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Many regular readers of this column know that I sometimes use cross-market analysis to find Forex trades. If you think that sounds complicated, keep reading and you’ll see that it’s easier than it sounds. You might recall last October’s article, "Using Stocks to Trade Forex," where the S&P was used as an indicator to trade the GBP/JPY currency pair. Recently, a trade setup presented itself where I was able to use a major support level on the S&P 500 as an indicator to place a trade on another currency pair that is known to follow that index.
Let’s begin with a very long-term look at the S&P 500; we can do this by checking the continuous monthly chart of the E-Mini futures contract. From this chart, it’s very clear that the 800 area acted as support and helped form the bottom during the bear market of 2001-2002, and was re-tested early in 2003. That same level and the area just below it has been tested repeatedly during our current bear market, during both 2008 and 2009 (see figure...
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