Conspiracy Trader

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
Don't Burst My Bubble...
“There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as the final and total catastrophe of the currency involved.” ~ Ludwig Von Mises

The United States is now based on debt; this perpetual debt has come from the promotion of wealth and financial security. Some may say that consumers and borrowers were coaxed into the borrowing to expand growth in our economy by spending. We saw the outcome of debt and mass loans can do in 2008. In 1999 through 2005, the housing market was up trending and the federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) wanted to make buying a home more accessible to everyone. In 1977, The Community Reinvestment Act gave strong incentives to lenders who would loan money to low-income borrowers expanding the role of bankers to loan sales men. In 1980, the Monetary Control Act Deregulation made it so lenders could change the interest rate depending on the borrower's credit score, the lower the score the higher the rate, unfortunately a low score is a sign of debt or non-consistent income. In 1982, The Alternative Mortgage Transaction Parity Act gave way to balloon payments making a final payment much higher than original payments and Variable Interest Rates Loans, a loan that fluctuates over time. Then in 1986, The Tax Reform Act that lowered the top tax rate and raised the bottom, it was the first time in income tax history and gave back substantially if you bought a home. All of these Acts were to entice home buyers who could not truly afford a home.

This gave way to a real problem called Sub-prime lending. In 1999, the sub-prime loan mortgage market exploded and anyone with bad credit, no credit, low income, no income could get a loan. Sub-prime loans are primarily used to finance mortgages that Prime loan qualifications cannot meet. This added nine million people to the ranks of home ownership, more than half were minorities. The people were uneducated about the loans and the consequences that could take place. The sub-prime loans offered are expensive and have major penalties and higher interest rates that can make the payments overwhelming as the rate increases. The people knew little about the mechanism of a sub-prime loan, and eagerly singed papers to fulfill their dream of home ownership. The worst mortgages were offered to the least qualified, Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs) like interest only or payment option ARMs would reset after one to two years, then change weekly or monthly. As the increase in borrowers flooded the market, the home equity was rising and the borrower would sell or refinance before the rates would adjust, at least that is what the banks would convince you of while you were signing. They knew what they were doing.

The Federal Reserve lowered the Federal funds rate 11 times, from 6.5% in May 2000 to 1.75% in December 2001. This created a flood of liquidity and growth in the economy and other lending markets. The Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) relaxed the net capital that freed them to leverage up to 30, even 40 times their initial investment in 2004. Goldman Sachs (GS) The Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch (MER), and Morgan Stanley (MS) all acquired new lenders; including Sub-prime, lenders securing trillions of dollars in mortgage backed securities and saw bigger profits than expected for years. In return the stocks kept rising. The FED began raising its rates up to 5.25 percent.

As people became aware of the downfalls the loans held, the horror stories were airing on every headline creating panic and people stopped buying and started defaulting on their loans. The lenders of the sub-prime loans were filing for bankruptcy weekly, in February of 2007 over twenty-five companies filed for bankruptcy. The news spread like a wildfire. The degree of leverage by the large companies could no longer be supported and they “broke the buck” by creating capital risk with leverage. Many investment firms were unable to cover the credit derivative contracts. They halted the sales of short sells trying to stabilize the market, but it was too late. The panic and uncertainty spread in to the interbank market and they needed to prevent it from becoming a global catastrophe. The government then had to issue bailout programs with help from the European Union and Japan and other central banks came together using conventional and unconventional methods to provide liquidity support to the institutions. The Fed cut rates along with the CB, Sweden, China, Canada, Switzerland, and The European Central Bank. It was not enough. Each with their own versions of bailout packages, outright nationalization government guarantees, and finally The U.S. came out with The National Economic Stabilization Act buying up billions of distressed assets.

We still have seen the effects of the bubble that burst in the mortgage market; the market has not fully recovered and may never. Economic cycles that are manipulated though the monetary expansion, this debt can create a large bubble, much larger than the natural cycle would hold. With that, larger bubble will come much larger consequences; right now, the magnitude of this bubble we are facing in 2015 is bigger than it’s ever been in history. Since 2008, the Central banks (CB) and Federal Reserve (FED) removed collateral from the markets that were high quality. The American people and government are even more leveraged out against even smaller quality assets paying a much higher price than they ever were in 2007. The Wall Street Journal came out with an estimate that states “a third of traders have never or will witness a rate hike” this era has driving a rise in leverage. Chain reaction leading to the collapse has been set in motion for some time now.

The U.S. Treasuries has a rate of return that is considered “risk free” rate of return that is the assets that all assets are priced based on riskiness. The rate has been falling for over twenty-five years. These falling rates then spread to other rates of return making investors barrow or turn to leverage to gain a higher return. While the past thirty years, we have seen investing risk getting cheaper because the bull market those bonds have been in. This time it will be much different the crash will be all assets worldwide and it will happen simultaneously to devastate huge segments of the global population. The Fed can keep printing money until they own all the publicly traded companies and we all end up working for the FED or government. The powers that be like the major investment institutes, CB the FED whose actions have perpetuated and continue to exacerbate the bubble, know just what the outcome of their actions and decisions will be. The European Central Bank, The World bank along with The International Monetary Fund (IMF) all understand and have understood just what this next massive credit bubble and most large corporations wont be hurt by the outcome. They know they have laid the groundwork for it and in some way, they will profit from it in the end. The bubble will only hurt the public and again their personal savings accounts will be drained in the bailout funded by hard working middle class, until they have, nothing left to contribute it will be for the good of the nation, of course.
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
Out of control
The ever-looming Grexit decision has created weakness and uncertainty in the Euro and the Central Banker's have been planning just what to do next and what limited options they have. The other currencies can benefit from the decision one way or another, one alone would benefit the most the Swiss Franc (CHF). If Greece exits the Euro (EUR) Switzerland would have billions of fresh capital that would need a safe place, that it wont be denominated into Greece's new or old Lira, Peseta or Drachma. One thing is for sure, the Swiss will do whatever it takes to benefit them in the long run. The CEO of Zuercher Cantonal Bank, Martin Scholl has said "anything is possible" when asked the question if they were going to implement capital controls or lower the already negative interest rates. Capital controls limit the flow of foreign capital in a domestic economy. This flow in and out of capital affects Forex, bond, equities and overall market based forces. Control over the flow in and out of an economy can be seen as positive or negative and has been a subject of much debate. The foreign capital includes tariffs, taxes, outright legislation and volume. Many have strong opinions on just how this can affect the economy overall. Economy's open to foreign capital give large companies easier access and the overall demand for domestic stocks can rise a great deal. Some think it can limit the efficiency and economic process, tight capital controls in developing counties are common. The integration of financial markets along with other global factors have contributed to the easing of controls, yet the Swiss are saying this is a option. Central banks all over the world are blowing up with liquidity, what choice does a independent Central Bank have other than limiting their own currency's convertibility? They have an obligation to protect their country's currency from the coming currency crap-storms, and they will do whatever it takes.

The Swiss don't really have any commodities so they import them in U.S. dollars (USD) or in Euros (EUR) so they are striving to lower their currency even though they are in a healthy position with good demand for their currency. Capital controls are control of money and that just leads to control of people, the banks are feeling as though they are losing control over the money and the people. This is a big problem and the SNB will have to make some major decisions before the grexit.

The Swiss have been open with their plans and generally give a great deal when it comes to their next moves and strive in maintaining their independence. They were not so forthcoming when they ended the cap, in fact they made statements that would make people think they never would end it. Because of this many think they have lost their well established credibility. The Central Bank had stated that "The minimum exchange rate must remain" just two days before ending the CHF cap, that caused a black swan event within the market. Huge currency swings like that make trading highly problematic, and fear moves the market the most. People are veering from unstable currencies, however the CHF is a historically "safe" currency. Normally capital controls are implemented to prevent a massive outflow of capital not a inflow, in turn this would seem that the National Bank (SNB) could be worried about a collapse in the CHF or the other way around they thought that a strong currency would hurt exports.

The currency war is accelerating. Central banks, like all decision makers have a range of options. The SNB (one Friday afternoon on a bank holiday weekend) may just impose negative interest rates to a level that forces bank runs then order capital controls to lock everyone out of getting their money, highly doubtful. The discussion of imposing negative rates is a clear sign that the borrowing entity is bankrupt. The SNB has not stated that they will impose the negative interest rates or capital control. However, when you say you're not considering something at the moment, that seems to imply that you might consider it in the future. Most people in the U.S. pay with plastic not cash , in Europe more cash is used. We may soon have to bank at home , it will be the only safe place for your money. The banker cartel's worst fear is that we will take the money printing press away from them and no longer support digital and fiat.
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
It is all Greek to me...
Just because you read it, see it or feel it, doesn’t mean it is real or you understand it. I have been horrified how the media sways the opinions of people and the market with inaccurate or misleading information. The whole Eurozone and Greek fiasco has been consuming headlines for months and now is postponed until March. I have found most of the information and publicity I have seen and heard is swayed and bias. The information varies from one extreme side to the other; how the Greeks are lazy and spent more than they brought in, they never enforce or paid taxes or they just want to blame the banks, they should suffer, they already were bailed out once. Greece may have been irresponsible, but the banks funded that irresponsibility, knowing Greece was totally bankrupt... The media is making it seem like Greece is snubbing The German taxpayer who is extending a hand just trying to help. The understanding of the language used is what needs to be clear to people reading about all of this as to what exactly the bailout entails.
The Greeks are upset because what they are rejecting is a loan not a bailout, the term “bailout” is misleading on so many levels. A “Bailout” is actually referring to the banks, unless they are bailing out payments to Greek banks. It is not Greece itself or its economy, the money involved in the “bailout” will not help Greece. It will be used to bail out bad banks. Unfortunately, Greece is just a cover for the money transfer. Just to be clear what happened to the “loans” the last time, ninety-two percent went directly to banks, six percent went to government, and only two percent went back to the Greek people. The Greek people are the victims of the banker cartel who is immune to any and all consequences with their actions and funded Greece without effective collateral, knowing the credit risk and dumped funds into it anyway, just socializing the loses to the taxpayers.
The real problem to the Euro group is how any changes they make will affect the global derivatives market. The derivatives market holds roughly seven hundred trillion dollars, ten times the size of the world (GDP) it includes bonds from many different countries, even bankrupt countries, like Greece. The entire western financial system has sovereign bonds from other counties. Sovereign bonds are seen as a “risk free” asset when considering the risk the chances a company will go belly up is way more risk than a whole country going belly up. The banks have to consider what happens to the trades made using Greek sovereign bonds. Many factors have to be looked at by both sides; one thing not mentioned much is the most important thing, collateral. The primary collateral underlying all of these trades is Greece. Sovereign bonds are the senior most assets pledged as collateral for the trillions dollars worth of trades. The bondholders will be affected most by the decisions made. Just how and how much they will be affected is the real question. The last bail out was for the Euro banks that held Greek bonds as collateral. This is not about helping and restricting the Greek economy; it’s all about the Euro group and banks the collateral and maintaining the balance sheet to avoid taking a loss.

To make the situation and language clear, to the people of Europe, the Greeks have spoken at the Tour of Europe to correct misleading information and terminology of just what they are asking for and what the Euro group is offering. Greece and Germany are using non-communication “communication” the resolution is not close. Now Washington has stuck its nose in to the Business between Greece and the Euro group “urging a compromise” this has been by the US Treasury secretary, Jacob Lew. Ironic that the United States can even speak on the debt with America eight-teen trillion dollars in debt.

They want Greece to leave their policies behind and pay back the debt they owe. This of course is not going to happen. Why would Greece pay it back even if it could when every country has debt in one way or another and they are not expected to pay up the hundred percent in debt they owe (US). Greece is just a few years ahead of the rest of the world. The numbers the Euro group is asking for will be impossible for Greece to pay back. Can we even believe the numbers that they are giving us? The numbers are calculated by the same system that was used to get Greece approved into the Euro. We saw those numbers, they were completely fraudulent. How can we blame anyone or take sides? The central banking system has everyone believing that money is free, and now feel entitled to it. There maybe “no risk” in the central banking system, but now there is no value. The bankruptcy and austerity are now inevitable for many counties. This has all been a game, a play executed by best-organized gangs of criminals, our world’s biggest gangsters, the banksters. They are who effectively control the biggest forms of organized crime…the government. All we can do is sit back and watch, while poor Spain and Italy, watching, and thinking, saying, “We’re next”
Germany is doing all of this the worst way they can. They are pushing the decision back to March giving Russia and China time to set up a fund for Greece, which would be a huge game changer. I am sure the Eurozone ego would never see Greece joining Russia as part of its master plan. Spring tends to be Europe’s protesting months, and civilization cannot survive on run theft ethics. The Euro group has most likely already dumped Greek bonds on pension funds long before now. The only reason Greece would repay is to give the Eurozone citizens reassurance that they haven’t just been robbed. Default maybe the only answer; it is immoral to ask future generations to pay debts they did not incur. . The real problem ultimately is the fact, that to a central bank you are the collateral.
This could this just be a step closer to achieving a global currency deemed as the only legal tender by the IMF. They all know eventual inevitabilities with their Madoff-scheme debt-based monetary system. We as individuals will have to change the system. The change will require more than merely recognizing the social facts about central banks; we have to profoundly change paradigms that will be necessary to perceive those central facts in radically different ways. Then you will have a chance of formulating real solutions to the endless cycle of treacherous usury that is the banking system. The global bond bubble is still going to burst; when it does, it will make the last crisis look like a cartoon. Let us not overlook the Euro banks as a whole are leveraged at twenty-six to one.

Just for your own information…The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) Report states on page. 48
The CFMA effectively shielded OTC derivatives from virtually all regulation or oversight. Subsequently, other laws enabled the expansion of the market. For example, under a 2005 amendment to the bankruptcy laws, derivatives counterparties were given the advantage over other creditors of being able to immediately terminate their contracts and seize collateral at the time of bankruptcy.
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
That Janet Yellen is Quite a GUY!
Part 1
Last year Ben Bernanke’s predecessor Janet Yellen was sworn in as the Federal Reserve’s (FEDs) chairperson February 2014, she is the first women to lead the FED in its one hindered year history; many people attribute her position to Obama because she was his top pick for the chair. It became clear she would follow in the footsteps of Bernanke after leading her first meeting a little over a month after being sworn in. The decisions the FED make effect every person on a global scale; they truly are the most powerful independent entity in the world. Although the FED is independent, the FEDs governor positions of the FOMC members are appointed by the US President with the approval from the US Senate for fourteen year terms. This fourteen year term is designed to minimize the political influence one president could have over the board. The FED tells us their goal is to have steady economic growth, Yellen has been open about her goals normalizing the US economy.
If the FEDs decision was truly based on data as much as they proclaim they would have increased rates already. If the US showed signs of real economic recovery, Yellen wouldn’t have to tiptoe around her wording the way she is. The FED recently has tried to become “more transparent” with their decisions. Yet, we as the domestic public are only allowed to know very limited information as to what exactly they as a whole are looking at. The FOMC members look at what they call a “Green Book” the forecast of the US economy, a “Blue Book” that holds monetary policy alternatives and the “Beige Book” that is the only book of these three that is released to the public two weeks before the FOMC meeting. This Beige Book holds a description of economic conditions from each Reserve banks district.
The anticipation of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is just as important when trading Forex as the actual rise or decrease of the interest rate decision. Statements made by any FED member are extremely important. Analysts dissect every word and examine the language used. For many, a hedge on what decisions the FED make is the key to outsmarting the competition and profiting. The media loves any statements made about or by the FED, it is difficult to look at the facts with the government run media polluting the market with meaningless opinions, or what they want you to believe is the direction they are taking. Even the announcements by the FED itself can be misleading, for instance they took two years to stop Quantitative Easing (QE) after saying that they were considering it. Fortunes ride on every word of the Federal Reserves announcements. No other legislative entity has more power and influence on how the financial market moves than the FED. Other counties look to the FED for direction and have even followed the FEDs monetary policies, and continue to do so. This coming meeting is particularly important for many private traders, investors, and big money. This meeting is on the Federal Funds interest rate change, an increase or the decrease of Federal Funds interest rates. The decision will impact every US bank’s interest rate fee and how they lend and barrow money.
For those that don’t know what the FOMC interest rate decision is, let me briefly explain. One could think about the importance of this meeting and announcement like the government quarterly earnings report. Eight times a year the FOMC meets to set the monetary stance, fixing the federal funds overnight borrowing rate. This federal funds “interest rate” is what you hear so much about, the rate the Federal Reserve (FED) lends balances to other depository institutions, banks borrowing reserves and lending to one another at the Federal Funds Rate. The FOMC sets a target rate rage; however, the Open Market actually decides the rate itself. That is why most of the terminology used by the FED is vague or abstract misleading even contradictory. Market forces determine the actual rate itself. The FED will do what it needs to by influencing the operations in swaying the Open Market a multitude of ways. The FOMC makes changes based on non-specific economic data and undisclosed target numbers. Banks, credit unions, all depository institutions are required to keep a target amount of money in reserves at all times. For instance when a bank is over or low on that target reserve they must borrow or lend. A bank above the target is sitting on non-interest gaining money and will be lent to another who is low on their target reserve. The Federal Funds Rate adjusts to the supply and demand of bank reserves .The decrease in rates comes from the reserve supply being greater than the demand causing a decrease in the funds rate. The reports that are looked over by the FOMC from the Central Banks (CB) is ultimately what sets the target rate for now and direction in the future. If a rate decrease is needed, the FED buys US treasury securities creating new money and a larger reserve supply, increasing bank reserves without overnight borrowing in the reserves market. If the reserve supply demand is higher than the supply, they raise rates. The increase means the FOMC would sell US treasury securities causing a reduction of bank reserves and more overnight borrowing. The FED buying and selling open market operations and US Treasury securities is the way they implement monetary policy and maintain the target rate. The problem is liquidity keeps drying up, then open market law fails as money increases then becomes too expensive for government to borrow, this is what Yellen is trying to avoid.
 

richieforex

Member
60 5
Will the FED be stupid enough to raise rates?

That Janet Yellen is Quite a GUY!
Part 1
Last year Ben Bernanke’s predecessor Janet Yellen was sworn in as the Federal Reserve’s (FEDs) chairperson February 2014, she is the first women to lead the FED in its one hindered year history; many people attribute her position to Obama because she was his top pick for the chair. It became clear she would follow in the footsteps of Bernanke after leading her first meeting a little over a month after being sworn in. The decisions the FED make effect every person on a global scale; they truly are the most powerful independent entity in the world. Although the FED is independent, the FEDs governor positions of the FOMC members are appointed by the US President with the approval from the US Senate for fourteen year terms. This fourteen year term is designed to minimize the political influence one president could have over the board. The FED tells us their goal is to have steady economic growth, Yellen has been open about her goals normalizing the US economy.
If the FEDs decision was truly based on data as much as they proclaim they would have increased rates already. If the US showed signs of real economic recovery, Yellen wouldn’t have to tiptoe around her wording the way she is. The FED recently has tried to become “more transparent” with their decisions. Yet, we as the domestic public are only allowed to know very limited information as to what exactly they as a whole are looking at. The FOMC members look at what they call a “Green Book” the forecast of the US economy, a “Blue Book” that holds monetary policy alternatives and the “Beige Book” that is the only book of these three that is released to the public two weeks before the FOMC meeting. This Beige Book holds a description of economic conditions from each Reserve banks district.
The anticipation of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is just as important when trading Forex as the actual rise or decrease of the interest rate decision. Statements made by any FED member are extremely important. Analysts dissect every word and examine the language used. For many, a hedge on what decisions the FED make is the key to outsmarting the competition and profiting. The media loves any statements made about or by the FED, it is difficult to look at the facts with the government run media polluting the market with meaningless opinions, or what they want you to believe is the direction they are taking. Even the announcements by the FED itself can be misleading, for instance they took two years to stop Quantitative Easing (QE) after saying that they were considering it. Fortunes ride on every word of the Federal Reserves announcements. No other legislative entity has more power and influence on how the financial market moves than the FED. Other counties look to the FED for direction and have even followed the FEDs monetary policies, and continue to do so. This coming meeting is particularly important for many private traders, investors, and big money. This meeting is on the Federal Funds interest rate change, an increase or the decrease of Federal Funds interest rates. The decision will impact every US bank’s interest rate fee and how they lend and barrow money.
For those that don’t know what the FOMC interest rate decision is, let me briefly explain. One could think about the importance of this meeting and announcement like the government quarterly earnings report. Eight times a year the FOMC meets to set the monetary stance, fixing the federal funds overnight borrowing rate. This federal funds “interest rate” is what you hear so much about, the rate the Federal Reserve (FED) lends balances to other depository institutions, banks borrowing reserves and lending to one another at the Federal Funds Rate. The FOMC sets a target rate rage; however, the Open Market actually decides the rate itself. That is why most of the terminology used by the FED is vague or abstract misleading even contradictory. Market forces determine the actual rate itself. The FED will do what it needs to by influencing the operations in swaying the Open Market a multitude of ways. The FOMC makes changes based on non-specific economic data and undisclosed target numbers. Banks, credit unions, all depository institutions are required to keep a target amount of money in reserves at all times. For instance when a bank is over or low on that target reserve they must borrow or lend. A bank above the target is sitting on non-interest gaining money and will be lent to another who is low on their target reserve. The Federal Funds Rate adjusts to the supply and demand of bank reserves .The decrease in rates comes from the reserve supply being greater than the demand causing a decrease in the funds rate. The reports that are looked over by the FOMC from the Central Banks (CB) is ultimately what sets the target rate for now and direction in the future. If a rate decrease is needed, the FED buys US treasury securities creating new money and a larger reserve supply, increasing bank reserves without overnight borrowing in the reserves market. If the reserve supply demand is higher than the supply, they raise rates. The increase means the FOMC would sell US treasury securities causing a reduction of bank reserves and more overnight borrowing. The FED buying and selling open market operations and US Treasury securities is the way they implement monetary policy and maintain the target rate. The problem is liquidity keeps drying up, then open market law fails as money increases then becomes too expensive for government to borrow, this is what Yellen is trying to avoid.

Hi fxmade2trade

Thank you for this thread, I enjoy reading it, keep up the good work!

Now with what is going on in the markets wouldn't it be foolish of the Fed to increase rates now or in the near future?

China's economy slowing, commodity markets generally extremely bearish, weakness in Asian currencies, dollar strength and a bust in oil.

Those signals for me indicate that the Fed should not or even consider a raise in rates!

Rich
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
Hi fxmade2trade

Thank you for this thread, I enjoy reading it, keep up the good work!

Now with what is going on in the markets wouldn't it be foolish of the Fed to increase rates now or in the near future?

China's economy slowing, commodity markets generally extremely bearish, weakness in Asian currencies, dollar strength and a bust in oil.

Those signals for me indicate that the Fed should not or even consider a raise in rates!

Rich

Thank you Rich!:love:
I appreciate any feedback, and truly thank you for reading. I also agree.
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
That Janet Yellen is quite a GUY! Part 2

“Give me control of a nations money and I care not who makes its laws”

~Mayer Amschel Rothschild

The decision made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) today is fundamental to the direction of the USD and the US economy. The market responds to the FOMC meetings and anticipation of their decision to raise, extend, or lower the Federal Funds interest rate. The FOMC also makes the decision to increase or decrease money supply. We have seen them increasing money supply since 2008 purchasing long term treasury and mortgage backed securities and quantitative easing (QE) and it has caused interest rates to fall to zero percent, the lowest rate possible. The FED spent eighty-five billion a month buying up those securities. In the last few years the have cut back by ten billion a month. The playbook the FED has been using has been misleading trying to fight economic weakness by using a synthetic form like (QE).

If the FED wants economic growth, they decrease rates. Too much of anything is never good; going to any extreme is very bad. An economy that grows too fast leads to inflation. The increase in rates would slow the economies growth, too slow leads to a recession. Any change in the Federal Fund interest rates will impact us all; even the domestic public will feel the effect with the cost of credit. It will impact the direction of the USD, and how the US economy performs overall. Our economy is barley a float and I am being generous in that statement

Seven years since the crash, Yellen may be forced into a hike; the longer it takes for the inevitability of increased rates the harder the recovery will be. The impact would change everything on a global scale. Could the FED even risk a hike? They will have to raise them eventually, and what better time all the numbers are lined up. The USD is in popular demand. Everyone wants USD this leads to an over stimulated demand. Fact is, finding USD counter parties for swaps is difficult, and a raise could help. If they don’t raise people may abandon the USD, even though the FED would never admit that. To raise or not to raise that is the question. Since the FED is independent what is best for them? The FEDs choice really has nothing to do with the economy and stability of monetary polices. This is about the bubble of government debt that cannot be serviced at a higher rate, even if the US had the tax base to do so. The wages report proved we can’t afford to service the debt, if those numbers are even close to the truth. It is a lose-lose situation.

The anticipation has begun. We already see investors who bought high price stocks pulling out before the FOMC meeting. This time around, bonds are no longer a safe haven; the European Union (EU) and the FED have set the market up for a crisis, a historical bond market collapse. The mass (QE) in Japan and Europe has created a runaway dollar making real US economic recovery impossible. The FED is running out of options. Force the domestic public to buy treasury debt and get low yields bankrupting the people. It could be the reverse bankrupting the FED with high rates in interest and mass retracting of domestic cash availability. The economic activity would be crushed by the Treasury’s detraction of five percent off the GDP. Under a mandate, the FED has to pay any profit that acquires from the interest rate increase back to the Treasury so government pays zero in FED held bonds anyway so the raise would not really benefit the FED or impact the government the way one would think. They keep talking about a small rise. Just a one percent rise in interest on debt would total around one hundred and eighty billion dollars added to the FEDs interest. If US Treasury bill becomes too pricy for the government, they will need to be bailed out by the FED and then the FED buys up those expensive bonds. This buying would be a domino effect of disaster, starting with forcing the USD in to the system by QE4, then hyperinflation, the US dollar would be buried. Everything would collapse however all the debt would be gone. This may be the idea, they know much more information than we can even imagine, this could be the “master plan”, the real reset right around the corner.

Will they monetize debt and risk mass inflation? They would **** off every bondholder in the world causing unpredictable consequences. I personally don’t think they will raise rates, not yet and probably not in June. They could go lower, however negative rates are discouraging to investors. They would issue QE4 before they lower them. The risk of negative rates would rip apart the US defecate, the financing costs would be immense. Negative rates would show just how bad it is and I doubt the United States would pay a premium for foreign investors to have cash in the US. If recovery is possible, true economic recovery will never happen with negative rates, and they know that. The increase would cause a political frenzy, voters who have never even thought the raise could effect them will be looking at all the politicians demanding an explanation looking for someone to blame, the derivatives market implodes and it becomes clear that these trusted politicians have been piling the bank derivative liabilities on the United States taxpayer.

The FED has a limited historical perspective on what a healthy functioning financial system really looks like. Have we seen a healthy economy? Do we have a clue what normal bonds look like? An economy where we put money into a CD or account and get paid to save our money. To better our economy as a whole, a normalized economy. The years of manipulation and bailouts have desensitized people into bad decisions with their investments that didn’t even make sense to begin in the first place. Bonds and stocks have been pushed by the zero percent interest rates at unsupportable levels.

The market is overvalued and if the FEDs decision were based on real data as much as they claim, the rates would have increased a while back. We already see investors who bought high price stocks pulling out before the FOMC meeting. Yellen may push the decision back till June in realizing the massive momentum of equities sell offs. The market has already reacted. With little regard for yields, big money ran out and bought up overvalued bonds, praying the FED will extend the decision till June. This time around, bonds are no longer a safe haven. The European Union (EU) and the FED have set the market up for a crisis, a historical bond market collapse. Manipulation of bond rates from trillion dollar swaps has been the course were on, it would be harder to reverse it now. The raise would cause the bond market meltdown and a market crisis. Bonds have been the life support for banks. If they rise rates an even a quarter point, like they are implying. On a one percent yield, big money would dump all bonds paying at one percent and buy up the one and a quarter. It would cause instability with the bond market, and this bubble is getting bigger and bigger. The end of QE caused an international tsunami into US bonds. They may not have a book that can help this time.

Truth and lies move the market the most; sadly, one isn’t different from the other, the truth, or the lie. It doesn’t matter what’s real or not because human behavior is what you trade on or invest in. Behavioral, social, Industrial, all psychologists and analysts, teams of them all put together with specialists in marketing just to predict what you do, say, how you feel, live, dress, but most of all…what you will spend and spend it on. Let’ say for instance you spend on the market, well they know what you are going to purchase, sell or watch and “they” the big money bet on it. Government runs our media and how and what we believe to be real, news, trends, politics and finance. The decision starts today and with the housing numbers so dismal it looks like an extension and more “patience” is in order, how convenient.

It will be a panic driven recovery
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
This week has proved to be one of the most jaw dropping and thought provoking weeks for myself. Last year I wrote about the direction of the USD on a geopolitical scale, my thoughts on Russia, China, and Iran not what we see or hear on the censored news or some crazy outlandish one sided conspiracy site. I have tried to be neutral and non-bias (hard to do) my opinions are however backed by real facts and my attitude towards society and government, banks and corporations justified.
Let me begin by stating the obvious that I am concerned about…Did no one see the Russian Ruble and Chinese Renminbi as a pair in the currency futures trading! Putin has been on a massive de-dollarization campaign since he left the petro dollar last year. His meetings with heads of countries like China and Iran along with many others including North Korea sparked my interest as he spend a large percent buying up massive amounts of gold from the Shanghai Bank instead of saving the Ruble as oil fell.


America is being marginalized. While the American President has been reforming immigration and healthcare, he has been in complete denial in regards to pissing Putin off and making more enemies than any other president known. Our allies are disappointed and now China and Russia are teaming up and let us not forget whom we are going up ageist. I wrote last year the Putin was putting a team together and now we see this all coming together as conflict in Yemen grows Iran and Syria seem to be looking to Putin as not only a new partner but as a major solution. With all the chaos and team antics that Putin is up to between the US president and the real people running things the US bank Cartel they will not let the USD fall this week for fear that it will show weakness. Even though generally we see the correlation between the USD and oil, I don’t feel this time we will, price manipulation trumps all in times like this.
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
QUOTE=richieforex;2509676]Hi fxmade2trade

Thank you for this thread, I enjoy reading it, keep up the good work!

Now with what is going on in the markets wouldn't it be foolish of the Fed to increase rates now or in the near future?

China's economy slowing, commodity markets generally extremely bearish, weakness in Asian currencies, dollar strength and a bust in oil.

Those signals for me indicate that the Fed should not or even consider a raise in rates!

Rich[/QUOTE]

I did not see the whole question in regards to China I will be posting my journal today all about Asia and the new geopolitical events taking place I think you'll find it very interesting just a slight different perspective on things
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
Attrition

The well established financial institutions in place currently, such as The World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Asian Development bank (ADB) lending to Asia for infrastructural development has been a challenge for many countries, for it is primarily the good old’ Bretton Woods system of the West. The Western conditions are unfair to other countries because they don’t have a say just where the money from these organization can be applied. China and India for years have tried to negotiate with U.S. congress for more voting power than the four percent China has, while America and Japan is a little over fifteen percent. U.S. congress has denied the shift in voting power even when China is now the second largest economy in the world. China along with many other countries see this as truly disabling economic growth and unfair. Many countries are looking at the Western decisions made so far and the repercussion of forced manipulation by the FED and blatantly see how well that is working for the west and Japan as well as Europe.

This set the stage for the shocking announcement from China's President Xi Jinping that he will open a new investment bank, The Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) to create a new equality and strengthen cooperation and correlation in the international multilateral mechanisms. Asian developing countries needs are unfulfilled by the current situation and are in desperate need of such a bank. This would boost the Yuan and boost China's employment securing contracts from Chinese firms along with investing some of the $3.9 trillion in foreign reserves in commercial firms, most of all it would boost China's influence and power. This has made the U.S. and Japan uneasy China has invited many countries to sign the memorandum of understanding (MOU) they have till April 30 but opens April 15. I just wonder if it a coincidence it is on the U.S. tax day.

This move by China of course is to veer from the heavily U.S. influenced Asian Development bank (ADB) and The World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF). The system SWIFT has been the FEDs and U.S. Treasury’s money GPS system in Brussels, like when the U.S. government seized Japanese bonds worth over $134 billion, or tracked down and blocked $100 billion belonging to Iran. Since the U.S. levied the SWIFT sanctions and cut Iran off from the USD, the U.S. lost its leverage it didn’t matter to Iran. When the U.S. did it to Russia Putin went to China, truly anything he could have gained from the States China can fulfill. Over one hundred and thirty nations have major deals on using an alternative currency other than the dollar now. China and Russia have more in common than one would imagine regards to belief and history both leaders being very neologistic has gotten the attention from the Saudi empire they are enticed with the idea of a non-USD arrangement since drifting apart over Israeli settlements and conflict with the nuclear deal in Iran. The U.S. is dependent on Saudi oil and it holds the alliance together because the Saudi Kingdom needs (needed) U.S. security. The reduction in need for oil from America combined with profound disagreements on foreign policies has crumbled the alliance and friendship that served the two countries for many years. Since WW2 the two countries have had overlapping interests and the allies grew through the Cold War against the Soviet backed Egyptian force, the U.S. helped arm them though the 1960s civil war and again in the 1980’s against the soviets. The U.S. support for Israel with an oil embargo upset the Saudis in the 1970’s the Kingdom remained loyal to its alliance with the U.S. in fact pre Iran, it was Saudi money alone that funded Regan’s congressional ban ageist the rebels in Nicaragua. In the 1990’s Saudi Arabia welcomed over 500,000 U.S. troops inside their country to fight in the first war against Iraq. The former King of Saudi Arabia Riyadh not only lifted sanctions, then when rising prices in oil threatened the American economy he increased oil production for Washington. Why this is important? Because Riyadlh had lost confidence in the U.S. “security guarantee” Riyadlh showed his disdain by withdrawing the U.S. military air space used over Saudi Arabia forcing them to have to go around the Arabian Peninsula. After nine-eleven, the U.S. questioned the empires involvement and the rift between them didn’t stop with George Bush. Obama’s deal with Iran caused more conflict, adding the Palestine peace plan conflict between the two didn’t help. Obama embracing Mohammed Morsi the leader of the Muslim Brotherhood after turning his back on his American ally Hosni Mubarak infuriated Riyadh, so much so that he gave $12 billion to Abdel-Fattah El-Sissi for overthrowing Morsi and changed the relationship America had with Egypt for good. This has caused the Saudis to look elsewhere for a new alliance and China has welcomed them with open arms for the biggest oil producer in the world. China being the new chief customer for Saudi Arabia may have ensured the ideal place and time to move into the Petro-Yuan. The new King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud has stated they want to punish Iran and Russia along with the U.S. trough the drop in purchasing price of their oil. This new found independence of Salman has extended in to world trade, he is on the market for new commercial relations and charting their very own policy path despite what the U.S. wants. The Saudi empire has enough cash reserves to do just about anything they want to. This is critical for the USD because of the Petrodollar agreement with Saudi Arabia and the U.S. free trade agreement with China. Good old Nixon was so eager to get involved in both situations. Now America could lose all allies and leverage for the now artificially propped up USD that was fought so hard for.

The reality that our world’s reserve currency is now debt based, the system we have implemented is not working on so many levels. The world’s reserve currency needs to be backed up by a real productive economy like China. The U.S. was warned by so many advisers that our Keynesian approach will fail and the debt based economic decisions will ruin the U.S. If the U.S. is judged by the company it keeps, what does it say when forty-six other countries are signed up and ready to go with AIIB except North Korea and the U.S. not saying that there is much in common, except both are run by delusional self absorbs governments. Others are jumping on board, the United Kingdom was the first NATO partners to announce they will be joining the AIIB and this sent shock waves through Washington as Spain France and Italy along with the Netherlands joined. Even Germany who is inching towards exiting out of the Euro has joined. The US, Japan along with North Korea is the only ones that stated that they have no intention or were rejected. North Korea was rejected and it is uncertain if the U.S. was as well, along with Japan it is said they refused. It seems that Russia is not so isolated anymore but the U.S. is. They are not invited to the party. Is this what happens when community organizer becomes president? I am sure he personally is not really making the decisions, but who then is the true puppet masters and why?

China along with the world has seen the empire of debt that the U.S. has created, sovereignty of client counties abused, disrespect to allies and the selfish nature of the U.S. Washington has not made too many friends along the way to global debt. Other countries would rather gamble on the historically corrupt Chinese empire and join a new unknown investment bank than deal with the reality of what our monetary system created. This move may not benefit the average Chinese citizen. However, the one percent of rich Chinese control more than a third of the country's wealth, and in 2012 real estate accounted for 70 percent of all household wealth, and now the Chinese are buying massive amounts of land worldwide. A few years ago, the U.S. would have never even assumed that any country would trust the Chinese central communist party for a reserve currency. I have a feeling this plan China is showing has been in the works for sometime now. China has been buying up assets in the U.S. and all over the world; they even wanted and offered to buy out Canada’s oil. China’s anti corruption and transparency campaign is starting to make sense now paving the way for other countries trust. Many are disgusted with the secrecy and manipulating the U.S. government and Federal Reserve have been doing for so long. Anything the U.S. can offer another country China believes they can too. China wouldn’t mind helping Iran out with a few war toys, since the U.S. would intervene any weapons shipped to Iran but turn a cheek to a Chinese warship destroyer passing through. Let us not overlook the multitude of sanctions surrounding Iran, they would be fools not to join this new and intriguing entity. On the other hand, possibly the U.S. overlooked the Joint military exercises these countries have been partaking in, doubting there advancements towards new alliances is Washington’s big mistake

This time around the war plan that the U.S. had for Iraq wont stand up to the mass military that would surround the strait or the hundreds of miles of coastline involved. For all we know China and Russia have been dropping off weapons and picking up takers of oil for some time now. Or teaming up to solve China's demographic issues along with Iran’s massive youth issues so they marry off the Iranian women for the overwhelming number of Chinese men in waiting.

Trying to make light of it all seems impossible this is a big move and Iran is looking at us wondering if they should pull the trigger because Hassan Rouhani saw first hand how powerful and calculating the U.S. military is when we started a war over the petro dollar with Saddam. Look at Gaddafi, he was our ally until he wanted to quit selling Libyan oil in USD. The U.S. doesn’t play around with the petro dollar. The WW3 everyone says is coming has already begun it is just a financial war, this time and I don’t know if the USD has that kind of arsenal with our debt. Therefore, we may have to blow something up or create other systematic events in our favor. The question is will the Obama Administration have the backbone needed for this war?

America has changed from the gun totting pro militant patriot it once was. American individuals have a different perspective when it comes loyalty to America and its military. Primarily Americans in general are individualists and don’t rely on community or value communal benefits of necessity that other countries must rely on to survive. Fighting for your country once involved protecting your property and spouse now Americans are just trying to defend themselves from American banksters and debt. Divorce rates have never been higher and the poor and poverty-stricken are joining the military for saviour not because of love for the great USA or loyalty to the nation. Why would they? The harsh reality is that we have been transferring all our money, industries, technology and employment to china for years…willingly on a silver platter, “here take our trillions you need it more than our people” Greed apparently has no consequences. I mean maybe some “other” country has a NSA tape with some amazing information or why would any of this be taking place. This AIIB is a huge game changer on a global scale and a direct threat to America.

China made some new friends; even the threats that Obama gave Australia and Israel about joining the new bank didn’t change their mind one bit. I though Bush made enemies, I would bet the Chinese Embassy hasn’t forgotten the U.S. bombing mistake and just to top it off with personal disrespect, the U.S. refused to apologize. The Obama Administration is on a whole new level of being hated by the world. Manipulation and lies are becoming more and more transparent and trying to cripple other counties by manipulation is becoming clear. I won’t even get into the Ebola and oil correlations or the U.S. efforts to keep China out of Africa; we sent three thousand troops to the borders of Africa to fight Ebola. Yet we will stand down and watch millions of people displaced knowing we could wipe Isis out in a day and do nothing.

All the world economies seem to be on the verge of a major bubble bursting one way or another. America pushed so hard predicting china to e the most epic bubble burst ever.

It just may be that China could be the next IMF. Last year China campaigned the de-dollarization of the only thing America would start a war over, the petro dollar. By leveraging its rise as an economic power with hydrocarbon exporters. This of course had Putin and most of the Middle East very interested, Putin has been attacked by the U.S. in every way since his petro dollar exit. This is a direct move to cut the dollar dominance in global energy scene. In fact, China even parked a Navy destroyer right in the Southern Iranian port along with a logistics ship just to say they were “combating piracy”, this was the first time in history they made a show of foreign support. Ironically, Russia docked at the same port on the way back from a mission. The aid offered by both was seen by Iran and was welcomed. The mouth of the Persian Gulf, The Strait of Hormuz is a passage that ships a fifth of the world’s oil. This is interesting because these ports are major locations, the same locations that ISIS and Hamas (really the U.S. and U.S. or Russia maybe China) are causing such turmoil with a “risk” of cutting off the ninety-five percent of Asian bound oil. Most of the Middle East has relied on the U.S. for security and direction. In 2012 China swapped around $5.5 billion with the United Arab Embassy for oil in the Chinese Renminbi, this showed others like Dubai and the Persian Gulf it could be done. This last year China also set a deal with Russia that over $500 billion in gas purchased will be in renminbi. When china expands to hydrocarbon bought and sold in renminbi, Americas influence will no longer be needed and our “foreign polices” that so many counties view as imperialistic will fold.

Our current practices are not set in stone and are sure to change. Putin must have seen this as a huge opportunity to merge with China and trade land or gold for a new reserve currency. Between Russia China and probably India, they have enough Gold to back the Yuan taking it back to the gold standard that so many are yearning for, or a basket currency. After seeing what Quantitative Easing has done many if not, all countries are looking for any alternatives. Not just oil for gold, other obtainable assets like arable land, or geo political positions. The Petro Yuan is already taking place and has been. The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) has been swapping with more than thirty central banks internationalizing the Renminbi though external trade proving it could function just fine as the new reserve currency China has gotten the attention of energy producers, being one of the mass consumers, at the rate of growth they are the market in the future of hydrocarbons energy trade. Once the Saudis reject the USD for oil America will be done. Its no wonder Obama has been spending so much energy kissing up to Afghanistan and the Saudi empire because while he is worried about immigration so we will have a military in the future other world leaders are immigrating on the reserve currency

Until China unpegs its currency from the USD the dollar will remain strong and winning. The FED will reset the debt based currency one-way or another. The reality is the evil régime of America just may be preferred to what a mix of a Russian or Chinese overlord could possibly be like. .

China and Russia and most of all the FED all know all china really has to do is buyout the seventy to one COMEX gold contracts and demand that they delivery, POOF, the whole ponzi scheme is blown creating chaos. Possibly the FEDs worst nightmare. Don’t underestimate the power of the FED they are well aware what is taking place and the domino effect it will have, on every level. Not to give them too much credit but let me just say they are not naive by any means and extremely resourceful. America’s Powers That Be (TPTB) would never allow COMEX to default if MF Global formerly Man Financial is any indication of just how much influence TPTB have when needed. Was awarded primary dealer status in 2010 Primary dealers and unregulated by the FED to buy and sell U.S. treasuries at auction was counter party to the Federal Reserves Open Market operations. The same MF who ended up admitting to federal regulators in 2011 that around $1.2 billion was missing from customer accounts. Just several days before the bankruptcy, they transferred funds outside the country. MF Global acknowledged a shortfall, yet The Wall Street Journal reported that MF Global would seek chapter eleven-bankruptcy protection, after investing more than $6.3 billion in sovereign bonds issued by European countries that gave a chapter eleven grand total of $41 billion. When you see the reality and lack of real regulations for the chosen few, it gives you an idea proving they will do anything before allowing any kind of real default regarding COMEX or any other large entity, just like the London fix, COMEX would become irrelevant. America will just reset and this could be the master plan,

America will stay king by any means necessary we can’t forget that. Progress is what Obama keeps preaching, let us remember that Stalin killed thirty million of his own people in the name of progress, the Obama Administration is just killing an estimated 318,000,000 people slowly and financially.
 

fxmade2trade

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229 6
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Bred Media Eugenics



Government through propaganda has been brain washing us in various ways, feeding us lies and keeping us just comfortable enough to stay unaware of the hypocrisy run nation, while they reap the benefits and manipulate us. We are in a new age and we have a new idle, the Media, and the powers that be are racking what we do all the time, on our private personal time. They are fitting us in to a particular demographic ideal for marketing and swaying us to buy, sell, look at, and even feel. Big brother has gone to a whole new level; they even release endorphins when you walk into a specific store, designing ways to enhance your shopping experience so you will spend more. We are a consumer-based nation. It is so specific they can predict an estimated date will need and purchase certain items. Billions are spent a year just to find out what kind of bath tissue you buy. Think of every time you search the web, every site you search, your face book, twitter even your images are loaded in to informational software categorizing your life and predicting your future, profiling what you post, look at and you every privet aspect, the thousands of external factors. It is invasive in many ways to know that advertizing and manipulation is becoming tailored to fit just me. We see this in new technology all the expanding and overwhelming unimaginable advancements, the ability to use robots to achieve what man cannot.
These advancements have caused people to become obsessed with technology and because these robots are so advanced, they are able to penetrate our lives on a subconscious level, these advancements as wonderful as they may be have massive side effects. Information and knowledge breed power and control and those combined breed money. In the wrong hands technology can do more than we can even imagine, the most outlandish, bazaar, even evil ideas or thoughts, the darkest places hiding in ones mind, technology can enhance, bring to life and fulfill those ideas. It has been in the wrong hands throughout its existence evolving faster than humanity ever could, with many great minds combined it like us evolved learning and serving its masters faithfully. Its has been bred to control the masses we are just slaves to the masters on a grand scale. It controls us day to day, influencing us, pushing us, we just assume it is our choice our false free will. We are desensitized to the subconscious rape-taking place and we seem so unaware. Google can now predict the ways the market will move due to what searches are entered. They are marketing our thoughts and fears taking our freedom and making us comfortable seeking the unknown.
It almost could be the greatest social experiment ever. I am not even touching the NSA or FBI spying on us without a court order, breaking everything America stands for. This is just a small area in the mass amounts of media manipulation when it comes to advertising and marketing data. Many people never read the applications you download or sites you use, you sign a waiver when you click on, download, or sign into those sites.
Nothing makes me smile more than watching blatant yellow journalism on the morning news. News has become a fundamental tool for the powers that be, a true way to steer the money. While few see the big picture, they will never research the correlation between specific people or money that rules us all. The corrupt ways of what some call a democracy. I have read some amazing theories about what is to come, 2015, 2016, and every other year. For the most part, I am pessimistic when it comes to the US and the out come of us or hope for humanity. In turn, the information I research tends to be the same story repeatedly, “this year it will be the end of…” “The world,” “the market,” “jobs,” “schools.” Or it is… “This time it will be the worst…” “The biggest bubble ever!” “The most catastrophic!” and “this time it’s like no other”…Now of course they push… “Things will never be the same.” The theories can be incredible, some very interesting and some just make you realize how uneducated many people are, for the most part they all have the same element, Fear. It maybe brought to you by the (in a game show voice)…The USA, FED, Russia, Toyota, wait I got it, Tesla! KGB, China, The DONG or kittens, Iran or it is possibly Alien government with unicorn technology! Fact is, it won’t matter who or what is doing the pushing, it will only matter why you are being pushed in that direction, what the final goal would be. Therefore, we evolve, expanding our mind relearning what we once knew with a whole different type of perception. understand this is like a game for the major entities and like any game some of the players are key the to winning, most are useless bench warmers, a small part of the game as a whole the bigger picture for the team has a audience and owners and that where the money is, because money is the win. Even when a game is rigged, some they lose well the other won that is the beauty of it all, there is always a winner. You just have to watch see if they threw it, why, who and what that benefited in the long run. You will find the major players, the teams are not big but there are many, so learn the game, find what team you are on and watch closely at how their game is run, stick with a strategy, not just your own but look for the end game, get the team’s strategy because some teammates have and know the winning moves.
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
Oil's well that ends well
My articles on media manipulation could not have come at a better time. Watching the news as the market weakens, stocks and bond tumbling the USD drops and oil rises, one may believe the broadcasters pushing some factitious story, blaming the GDP. Perhaps this may be part of it. However, what I am not seeing as the headline in the news is the real reason for the reversals. There has been a historical event, a complete reshuffle of the Saudi empire. There is a new Saudi King replacing Salman, who has proven not to be fond of the Obama Administration for many reasons. His father the late king on his deathbed has talked of religion and how it needed to take precedence over power and money and oil. The late Saudi king Abdullah insisted Obama did not bow (enough) to the guardian of Islam’s two holiest sites, not once but twice. Michelle Obama was looked down upon when the king felt she was disrespecting his faith and wishes (laws) by not wearing a headscarf when visiting, since then he refused to shake her hand. Nothing was more disrespectful than Obama siding with the Muslim brotherhood and funded part of overthrowing the late King Abdullah’s good friend and close Ally Hosni Mubarakin. The late King would not even speak to Obama and was thankful for Putin’s Russian arm sale to Egypt and backing for General Sisi ageist the brotherhood and Obama. This created more than a rift in our relationships with Russia and Saudi Arabia.

When I think of Saudi Arabia, I think of it being US run and practically owed, Egypt as well. Without completely disrespecting the royal family, I would use the term “puppets” for US interests. I say this because other US presidents had done much worse politically and financially, but never personally, like Obama has to top his administration’s pursuit of a nuclear accord with Iran has created more than tension. The late king had shifted his American revered views as his time came. Our security is primarily why Saudi Arabia even needs us they, it is not the money it is the power they have more cash reserves than we could dream of, and liquid cash gushing from the land. The cold war created a strong partnership between the US and Saudi Arabia yet now Putin has more than lent his assistance he has created a friendship and willingness to provide the security needed and with the Russian china partnership we are not even regarded by Salman. Salman even removed US airspace and intended to keep oil low to benefit there own long term needs despite Americas and OPEC’s objection. Salman who puts his Muslim religion above all also has a personal distain for Obama. Salman who has sworn to follow the wishes of the late king has made it clear the US foreign polices do not depict his personal choices. In March, the US shut down the US Embassies in Riyadh, Jeddah, and Dhahahran for security interests.

Suddenly Salman has been replaced by the late king’s nephew Prince Mohammed bin Nayef who Obama originally campaigned for. This is the first time a nephew and not one of the 45 sons has been in this position. With the anti American campaign that is, being embellished by the media one has to wonder what is really going on. The U.S. is more powerful than many think and much more powerful than to be ostracizes by the personal drama or emotional views towards the U.S. even siding with Iran the rival of the Saudi kingdom cannot alter the financial and political ties. The fear of an oil-pocalypse is futuristic right now we have mid term expectations will winners and losers all temporary. With big players wiping out the little people during this all time low, it would seem they are setting up the price points for the next year, or Yellen is buying up contracts and passing them out as gifts. The last three months we see gas prices rise more than 30% the last time we saw a rise this fast was 2007. it is good to keep in mind every time the price went down state taxes went up Gas typically peaks in July so we will see a greater rise in the next few months. This dispute personal or not will still profit and nothing is done said or leaked without intention.
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
Blind to the truth and naive to the threat.

The generations now and to come have evolved differently than ever before, they have adapted to the new technological super powers. Adults commonly ask their kids how to set up the DVD player, or fix the computer, add applications to their phone. The children who were born in this digital age are immune to the process of information, or what it took for so many to research a story or find information and learn or find the real story being told, the real truth. Teachers friends and family is how and where we got answers to our questions growing up, and the answers could vary, the views bias and limited. The World Wide Web changed so much and quickly, adults and kids know the web and just how to use it. Through trial and error along with lessons and guidance most children have realized that not everything you see or read is true. The facts may not be how it’s portrayed to the public or it could be blatantly inaccurate. They may have learned this from YouTube or watching a puppy fly though space while playing the banjo even Google by asking the web if eating road kill is good for you. They make the fatal mistake and show or tell someone “yes eating road kill makes you grow extra arms…then they are corrected and realize there are different answers that come up depending on who writes it. It sinks in and they become aware all truth told may not be reality.

This enforces the key that makes us all unique… free will, our choice. We have a choice to believe what we are being told. This was something the powers that be predicted and this is why they are literally brain washing us through our subconscious. Since the beginning of time we have been lied to by the “storytellers” lies on top of lies. who was the first man in America, the world was flat, human sacrifice made the sun shine, credit is good, marijuana is bad, cigarettes and liquors are good, etc. We at least know through modern technology generations will have a chance to experience real and true history, information that will shape them, not create the sheep so many have been. This is of course if they make it past the many distractions that heavy detract from the path to enlightenment of true reality.

The unknown, our imagination, creativity, fantasy, the capabilities of thee mind. Our mind is so powerful we have an extra ordinary thought process and many marketing specialists and behavior analysts, doctors, scientist’s and researchers have perfected playing into our fears. Our primal instincts, our responses, need, and desires have been under attack though fear, threats to family, self, and placement induced by fear and intrigue, our human nature, our true thought process. Media has created villains out of races, countries, cities, even stereotypes in people. This false threat and fear has shaped societies for thousands of centuries. We see it all over in history from the Mayans to Genghis Khan, repeatedly. Now we have stars and icons to obsess over or try to be like. movie stars that had/have more influence over public opinions than most politicians in America, and get paid much more.

We the nation is completely media run and undereducated historically, even with all the new things to learn and accessibility, idiosyncrasy is the new normal and denial is a common trend in the US. History and economics, the global finances, how things are bought and sold, etc. Many don’t even know what sanctions America has put on Iran or Russia and many other countries, who we trade with or what will happen when the Trans Pacific trade opens. I am always shocked to hear news casters blabbing about what is to come or focusing on the opposite way the market is moving. Everyone is titled to their own ideas and opinions in the US, yet we are kept blind and distracted by media and the belief that America has our best interest and just because the news states it, everything will be alright. because our government would never let it happen, they would never do the unimaginable.

Blind to the truth and naive to the threat.

I can’t stand election year, listening to the pointless lies told by candidates fueled by power and money. You may choose not to listen not vote, they say every vote counts, but I don’t believe they even count votes. The powers that be (TPTB) the big Banker clan runs the government so whoever they want to represent their ideals and choices is who will represent as our leader. It’s a shame; I still don’t think everyone even realizes that government controls the news and Hollywood. We have supreme power as individuals in our newly developed android state of existence. The SiFi movies and book from our past would have had you believe the twentieth century would have brought people driving freely from planet to planet in our space cars while teleporting our friends over. Perhaps robots would be our house cleaners, drivers and workers a world would run by androids all there to serve us. Androids replacing so many people and jobs, fighting our wars and keeping our planet and humanity safe. Its now here and we do we have robots and computers and now most of all humans are now part android. Everyone you know, our smart phones have become a true extension of our body and thoughts, giving us super-human powers and it even comes with applications.The access to information and power to learn can be limitless. Having this kind of resource at your fingertips gives us an unimaginable advantage, it not only makes your life easier it gives us a way to learn what you want when you want. Most people will never take full advantage of the abyss of information, the layers of networks that go deep, programming, engineering, or even hacking into this informative black hole. Advancements come from exploration of this digital world by some of the best minds in existence.

It gives you the ability to learn at your pace, for a baby or child who is growing and evolving their mind like a sponge soaking up this liquid information. We haven’t even learned what the mind is capable of or what results this new technology will have on a developing mind. The power this vast amount of information gives children is terrifying and spectacular all in one. Information we lean throughout childhood shapes us as adults, information leads to decisions you will make in life, the choice that is influenced by what information is available. All we know is what we are taught; humankind is easily manipulated and prone to conform. People keep stating that we are going back to the cold war, that Russia and China will create WW3. I have even saw the outline of corruption waging war with Iran and blaming Russia or China in the US fight for the petrodollar, conveniently a war in Yemen or a oil line bombing…yet, I feel that we have been in WW3 for some time now. It is a currency war, a war for the reserve currency and petrodollar, and we are losing. This is the first administration to prioritize immigration and non-working heath care, over the blatant threats and Geo-political acts of war threaten us, in fact it seems we are losing allies and hope for what once was as this administrations wipes away our rights and gives our money away.

Clinton was at least very concerned with the underground bunkers that could house Russia for years being built. He would have never let china open up the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) or let Putin make deals for major changes with china. When bush was in office it was assumed he wasn’t really making any decisions for himself. The people who were are the ones to fear, and countries feared us, it was understood his goofy nature was not what they needed to worry about. At least other counties respected him to some degree, unlike our current situation. Obama is about to make our biggest mistake with the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) it will make what Clinton did look like a May fair. Clinton being a corporatist, sabotaged us with the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) a trilateral trade block between Mexico, the US and Canada fist with the free trade agreement NAFTA consists of the North American Agreement on Environmental cooperation (NAAEC) and the North American Agreement on Labor Cooperation (NAALC) this created the worlds largest free trade zone.

Opening countries up to the flow of goods and services sounded so appealing, created production added different factor endowments and absolute advantage with the countries that could produce goods or services on a large scale or that had natural resources. With this comes comparative advantage what country has the lower opportunity cost. This was in 1994 since then the US economy has lost around 700,000 jobs due to NAFTA, according to the Economic Policy Institute EPI said in 2011 that trade to Mexico supported 791,000 and the jobs we would have needed without NAFTA 1.47 million. Still today, billions of US dollars and jobs are lost to NAFTA.Other counties saw huge benefits and in 2010, the growth of Mexican auto imports alone surpassed what we estimated. Creating more Mexican jobs than the entire US auto industry. Sine 1985 the US has free trade with over twenty countries as of now. Since it worked out so well the Obama administration negotiated the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Obama didn’t do it under the Department of State; he went to the trade representative Ron Kirk. This was a way to use “fast track authority” Congress is supposed to review, modify and treat it like a legislation and end with a two-thirds vote e. instead it was a yes or no vote minimal tame frame and a majority rule. This really will strip the US of any chance we had of real economic growth, true supply and demand, America will never be able to be what it once was. This gives investor privileges a whole new meaning. The right to move capital without any limits, and it covers way more goods and services extending to, intellectual property, permits, and derivatives. It banned any performance rights and the foreign firms would get compensation for loss of “future profits”. Most of all special guaranteed treatment for firms that relocate. This would allow them to overrule our sovereignty adding US laws to foreign countries is completely unconstitutional.

I would love to think knowing our history the leaders of these fascinating and powerful counties could see each other with a heart and soul, empathetic to suffering and pain. They seem so human so many have been praised by the public. Putin has been praised as being likable, even funny, even japans prime minister is thought of as warm and kind, Obama funny and charismatic. I’m sure social media plays a big part in humanizing the leaders, making them more likeable and relate-able as the tweet there thoughts. Putin and has positioned himself out of necessity and frustration with sanctions by the US. He has looked to his neighbor china that has a quite similar past. XI jipjong signed a ten-year contract with Russia to build a 7,000-kilometer high-speed rail ink from Beijing to Moscow. It will be expanded across Europe and Asia, this is a big deal not only for the ten year partnership with China but the new Asia Infrastructure Investment bank (AIIB) that is taking place isolating the west. China is creating economic insurance with India Pakistan and all others except us. These moves taking place have to be something bigger the US has to be up to something would we really see what is happening, risk nationalization of a new currency, or let the Petro-Yuan take us out. I would love to believe that these countries are as fed up with the US, sick of listening to the lies or dealing with the mean parent that sanctions and controls. That they want to help their people make things better a system that saves your money and enhances you life and your children’s children. I feel like I am with all the people in the world at the end of wizard of OZ and the US is OZ a godlike entity full of answers and better ways to live and prosper. Then you pull the Curtain back and is Gilbert Gottfried or even Rosanne Barr, she could even be better than Janet Yellen at this point. Considering America is bankrupt, living in a pit of unplayable debt for our children to inherit, the US has pledged National parks and lands my land your land, non-profit organizations; federal territories even birth certificates, to the Federal Reserve. The hypothetical assets pledged means they can pledge something as a security without holding it When. Roosevelt was declared bankrupt and insolvent in 1933 they created the Emerging Bankrupt Act. The beginning of the monetary fund. This is what has led us to the massive debt were in today and always have been since 1933 when they removed the gold standard. The hypothecated pledge is based on Canon law Trust, protected by the Constitution and bill of rights, and still used by international bankers today. This transfer of unplayable debt gives the sovereignty too much power for they already own so much it is just leverage to them. Nothing like this ever had taking place until the Federal Reserve Act in 1913 gave security to so many because gold and silver were powerful currency but heavy and an unmanageable an awful inconvenience to store or carry. The FED bears the risk lending or trading and you hold interest and principle payments by issuing a claim check that was “like gold or silver” created slips of paper that you give real assets to The Federal Reserve (FED) and they give you Federal Reserve Notes(FRNs). FRNs were made to create debt through devaluation of currency by the increase in fiat (money substitute) because without a corresponding increase of a true backing the FRNs cause inflation. The FED is maritime lender/maritime insurance underwriter, or what I consider a loan shark, they take your assets and give you a piece of paper till you can pay the unplayable debt back. If we only knew…it was all a trick a power game and they are still winning, you cant pay back the FRNs with FRNs, no paying debt with debt but as long as you paid the interest there was no stipulation on the principle, because the Federal Reserve Act stipulated all interest must be paid in gold. We were set up to fail so many times, who knows what our amazing, all for the people, freedom and rights, blah blah blah. Who knows just what they have pledged we know some but we do not know much. We are now just economic slaves your life and land hangs by a sovereign and in a economic was our reputation and leadership Just a man, a nation built with blood and formed in lies and greed, pledging dedication and then turning its back. Photos and social media have humanized other cultures and acceptance and empathy makes it all less scary not so distant and unnatural it gives new support for what was once feared, is now understood .This has brought our world closer. A need for each other together, learning the whole story not half-truths that are rewritten time and again. Can we come together and fight a real war like global warming or famine drought? The answer is no because as much as I would love to believe we can have peace, greed trumps all.
 

fxmade2trade

Active member
229 6
We missed the boat, considering... they do not need one now.
Considering it costs an amazing amount to ship anything now days, China and Russia are finding new ways to incorporate their resources together along with there economies. Despite international sanctions that would prevent China from doing the immense trading with Russia and Iran that have been taking place, China and other counties don’t seem to care at all even with accusations of a ‘double dip’ sanctions violation and many more. For years, China has developed a strategic deep water port at Gwadar, on the Arabian Sea, the launching point for the Iran-Pakistan natural gas pipeline that will be extended to China. Originally it would have run though India and Pakistan and India but the US detoured India from joining in and submitted a counter offer backed by the US instead of China trying to cut out Pakistan and China all together, having the port in Iran not far from Gwadar. India being a US ally felt pressure from the US when asked not to propose this, or decide until or IF the Nuclear deal with Iran was signed.
The Persian section of the new pipeline has already been built. The pipeline will go though Karakoram Mountain Highway towards Tibet, and cross the western border to Xinjang. This highway will be widened and modernized big enough for military use and a railway connecting the highway to Gwadar.
The new Silk Road seems to make no sense economically to many people. However, most of us are not the bankers or CEO’s emerging together in support of the grand scale trade route... One thing is certain the US is not pleased with the idea and feels that it will fail for many reasons one being due to the dangers that lie in Pakistan along the Old Silk Road. Some of the most deadly tribes reside along the terrain that is said to be formation for the new Silk Road. As more information unfolds regarding China and Chinese President, Xi Jinping expressing its unwillingness to sign on to the Trans Pacific Partnership. While isolating the US from its arraignments with Pakistan India and Russia and most of all the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank that the US unsuccessfully tried to detour other counties form joining and has now shifted in stating that the US has always supported the project even after stating that if counties join (especially NATO counties, and twelve did) it would be a direct act of war against the US. Fifty-eight nations have signed on as charter bank members, minus the US, Japan and North Korea. Even with the retracted threats the US gave.

It may be true indeed that this will be much harder than anticipated for Russia and China considering the New Silk Road Partners will have to raise Capital in Part by Issuing AIIB / Eurasia Zone / ECB and Sovereign BONDS. Between the bond bubble and the rarity, even the ability to even get\ Sovereign Bonds to work in places where corruption, regime change, and anarchy are rather rampant. Many say the US will still be needed to complete the project the technology and security and political barriers that the US can influence and has power over will be invaluable. The New Silk Road from China to Russia would pass through Bulgaria, Romania, and the Ukraine and many of the sanctions put on Russia by the US and the UK prevented funding for such a project. I believe that when Putin decided to invest bin mass amounts of gold instead of defending the Ruble during this time he could have used all that Ore to fund his plan enticing China even more...

War is inevitable; Washington’s empire of paper debt and unrealistic plan the FED has to raise the banker’s overnight lending rate that would collapse the entirety of our bond market.
Since the US is the power empire and the Navy is considered the most effective means of defense. We should see mass destabilization of these governments or some kind war, bomb, or crazy despise the US has to see what China is doing creating a centrally planned politico-military effort that would circumvent an unbreakable US naval blockade. There has to be more! The US is way too sneaky for this all to just slide though. Perhaps… The US will start a war in the Middle East necessary we are funded by controlled chaos. Peace is the worst thing that can happen for the US, considering we sell a mass amount of weapons for billions of dollars to many counties in the conflict. Therefore, any ties portrayed by media and government that the US may have with Iran are a moot point.
We may have none.
The only outcome I can see is the Yuan going back to the gold standard and having gold be so expensive and valuable. The Federal Reserve would collapse, as they nationalize a new currency
 
 
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