Recent content by Garrett Jones

Let's begin by looking at the chart in figure 1. At this stage of the cycle, my main purpose in writing is to "alert" you to potential danger in the market. I attempt to do this by explaining the Long Wave cycle, sharing its history and accuracy, and then pointing out where we are in the cycle...

In my view, we are still in a secular bear market and currently at a point of extremely high risk. We have now passed the period of seasonal strength for the year - a time when spirits are high and the market performs better than at any other time on a historic basis. A study in the December...

Since my last Special Alert which was written at the start of May with the theme of SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY, I have had a lot of calls and e-mails asking if I had written another since. I had not because I saw no reason to veer from the message in the prior Alert. The early May Alert was...

In my view, we are still in a secular bear market and at a point of high risk. However, we are now in the seasonally strong time for the year - a time when spirits are high and the market performs better than at any other time on a historic basis. A study in the December 2002 issue of the...

The danger signal has been on my Alerts since August 6th and some people have asked for me to explain why since the market has been going up since that time. First of all, my objective in writing these is not to be a short term trading service, it is to provide you with a big picture look of...

I began putting the DANGER signal on my Special Alerts to "alert" everyone to Danger (duh). I know this stage of the market well as I have seen it time and time again in many different markets. As I said over and over, "the job of this rally is to draw in as many players as possible" (and then...

"We begin with a clean slate" There is something refreshing about the first day of a New Year - for a brief period of time, it feels like a clean slate where we have the opportunity to begin anew and possibly right the wrongs of the year that just ended. Let's all hold that thought and see if we...

A look at what is happening in the markets at the moment and if this is just a correction or the start of a longer term down-trend. As I was about to write my alert, I happened to see the above quote and figured it was just too good not to put in the letter. In many ways, it explains the...