Predicting future FX support and resistance levels using mathematics

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 27th November 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 27th November

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

GBPUSD fell to its daily low as EURGBP made its daily high. Then rallied to the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.2924

EURGBP made its daily high at its weekly S1 sentiment level 0.8586 as GBPUSD made its daily low. Then fell to weekly level 0.8509

EURUSD unable to break up through its lowest daily sentiment level 1.1023. Fell to its daily low at daily level 1.0996

USDCAD moved sideways between its highest daily sentiment level 1.3288 and its lowest daily sentiment level 1.3261

EURCAD fell through its lowest weekly sentiment level 1.4628 down to its low at daily level 1.4590

2019-11-27-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 28th November 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 28th November

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

GBPUSD trapped between daily sentiment level 1.2952 and daily S1 sentiment level 1.2906

EURGBP supported at weekly level 0.8509. Rallied to the highest daily sentiment level 0.8527

EURUSD trapped between daily sentiment levels 1.1016 and 1.1003

USDCAD supported at daily S1 sentiment level 1.3278. rallied to weekly S1 sentiment level 1.3299

EURCAD rallied to weekly S1 sentiment level 1.4647.

2019-11-28-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 29th November 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 29th November

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

TWO FILES ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer.

GBPUSD No VRM level for GBPUSD low today so GBPUSD was following EURGBP and EURUSD off their levels. Started the day unable to break up through weekly sentiment level 1.2919 and fell as EURGBP rose to its high. Then at 10:00 (GMT-4) it followed EURUSD as the latter rallied.

EURGBP Rallied to its high at its highest daily sentiment level 0.8539 followed by GBPUSD falling. Then fell through its daily S1 sentiment level 0.8524

EURUSD started the day below its lowest daily sentiment level 1.1014. Then fell to its daily level 1.0985. Then rallied to its high at weekly sentiment level 1.1030 followed by GBPUSD

USDCAD ranged between its highest daily sentiment level 1.3301 and its daily S1 sentiment level 1.3278

EURCAD high at weekly S1 sentiment level 1.4647. Low at its lowest daily sentiment level 1.4601

SECOND FILE

Shows the 3 hour candlestick charts with EMA channel (4.7) throughout the week with weekly VRM levels for the 5 FX pairs. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer.

GBPUSD supported through the week by the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.2841. Finally breaking through weekly sentiment level 1.2919

EURGBP high at its weekly S1 sentiment level 0.8586. Low at its weekly level 0.8509

EURUSD broke down through its lowest weekly sentiment level 1.1021 and never broke back up through this level

USDCAD moved sideways with some resistance at its weekly S1 sentiment level 1.3299

EURCAD started the week with support on its weekly S1 sentiment level at 1.4647. Then fell through its lowest weekly sentiment level at 1.4628. Tried twice to break up through its weekly S1 sentiment level 1.4647 and failed.

2019-11-29-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png

2019-11-29-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-3hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD - Middle of short term trend channel on course for collision with middle of long term trend channel

I attach the VRM chart for GBPUSD starting with the open this evening. On the right chart you can see that the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.2923 is on course for a collision with the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.2905.

Since November 8th the GBPUSD has been bumping up the middle of its long term trend channel. This week should be interesting!

gbpusd.PNG
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 2nd December 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 2nd December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

GBPUSD volatility as it passed up through the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.2923. Followed EURGBP and EURUSD today.

EURGBP low at daily S1 sentiment level 0.8521. High at daily level 0.8577

EURUSD made its low when EURGBP made its low. High at daily level 1.1086

USDCAD supported at its daily S1 sentiment level 1.3278

EURCAD supported at daily sentiment level 1.4625. High at daily level 1.4731

2019-12-02-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 3rd December 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 3rd December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

GBPUSD - was a buy GBP day. Low for the day at daily sentiment level 1.2930. High for the day at daily level 1.3012

EURGBP fell from its daily S1 sentiment level 0.8560. Low at daily level 0.8510

EURUSD moved sideways between daily sentiment level 1.1089 and weekly sentiment level 1.1072

USDCAD moved sideways between weekly sentiment level 1.3317 and daily sentiment level 1.3286

EURCAD supported by daily sentiment level 1.4727. High at weekly level 1.4760.

2019-12-03-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD - Middle of short term trend channel on course for collision with middle of long term trend channel

I attach the VRM chart for GBPUSD starting with the open this evening. On the right chart you can see that the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.2923 is on course for a collision with the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.2905.

Since November 8th the GBPUSD has been bumping up the middle of its long term trend channel. This week should be interesting!

View attachment 271179
And the collision predicted at the beginning of the week happened today. See the next post for today's results.
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 4th December 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 4th December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

GBPUSD - the collision predicted at the beginning of the week at post #769 happened today. GBPUSD had support on the daily S1 sentiment level 1.2988. And rallied to weekly sentiment level 1.3117

EURGBP had resistance below its lowest daily sentiment level 0.8527. And bought GBP down to the bottom of its short term trend channel at 0.8453

EURUSD watched on. Moving between the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.1071 and its weekly level 1.1108

BoC Interest rate decision

USDCAD bought CAD from the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.3292 down to weekly level 1.3192

EURCAD initially followed EURUSD up to its high at daily S1 sentiment level 1.4744. Then dropped to daily level 1.4620

2019-12-04-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 5th December 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 5th December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

GBPUSD supported on the top of its short term trend channel at 1.3109. Cascaded up daily levels to daily levels to daily level 1.3162

EURGBP fell through weekly levels down to the bottom of its long term trend channel at 0.8432

EURUSD had support on its lowest daily sentiment level 1.1076. And rose to weekly level 1.1108

USDCAD fell to its weekly level 1.3165. Which was also a daily level.

EURCAD found support at its lowest weekly sentiment level 1.4601. And rallied to its daily S1 sentiment level 1.4632

2019-12-05-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 6th December 2019 - US Nonfarm payrolls (with Brexit and UK elections next week thrown in)

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 6th December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

TWO FILES ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer.

VRM levels for EURGBP and EURUSD provided the key clues for how the markets would evolve today.

EURGBP had support on its daily S1 sentiment level 0.8437. And rallied to daily level 0.8466 before falling down to daily level 0.8411

EURUSD meanwhile could not break up through its weekly level 1.1108. It was already bearish prior to the NFP announcement. And fell to its daily level 1.1039

GBPUSD VRM levels for EURGBP and EURUSD determined GBPUSD price action today. With support of EURGBP at daily level 0.8437 and resistance for EURUSD at weekly level 1.1108 then GBPUSD's fate was sealed. By arbitrage it had to fall and it fell to weekly level 1.3102

USDCAD rose from daily S1 sentiment level 1.3171 to the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.3264 on the NFP announcement.

EURCAD followed USDCAD from its lowest daily sentiment level 1.4611 up to its daily level 1.4688

SECOND FILE

Shows the 3 hour candlestick charts with EMA channel (4.7) throughout the week with weekly VRM levels for the 5 FX pairs. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer.

GBPUSD - The middle of its short term trend channel collided with the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.2905 this week and GBPUSD rallied. GBPUSD rallied from 1.2905 up to weekly level 1.3153. More on the GBPUSD rally this week in my next post.

EURGBP fell from its high at the beginning of the week down to the bottom of its long term trend channel at 0.8432. With a pause on 3rd December at its weekly S1 sentiment level 0.8525

EURUSD rallied up to weekly level 1.1108. Then fell to its weekly S1 sentiment level 1.1048 today on the NFP figures

USDCAD fell from its weekly sentiment level 1.3317 down to weekly level 1.3165. Then rallied today on the NFP figures

EURCAD ranged between its high at weekly level 1.4760 and its lowest weekly sentiment level at 1.4601

2019-12-06-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png

2019-12-06-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-3hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD - Middle of short term trend channel on course for collision with middle of long term trend channel

I attach the VRM chart for GBPUSD starting with the open this evening. On the right chart you can see that the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.2923 is on course for a collision with the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.2905.

Since November 8th the GBPUSD has been bumping up the middle of its long term trend channel. This week should be interesting!

View attachment 271179
At the beginning of last week I predicted the collision of the VRM short and long term channel middles above. This happened on Wednesday.

Ahead of the UK elections next week I attach VRM charts for GBPUSD, EURGBP and EURUSD. You can see the middle of channels collision for GBPUSD last Wednesday. Coloured VRM levels for the next week (left) and tomorrow (right) are the important levels to use with the VRM algorithm.

Arbitrage makes

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD is bearish. GBPUSD just collided with the top of its short term trend channel. EURGBP just collided with the bottom of its long term trend channel. Let's see what happens.

gbpusd.PNG

eurgbp.PNG

eurusd.PNG
 
Last edited:

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 9th December 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 9th December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

ALL LEVELS FOR GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD IN THE ATTACHED CHARTS WERE PROVIDED IN YESTERDAY'S POST BEFORE THE MARKETS STARTED

GBPUSD unable to break through the top of its short term trend channel at 1.3168 and fell back to daily S1 sentiment level 1.3138

EURGBP supported by the bottom of its long term trend channel at 0.8397 and rallied to its lowest weekly sentiment level 0.8424

EURUSD rallied to the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.1074 and failed to break through then fell

USDCAD supported by its daily S1 sentiment level at 1.3251 but unable to break through the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.3261. Then fell

EURCAD rallied to the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.4684. Then fell to its lowest daily sentiment level at 1.4638

2019-12-09-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 10th December 2019

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 10th December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

ALL WEEKLY LEVELS FOR GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD IN THE ATTACHED CHARTS WERE PROVIDED IN THE POST BEFORE THE MARKETS STARTED SUNDAY

GBPUSD supported at daily sentiment level 1.3134 at start of day. Rallied to daily level 1.3215. Unable to break through top of short term trend channel at 1.3195. Fell dramatically in last 2 hours

EURGBP supported at the bottom of its short term trend channel at 0.8403. Then rallied dramatically in last 2 hours

EURUSD supported at daily sentiment level 1.1063. Rallied to highest daily sentiment level at 1.1092

USDCAD trapped between its daily sentiment levels 1.3243 and 1.3225

EURCAD supported at daily sentiment level 1.4641. Rallied back to middle of its long term trend channel at 1.4684

2019-12-10-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png
 

gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 11th December 2019 - FED Interest Rate Decision

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 11th December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

FOUR FILES ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 1 hour charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 1 hour charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

ALL WEEKLY LEVELS FOR GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD IN THE ATTACHED CHARTS WERE PROVIDED IN THE POST BEFORE THE MARKETS STARTED SUNDAY

GBPUSD fell to its weekly S1 sentiment level 1.3120. Then rallied to its daily level 1.3213 through the FED Interest Rate Decision.

EURGBP rallied to its weekly sentiment level 0.8451. Then fell as GBPUSD rallied

EURUSD found support on the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.1074. Then rallied through the FED Interest Rate Decision.

USDCAD Finally fell through the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.3230 at 10:00 am (GMT-4) and fell to weekly level 1.3165

EURCAD found resistance at the middle of its long term trend channel at 1.4684. Then fell to weekly sentiment level 1.4627

LAST THREE FILES

Are the VRM predictions for GBPUSD, EURGBP and EURUSD for 12th December ending 5 pm local time in New York. Let's see what happens.

2019-12-11-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-1hr-1hr.png

gbpusd.PNG

eurgbp.PNG

eurusd.PNG
 
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gka

Experienced member
1,013 16
GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD results for 12th December 2019 - UK Elections & ECB Interest Rate Decision

Volatility Response Model (VRM) described in the first post of this thread.

EURCAD added to complete another triplet. Now there are two triplets.

EURGBP X GBPUSD = EURUSD

EURUSD X USDCAD = EURCAD

The FX pairs follow each other about their respective VRM levels. Good for additional trading signals !

Here are the results for the GBPUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, USDCAD & EURCAD at end of day 12th December

The daily VRM charts below now only display the highest , lowest and S1 sentiments levels. These are the most important sentiment levels.

ONE FILE ATTACHED

FIRST FILE


Weekly VRM levels in the top 30 min charts. Daily VRM levels in the bottom 30 min charts. Times are GMT-4 . EMA channel (4,7) included. All charts show the mid-price between the bid and the offer .

VRM CHARTS FOR GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD WERE ATTACHED IN THE LAST POST PRIOR TO UK ELECTIONS & ECB INTEREST RATE DECISION

GBPUSD started the 24 hours by selling off at daily level 1.3232. Fell through the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.3097. And made its low at daily level 1.3065. GBPUSD made its low as EURUSD made its low. Very important !!!

EURGBP found support on its weekly sentiment level 0.8424 and rallied to daily level 0.8502. Then falling as GBPUSD rallied

EURUSD had support on its daily S1 sentiment level 1.1126. Tried to break up through its highest daily sentiment level 1.1157 and failed. Dropped to the middle of its short term trend channel at 1.1105. EURUSD then rallied and was followed by GBPUSD.

USDCAD supported at weekly level 1.3165 and rallied to its highest daily sentiment level 1.3192

EURCAD moved sideways with some support at its weekly S1 sentiment level 1.4647

2019-12-12-GBPUSD-EURGBP-EURUSD-USDCAD-EURCAD-30min-30min.png

All the weekly levels posted yesterday for GBPUSD, EURGBP & EURUSD will be valid until the end of trading on Friday in NY.
 
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