Whale Song said:
Grey1 thanks for your response. Based on my opening post on this subject it seems the thread you moderate focuses on exactly the information I'd like to be discussing with other traders.
The "trading as a business" approach is all too often missed. Systems and methodologies, even VWAP itself are less effective without a sound overall approach to trading as a business and the right mental attitude of the person doing the actual trading.
Answer to homework: I'd buy GOOG whenever it was within lowest 10% of distance between VWAP and lower VWAP and only as many as were at inside or to max depth of 5c. No point getting greedy. (proviso) The price/volume action would have to justify taking the position(s). If there was no clear intent or support at your level, you'd hold off and wait for indications of support, or wait for the blowoff.
I don't trade GOOG as it's price is outside my stock selection criteria, but looking at Friday's action it would have been tough to hold your buying until you got a clear shot. I guess that's where the mental stamina bit comes into it. As an independent trader, you don't have to take the trade. As an institutional trader you don't have to take the trade, but you have far less options. LOL. A steady nerve. I haven't pulled up the VWAP plot for GOOG on Friday but I'm guessing the strategy I suggest above (buy when in lowest 10% of VWAP to Lower VWAP) would have started to manifest around 15:00 EST. Volume shows there were plenty looking to sell.
I don't know if this thread is going to develop VWAP discussion further or if the thread you mention will be made public, but I'm certainly keen to play around with VWAP.
Song ,
Thanks for your reply. I have asked sharky to open the private BB to public so people can have access to more information on vwap trading .
To answer the home work .,,, you would not be able to buy 10 000 shares in one go ( the price you are given even if it executed @ market would be an average price way above the market. and if not careful you end up with way above the VWAP )... you need to play a game of poker to hide your buying intention to lower the price well under the VWAP and buy in a steps of say 1000's on the way down to give you an average price below VWAP to fulfill your commitment to your client ... This is how this game is played every day .
Now , you as a trader should never trade around VWAP .. you wait till
VWAP ENGINES ( these are software written for institutional brokers. I have an article on VWAP engines if you interested email me ) ) to stamp the price down to what I have called MPD levels before you think of opening a position ... This is how you should do business with the market .
My intention is to change our trader's mind set to ignore moving averages , RSI , CCI and many chart patterns ( not all ) and encourage them to understand trading as a business and not as a set of technical or statistical rules or patterns that one MUST understand before making $$$ in the market. Therefore you really donot need to be a fully trained technician to make money .. In fact most qualified technicians donot make money any way and if they claim they do get them to a CHAT ROOM of their choice and get them to trade live .
Makes me laugh when reputable technicians and fund managers on CNBC base their arguments on 200 days Moving averages as bench mark for opening position for their clients.. No wonder they cannot outperform the index...
Grey 1 insists on traders to either use fundamentals for long term return or get real with trading as a business and donot fall for comments such as I just made $2 / share with reward risk 36:1 in 20 minute.. grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
PS:--
(1)some brokers charge a fee for executing a trade below vwap ( large orders only )
( 2) Arbitrage trading is also possible using VWAP technique to minimise the risk due to overall market direction .. example ,,broker has two sets of instructions on two stocks .. one short , the other long hedged against each other.. Therefore the VWAP engines are set to trade the two positions against each other in case of market spike ..