". . . NATO’s reputation now wobbles somewhere between ceremonial relic and crisis PR firm. The alliance increasingly resembles a séance for departed strategic purpose — hands clasped around the table, muttering slogans, hoping the ghost of 1991 will manifest and tell them what to do. It lurches between virtue-signalling and threat inflation, unsure whether it’s meant to deter adversaries or simply reassure itself that it still matters. . ."
The quote is just a taster from this brilliant (IMO) article by David Betz and Michael Rainsborough. For those unfamiliar wirh David Betz, he's Professor of War in the Modern World in the Department of War Studies, King’s College London and a Senior Fellow of the Foreign Policy Research Centre. The article outlines where the west has gone wrong strategically and why the Ukraine war is lost. I assume it was written before the latest shenanigans between Israel and Iran and, if I were to wager what Prof. Betz would have to say about that, it would be that Israel will likely suffer the same fate as Ukraine and for the same reasons. Just like the latter, the former can't sustain a conflict with Iran without direct support from the U.S. According to weapons expert Scott Ritter, it takes on average twelve or more interceptor missiles to shoot down one incoming Iranian missile. So, all Iran has to do is to outlast the Israelis and still have missiles in their stockpile to launch at Tel Aviv after the Israelis are clean out of interceptors.The only hope Israel has is that the U.S. wades in all guns-a-blazin to save the day but, needless to say, that in turn will likely draw in the Russians, Chinese and possibly the Turks (who have the largest army in Europe) on Iran's side.If that happens, we're all up poo creek in a barbed wire boat without a paddle. Even if we manage to avoid nuclear war, rampant inflation and economic collapse is highly probable, IMO.
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