 1300 & 1330 (changed v swiftly), & so far price HAS NOT broken these levels.

i will ignore the ad hominem comments.

what is intriguing though is in your reply you have mentioned a much more specific time frame - 'this hour'. congratulations. now all you need to do is stop backslapping yourself:

So gold fractured right after I happened to post this reply to myself
....when clearly you are just making sh1t up (including new meanings of words).

laters.
 

Mr. Crabs

Established member
598 3
Market developments, evolving speculations EUR/USD/AUD

Mod-tem my outlook is to buy the AUD, short the EUR as I mentioned in prior threads. This trend realized partially but the EUR has been holding up staunchly. The AUD on the other hand moved up much quicker than I anticipated. (y)

This leads me to a new short-term idea that the EURUSD will pivot, the EUR will fracture dragging the AUD down with it in the short-term.
Looking back I have to revise my expectations. The AUD fell while the EUR held up which means to me that when the EUR cracks the AUD will move up sharply yet again directly inverse to the EUR.
 

Mr. Crabs

Established member
598 3
let google educate you in the english language....

definition of fracture: "the cracking or breaking of a hard object or material"

(nb: note no mention of drop sharply/significantly/'or drop/fall in any way whatsoever')

so lets replace object / material with 'level' ie price level - great, i can hang with that, but both levels you have mentioned so far are: 1300 & 1330 (changed v swiftly), & so far price HAS NOT broken these levels.

i will ignore the ad hominem comments.

what is intriguing though is in your reply you have mentioned a much more specific time frame - 'this hour'. congratulations. now all you need to do is stop backslapping yourself:



....when clearly you are just making sh1t up (including new meanings of words).

laters.
Are you really going to deny gold made a sharp move to the downside?

Are you enjoying this? How pathetic. Be real. No one could possibly be that big of a **** in real life.
 

Mr. Crabs

Established member
598 3
Are you proud of yourself?

let google educate you in the english language....

definition of fracture: "the cracking or breaking of a hard object or material"

(nb: note no mention of drop sharply/significantly/'or drop/fall in any way whatsoever')

so lets replace object / material with 'level' ie price level - great, i can hang with that, but both levels you have mentioned so far are: 1300 & 1330 (changed v swiftly), & so far price HAS NOT broken these levels.

....when clearly you are just making sh1t up (including new meanings of words).

laters.
Because if wasting my time was your goal, you have succeeded. The price of gold cracked, as I predicted correctly. I deserve a pat on the back for making predictions with such a frequent rate of correctness. I deserve a pat on the back for being able to lead the market in the most profitable directions for those who operate their positions not based on greed but on effectiveness.

As for my predictions in price level. I did not change them. I did not state that the initial price cracks would bring the price to $1,330 or $1,300. What I did state was the price cracking being a sell signal. Also I did not change my mind, I stated I anticipated that gold would pullback around $1,300 and at least under $1,330 preferably. As under 1,300 I will build a buy position more aggressively than I would above it, and I would begin to build my buy position under $1,330.

Are you happy now? Hope the others that have strolled through this thread got something good from it. I'd prefer not to waste anyones time bantering back and forth to this grade A asshole.
 

rsh01

Experienced member
1,184 299
Because if wasting my time was your goal, you have succeeded. The price of gold cracked, as I predicted correctly. I deserve a pat on the back for making predictions with such a frequent rate of correctness. I deserve a pat on the back for being able to lead the market in the most profitable directions for those who operate their positions not based on greed but on effectiveness.

As for my predictions in price level. I did not change them. I did not state that the initial price cracks would bring the price to $1,330 or $1,300. What I did state was the price cracking being a sell signal. Also I did not change my mind, I stated I anticipated that gold would pullback around $1,300 and at least under $1,330 preferably. As under 1,300 I will build a buy position more aggressively than I would above it, and I would begin to build my buy position under $1,330.

Are you happy now? Hope the others that have strolled through this thread got something good from it. I'd prefer not to waste anyones time bantering back and forth to this grade A asshole.
repeat: "i will ignore the ad hominem comments".

The price of gold cracked
your first paragraph is not worthy of a response.

but this is funny...what is it with you and 'breaking' type words? they make 0 sense, until you add more detail ie S/R levels etc.

vague, inconsistent & largely incomprehensible in your posts.....are you related to atilla?

(joke)

i cannot wait til gold shatters (up or down?: who knows) the current trend, & then i might buy [or sell] on something or other time frame.

g/l.
 

Shakone

Senior member
2,458 665
repeat: "i will ignore the ad hominem comments".



your first paragraph is not worthy of a response.

but this is funny...what is it with you and 'breaking' type words? they make 0 sense, until you add more detail ie S/R levels etc.

vague, inconsistent & largely incomprehensible in your posts.....are you related to atilla?

(joke)

i cannot wait til gold shatters (up or down?: who knows) the current trend, & then i might buy [or sell] on something or other time frame.

g/l.
You mean you'll take a position before it ruptures support? You're a very aggressive trader rsh01. I would not enter tall until resistance had been thoroughly fragmented, nor enter little until support had been demolished. You must have great trade management skills.
 
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rsh01

Experienced member
1,184 299
tut

You mean you'll take a position before it ruptures support? You're a very aggressive trader rsh01. I would not enter tall until resistance had been thoroughly fragmented, nor enter little until support had been demolished. You must have great trade management skills.
with the utmost respect shak, and without giving away my secret holy (only 85 left) grail cuboid type thingy, penetration (PBs! caveat: on a certain t/f) and/or shattering signals @ random price levels works perfect - regardless your risk levels, moreso if you download my explosion indicator which has been tested thoroughly over the last cpl of weeks when spooz scalping 3 pips with rr 1:1 (limit orders only).

the 'guy fawkes' add on rolls out in a few days.
 

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