Triggerfish, that sounds like James Randi's 1m prize.
I also have the same sort of question as you Triggerfish: Trendie where is the dividing line between precognition and having such a good understanding of something that you can tell what is going to happen in advance
I don't know what that dividing line is.
Obviously, something such as the markets, some deep insights gained over time may manifest as intuition, in the same way kineasthetic memory through repetitive training helps footballers score goals in the blinking of an eye, or soldiers go through drills in the stress of war, etc.
But, abstractly, I suppose the classic Zener cards, 5 cards with a simple design, star, square, circle, etc, can be used to establish if sequences by certain individuals are higher than chance.
However, there is also the phenomenon of participants showing good results at the beginning of tests, then dropping to chance, then increasing to better than chance nearing the end of tests.
If participants are bored, the phenomenon may not manifest.
ARV, or experiments where participants have a vested interest, may be the key.
Not abstract tests, but where people can benefit from their insights.
Since its regarded as a pseudo-science, the results may be a long time coming.
Work by people such as Dean Radin, and Rupert Sheldrake are currently lone voices.
Humans cannot accept that they are simply another species on the planet. Hence the search for paranormal explanation of chance, to prove their special place on this planet, events such as guessing the next ten numbers or signs. Like a see saw, as some religions wane, the cults of second sight and other rubbish grows to satisfy the human need (among some) for a purpose to life and, more important, a possibility of surviving death. Some people even consult the runes before investing or Elliot Waves. No doubt you are aware that there is a whole industry built on peoples fear of death or there search for a reason to life and a need to see into the future. However, many of us simply make a trade based on what we guess may happen and have a plan "B" if the trade goes the other way
"Presentiment Effect is the term used to describe anticipatory responses to emotionally significant events prior to the occurrence of the event. Quite simply, it is a confirmation (of sorts) of precognition."
Presentiment Effect; An Emotional Roller Coaster | PARANORMAL PEOPLE
A sort of quantifiable precognition.
The idea that the brain may know beforehand, of an emotional event.
If you are a scalper, you might want to wire yourself up to galvanic skin response monitors, etc, and feel before it happens, what the market is about to do.