Anyone scalping the FTSE Futures??

The lower red line is support and upper one is resistance?

Now look at this attached chart.. 1hr time period... see the green lines. Ignore the other lines (yellow, red and blue)..

Upper green line is resistance and lower green line is support IN 1 HOUR TIME PERIOD...

Now you can see your support and resistance line is WEAK and chances that prices will regards those lines are petty weak ... WHY?
 

Attachments

  • DOW_12FEBX.jpg
    DOW_12FEBX.jpg
    151.6 KB · Views: 92
Now look at this attached chart.. 1hr time period... see the green lines. Ignore the other lines (yellow, red and blue)..

Upper green line is resistance and lower green line is support IN 1 HOUR TIME PERIOD...

Now you can see your support and resistance line is WEAK and chances that prices will regards those lines are petty weak ... WHY?

Because of clear uptrend? Don't have a clear idea really..
 
Fine.. look at the attached chart again....

to make a support/resistance line your should connect immediate Peaks and troughs ... at least last two Peaks and troughs .... that can give you rising or inclining or flat trend... a trend line can be support/resistance...

that tells you each time price touch that line price reacts up or down....

price is like a rubber it stretches far away but always LIKE to comeback. AS you can see prices are coming back but each time higher than the previous one... so up trend....

see that number 1, 4,6,8 and 10 in chart... each time price touched that line came back to bottom green line... now price is at upper green line near 10... since 5 time price touched that line and came back the chances that price will again come back to bottom green line is pretty strong... the more number of touch and reaction the more strong support/resistance....

Same at the bottom line, see the number 2,3,5,7,9.... 5 times price touched that line bounced back... that line is pretty strong as well...

so if price is at top green line , looking into the probability I would short and expect price to go back and touch the bottom green line... that's my target...

What happens NEXT

price may continue in the same channel for some time or break the channel and change the trend....

when that happens wait for some time and let price establish a new trend and trade again.....

hope that helps
 

Attachments

  • DOW_12FEBX.jpg
    DOW_12FEBX.jpg
    158.4 KB · Views: 158
Fine.. look at the attached chart again....

to make a support/resistance line your should connect immediate Peaks and troughs ... at least last two Peaks and troughs .... that can give you rising or inclining or flat trend... a trend line can be support/resistance...

that tells you each time price touch that line price reacts up or down....

price is like a rubber it stretches far away but always LIKE to comeback. AS you can see prices are coming back but each time higher than the previous one... so up trend....

see that number 1, 4,6,8 and 10 in chart... each time price touched that line came back to bottom green line... now price is at upper green line near 10... since 5 time price touched that line and came back the chances that price will again come back to bottom green line is pretty strong... the more number of touch and reaction the more strong support/resistance....

Same at the bottom line, see the number 2,3,5,7,9.... 5 times price touched that line bounced back... that line is pretty strong as well...

so if price is at top green line , looking into the probability I would short and expect price to go back and touch the bottom green line... that's my target...

What happens NEXT

price may continue in the same channel for some time or break the channel and change the trend....

when that happens wait for some time and let price establish a new trend and trade again.....

hope that helps

I draw the lines the same way you have - It makes so much more sense now. I used to use horizontal lines for finding support and resistance levels based on previous highs/lows on the chart and it was a guessing game? So I have understood support and resistance levels bit wrong or the way I should define them? :/ hmm

Thanks a lot Jessi - I'll read and go through 2-3 times your picture and texts and hope to see and understand it well. Good night and hear about tomorrow
 

Attachments

  • Dow30 - new.JPG
    Dow30 - new.JPG
    98.5 KB · Views: 168
Now coming to your question if price will come back to 17500.. see the attached daily chart...

see the blue line.. that line is very tough line... and its hard nut to break...that's about 2 months of price consolidation and price broke up and tested again on 9th Feb and bounced back up side...

in order to arrive at 17500... dow needs to break many intraday and daily support... which may be possible but looks hard now.

My expectation is price is heading to 18500/18600 in next 1 month or so....
 

Attachments

  • DOW_12feb_daily.jpg
    DOW_12feb_daily.jpg
    145.8 KB · Views: 185
I draw the lines the same way you have - It makes so much more sense now. I used to use horizontal lines for finding support and resistance levels based on previous highs/lows on the chart and it was a guessing game? So I have understood support and resistance levels bit wrong or the way I should define them? :/ hmm

Thanks a lot Jessi - I'll read and go through 2-3 times your picture and texts and hope to see and understand it well. Good night and hear about tomorrow

that's great....
 
Great work Jessi

Jessi

Very informative !!!

Guys if you don't mind can you please tell me which platform do you use for trading? Do you use spread betting ? Or something else?


Thanks
 
Now coming to your question if price will come back to 17500.. see the attached daily chart...

see the blue line.. that line is very tough line... and its hard nut to break...that's about 2 months of price consolidation and price broke up and tested again on 9th Feb and bounced back up side...

in order to arrive at 17500... dow needs to break many intraday and daily support... which may be possible but looks hard now.

My expectation is price is heading to 18500/18600 in next 1 month or so....

There are thousands of book in the market...but I would suggest you read at least "Martin J Pring"
 
Top