arabianights
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Thought it might be interesting to come up with a thread where we try and come up with disasters and then consider how we would trade them.
Your starter for ten: russia "accidentally" shoots at some American humanitarian aid flights, and by some means I can't think of they return fire.
Me I would pull all orders and exit any positions at market. Then I watch the market to confirm it's doing what I expect from this and go long switzerland... Euroswiss STIR (first one I do as I can put by far the biggest size on out of the three), the CONF and the CHF.
Then I buy swiss companies and short european benchmarks to hedge this exposure.
Go short dollar and short any russian debt.
Buy a ****load of oil vol.
Having hopefully made some money I monitor the situation prepared to liquidate it all and convert into gold, buy a large boat with this and sail to Svalbrad.
Your starter for ten: russia "accidentally" shoots at some American humanitarian aid flights, and by some means I can't think of they return fire.
Me I would pull all orders and exit any positions at market. Then I watch the market to confirm it's doing what I expect from this and go long switzerland... Euroswiss STIR (first one I do as I can put by far the biggest size on out of the three), the CONF and the CHF.
Then I buy swiss companies and short european benchmarks to hedge this exposure.
Go short dollar and short any russian debt.
Buy a ****load of oil vol.
Having hopefully made some money I monitor the situation prepared to liquidate it all and convert into gold, buy a large boat with this and sail to Svalbrad.
