Iran War and the Impact on Oil

[Rufus_Leakey]

Your clickbait didn't get the right name of the tanker 😉

US-sanctioned oil tanker Skylight hit by Iran off Oman

УНН News of the World ✎ The Palau-flagged tanker Skylight, which is under US sanctions, was attacked off Oman's Musandam Peninsula. Four crew members were injured, and 20 peo…

unn.ua

https://www.marinetraffic.org/ship-owner-manager-ism-data/SKYLIGHT/9330020/511101102

The video clearly shows the Skylight on fire, but but the description has a typo. Yes, that's mistake, but is it any worse than the Iranian military's attack on the ship?

 

[timsk]

An absolutely brilliant interview with the ever sensible and clear thinking realist Col. Douglas Macgregor. Sadly, you won't see the likes of him being interviewed on the BBC here in the U.K. or equivalent MSM in the U.S. It's peppered from start to finish with down to earth common sense and exposes the flawed thinking and muddled (at best) strategy of Trump and his administration. But that's not really a surprise given that he/they are not in control and are completely subserviant to - and at the behest of - a madman like Netanyahu. Enjoy . . .

 

[timsk]

A commander in Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on Monday that the strait was “closed” and that any vessel attempting to pass through the waterway would be set “ablaze.”

Shutdown of Hormuz Strait raises fears of soaring oil prices​

A really interesting YouTube video from Brian Berletic of the The New Atlas in which he outlines the logistics of waging a war in foreign lands. He provides a compelling argument that this is the culmination of long term U.S. foregn policy to mantain its hegemony in the region and to thwart the rise of China, Russia and the BRICS nations. The U.S. spiel about ridding the world of a terrorist regime is total hogwash - but anyone subscibed to this thread probably knows that already. 😉

 

[IlIlIlIlI]

US embassy in Saudi capital set ablaze after drone attack: Riyadh

At least two drones have launched an attack against the US embassy in Riyadh, setting fire to the premises, the Saudi defense ministry says.

www.presstv.ir

New wave of attacks devastates key US base in Bahrain as Iran strikes back

A fresh wave of Iranian retaliatory strikes has crippled a major US air base in Bahrain, with strikes destroying command centers as Iranian forces continue launching firm response to the US-Israeli aggression.

www.presstv.ir

Russia and China Reject Nuclear Claims Against Iran Amid Escalation​

Melania Trump’s UN Speech Criticized for Omitting Iranian Tragedy​

Iran knows where Netanyahu convenes his meetings: Ex-IRGC chief

A former Iranian commander says Iran has completed its intelligence on Netanyahu’s whereabouts.

www.presstv.ir

Israeli-US Strike Hits Iran’s Leadership Council Office in Qom During Session​

New wave of attacks devastates key US base in Bahrain as Iran strikes back

A fresh wave of Iranian retaliatory strikes has crippled a major US air base in Bahrain, with strikes destroying command centers as Iranian forces continue launching firm response to the US-Israeli aggression.

www.presstv.ir

US War Goals ‘Completely Unrealistic’, Iran Can’t Be Bombed Into Regime Change: Former NATO Insider

“The Israeli-American bombing campaign is by no means sufficient to bring down Iran,” Jacques Hogard, retired colonel of the French Special Forces Task Group under NATO in Kosovo, told Sputnik.

sputnikglobe.com

Here’s the Biggest Sign Iran’s Air Defenses Are Standing Strong, Pentagon’s Planning Backfired

“Initially, it was impossible to evaluate the work of Iran’s air defense troops. But now, there is increasing information that the situation is stabilizing, and that Iran’s air defense assets are capable of neutralizing Israeli and US air targets,” retired Russian Army Colonel and military...

sputnikglobe.com

China Calls for Ensuring Safety of Navigation in Strait of Hormuz - Foreign Ministry

China calls on all parties to ensure the safety of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and prevent a negative impact on the global economy, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning said on Tuesday.

sputnikglobe.com

European Gas Prices Reach $700 Per 1,000 Cubic Meters for 1st Time Since January 2023– ICE

Gas exchange prices in Europe exceeded $700 per thousand cubic meters for the first time since January 23, 2023, data from the London-based ICE exchange showed on Tuesday.

sputnikglobe.com

 

[timsk]

Brent Crude will continue to rise while the war escalates. As expected, the volatility is wild with a daily range of circa $6.00. As this market is purely event driven, we have to pay close attention to the news and any sign that one side has landed a significant blow against the other. E.g. if Trump's plan to use the U.S. navy to escort shipping trough the Straight of Hormuz works - we can expect a sharp drop off in price. On the other hand, if Iranian drones and missiles get through the air defences and hit their target - expect another leap up in the price.

Anyone trading with a spread betting platform that offers guarenteed stops would be wise to use them to lock in profits, as the chances are that retail traders won't have time to react to any major news event. So, I recommend a wide stop and try not to get shaken out by intraday volatily as this carnage is a long way from over and, when the effects are felt by the world economy, the oil price will likely rise significantly higher. Near term target is $96.00 and the major round number of $100.00 after that.

As for gold, that's a slightly different story. It's come off its high for now. But this is only temporary, as there's a bounce in the USD$ as people move from stocks to cash, but that bounce is also temporary. When inflation rises (because of the impact of the war) and the value of the USD$ starts to fall again (which it will), gold will resume its march to the heavens. I predict it'll hit £5,000 by this time next year. Weekly chart of Brent Crude, below.

 

[IlIlIlIlI]

West's Silence on Schoolgirls Killed in Iran Reveals Its True Face - Russia's MFA

MOSCOW (Sputnik) - The lack of condolences or expressions of regret from Western governments over the deadly strike on a girl school in Iran shows the Western world's true face, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said on Tuesday.

sputnikglobe.com

US Submarine Sinks Iranian Warship in Indian Ocean in First Torpedo Strike Since WWII​

Iran Strikes US Military Infrastructure: AN/FPS-132 Radar Hit in Qatar​

First Since War Began: Iran Launches Missile Toward NATO Member Turkey​

Iranian Fire Reaches U.S. Base In Turkey With First Missile Attack (Video)

NATO air and missile defense systems deployed in the eastern Mediterranean Sea shot down a ballistic missile launched from Iran...

southfront.press

Putin Orders Emergency Evacuation Flights From Middle East for 23,500 Russians​

Veteran War Correspondent Reveals How to Tell When Analysts Talking About Iranian Losses Are Lying

“In every war, destroying a launcher is a very popular claim because it implies that the Israelis have reduced future attacks. This is a domestic and international message that ‘we have achieved the main objectives of the military campaign’,” says Elijah Magnier, prolific journalist and war...

sputnikglobe.com

Silence of World Media on Deaths of Schoolgirls in Iran Defies Description - MFA

The silence of the world media about the deaths of schoolgirls in Iran defies description, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said on Wednesday.

sputnikglobe.com

 

[IlIlIlIlI]

USS Abraham Lincoln flees after precision strike by IRGC drones in Sea of Oman

IRGC Navy has targeted the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier using advanced drones, forcing the strike group into a retreat from Iranian waters.

www.presstv.ir

Global Aviation Faces Crisis as Jet Fuel Prices Skyrocket​

Russian Varshavyanka Submarine Sinks After US Strike on Bandar Abbas Naval Base​

US-Israeli Efforts to Degrade Iran's Missile Might Failed – Military Researcher

The intensity of Iranian missile attacks against the US and Israeli assets in the Middle East does not seem to abate, despite the United States’ claims to the contrary, Konstantin Sivkov, a member of the Russian Academy of Rocket and Artillery Sciences, tells Sputnik.

sputnikglobe.com

US and Israeli Claims of Depleted Iranian Arsenals are Just Military Propaganda

American officials claim Iran’s arsenal is dwindling and launchers are running low — but there’s no objective proof, veteran Russian military observer Yury Lyamin, senior researcher at the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies, tells Sputnik.

sputnikglobe.com

Article 5 As A Skeleton Key: Why NATO Is Test-Driving Collective Defense On Iran

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte made two statements about invoking Article 5 over Iran within 24 hours — and said the exact opposite each time. First came “readiness.” Then came “not on the table.” This calibrated ambiguity is not a slip — it's a method. The alliance is stress-testing the...

southfront.press

 

[IlIlIlIlI]

Attack on School in Southern Iran Carried Out From US's Al Dhafra Air Base in UAE – IRGC

The attack on a school in the southern part of Iran was carried out from the US Al-Dhafra airbase located in the UAE, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on Friday.

sputnikglobe.com

Iran destroys US radars in UAE, Jordan, satellite images show

Several US radars in the UAE and Jordan have been successfully hit by Iranian missiles and drones as Iranian Armed Forces continue retaliatory campaign against American and Israeli aggression .

www.presstv.ir

US-Israeli barbaric aggression targets civilians, including children: Health ministry

Iran

www.presstv.ir

Massive nationwide rallies condemn US-Israeli aggression against Iran, martyrdom of Ayatollah Khamenei

Iranians fiercely denounced the brutal assassination of the Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei, and the ongoing savage US-Israeli aggression against the Islamic Republic.

www.presstv.ir

Op. True Promise 4: Iran launches 22nd wave with new generation missiles

The Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) has launched the 22nd wave of Operation True Promise 4.

www.presstv.ir

Iran Has 'Broken the Myth' of Israeli Military Power: Former Pakistani Envoy

Iran has effectively "broken the myth" of Israeli military supremacy, Asif Durrani, a former Pakistani ambassador to Iran and the UAE, told in an interview with Sputnik.

sputnikglobe.com

Iran Army drone barrage strike US bases in Kuwait, satellite images reveal extensive damage

Iranian Army announced a large-scale strike on US military bases in Kuwait, with satellite imagery indicating precise hits on key facilities inside the American-run Arifjan base.

www.presstv.ir

Iranian Strikes Dispel the Illusion of US Security Umbrella

Almost all the Gulf states, including the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan, that host American military bases or troops, have been targeted by Iran in the latest military confrontation between the Islamic...

sputnikglobe.com

Iranian Strikes Set U.S. Base In Kuwait Ablaze, Hit Patriot System And Tanker (Videos, Photos)

Over the night of March 5 and 6, Iran launched one of its largest attacks so far against Kuwait, targeting...

southfront.press

 

[IlIlIlIlI]

Iran conducted no attack on neighbors, respects their sovereignty, interests: Army headquarters

Iran’s Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters says Iranian Armed Forces respect the national interests and sovereignty of neighboring countries.

www.presstv.ir

Middle East War Pushes Gulf Monarchies to Reconsider Trillion-Dollar Investments​

US worried over dwindling ammunition stocks in war against Iran: Report

American officials worry about the rapid depletion of the US military’s advanced weaponry amid the ongoing military aggression on Iran.

www.presstv.ir

Planet Trumpland: An ABC from Hell​

Iran Hit U.S. Warning Radars, Combat Drones, Spy Planes At UAE Air Base In Revenge Attack (Photos)

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced on March 6 that they had targeted a United States base in the...

southfront.press

220 US forces killed or wounded in Iranian strikes in 24 hours

An Iranian Army spokesman says 220 American soldiers and commanders have been killed or wounded and significant damage has been inflicted on American assets in the region in retaliatory attacks by the Iranian Armed Forces over the past 24 hours.

www.presstv.ir

Iran Declares Ceasefire With Neighboring Countries And Apologizes, But Attacks Continue (Videos)

In a surprise move, Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian apologized to neighboring countries for attacks launched amid the war with the...

southfront.press

Expensive Energy Putting Europe's Competitiveness at Risk - Russia's Special Envoy

Expensive energy is putting Europe's competitiveness at risk for years to come, Kirill Dmitriev, head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) and Russian special presidential envoy for economic cooperation with foreign countries, said on Saturday.

sputnikglobe.com

US Approves Sale of 12,000 Aerial Bombs to Israel for Over $150 Million - State Department

The United States has approved the sale of 12,000 aerial bombs to Israel for $151.8 million, the State Department said in a statement amid the ongoing military aggression against Iran.

sputnikglobe.com

Devastating Israeli Strikes Leave 16 Aircraft Destroyed At Key Airport Near Iranian Capital (Videos)

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) announced on March 7 that it destroyed 16 aircraft used by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard...

southfront.press

No security as long as US keeps military bases in region: Qalibaf

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf has warned regional countries that they will experience persistent insecurity as long as they host American military bases.

www.presstv.ir

 

[timsk]

What's next for oil?
Well, the easy predictions of the U.S. and Israel attacking Iran and then the latter closing the Straight of Hormuz have been made. And the knock on effect on the price of a barrel of oil was a no-brainer, as it was clear from looking at the chart that the consequences of the war weren't already built in to the price action. I'm not claiming any great prizes for any of this as it was all broadcast loud and and clear in advance to those paying attention.

Going forward, this could go anywhere. I'm working on two basic assumptions based on past conflicts - especially the proxy Ukraine war with Russia. President Trump has told the U.K. PM not to bother sending British war ships to the region as the war is already won. Four years ago the previous administration was saying that Russia was running out of munitions, the troops were poorly trained and deserting in droves, the economy was tanking, Putin had cancer and the whole enterprise was going belly up. And look how that turned out! So, we can't trust a word that comes out of Trump's mouth, Hegseth and Netanyahu etc. The other assumption is that MSN will go along with their political masters to misinform and mislead us just as they've done with Ukraine. So, unless there's definitive proof that the Iranian regime is toast, assume that it still has a trick or two up its sleeve. Remember, all it has to do is hang on in there and show that the U.S.and Israel have failed to achieve their objectives. If U.S. bases in the region continue to be hit, it sends a loud and clear message to the world that the U.S. protection racket is worth jack shit and nothing like as good as it's cracked up to be. That's a win for Iran.

In the meantime, expect the oil price to continue to rise, but be prepared for some profit taking along the way - especially around major round numbers like $100.00. Once it pushes through that, it's clear sky to the March 2022 resistance level of $140.00. Monthly chart of Brent Crude attached to show the macro picture.

 

[timsk]

Britain Has Just Two Days’ Worth of Gas Stored Up – Sparking Fears of a Supply Shortage as Iran Shuts the Strait of Hormuz and Bombards Gas and Oil Refineries​

Will this situation result in the U.K. government applying pressure on the U.S. to cease it's unprovoked war of choice against Iran? Like hell it will. Will this situation result in the U.K. government removing sanctions against Russia and start importing (relatively) cheap oil and gas from them? Like hell it will. Will this situation result in the U.K. government renewing licences to encourage drilling in the north sea in order to tap into the massive natural reserves the U.K. has there? Like hell it will. One could be forgiven for thinking that the U.K. government doesn't give a toss about the impact that soaring oil and gas prices will have on the british people whose best interests it is supposed to serve. Grrrrrrrrrrrrr!
😡😡😡

 

[Atilla]

Iran War Cost Tracker — $1 Billion Per Day

The Pentagon estimates the war in Iran costs $1 billion per day. Track the running total in real time.

iran-cost-ticker.com

 

[Atilla]

No point for subtlety anymore. Mask fallen of US of A face.

US no longer a super-power imo. Tail - Israel is wagging the dog US.

China has already entered this war and Iran is the proxy.

Trump reminds me of Bush on the aircraft carrier with that banner stating Mission Accomplished in Iraq war. Well we all know how that turned out? However, Trump is considerably worse. His terms for ceasfire, humiliating a whole nation is unbelievably callous and cowboy speak one might hear in movies.

TOTALLY delusional man, a megalomaniac with an aggressive narcisstic disorder believes he can do whatever he likes. He is flexing US power for now, but has fallen very badly indeed. Time will tell with the mid-term elections in November.

I fear this is all going to get much worse before it gets better.

 

[Atilla]

Israel is about to get a bollocking from Trump about hitting Iranian fuel depots.

The state of Israel, if not killing women and children, they are now poisoning millions of civilians with attacking oil depos and blowing up oil, polluting the skies. Smog in the air isn't selective either, likely to travel with the winds impacting neighbouring countries. If all that wasn't bad, oil prices going up to $120, effectively doubling for the rest of the globe impacting billions with inflation and shortages.

To top it off, we have some effed up Israeli embassodor on the BBC lecturing the rest of us on how dangerous the Iranians are?

Jared Kushner is going to Israel, to deliver Trumps boot.

So we have regime change, nuclear prevention, leader selection and now oil destruction and global inflation.

You have to hand it to the rabid Israelis wanking off the US with the JeffreyStain abusing minors to get their way to screw the ME and rest of the World.

This has the makings of a James Bond movie imo.

😈 👺 🤮

 

[Atilla]

Iran has also outlined in detail to neighbours that they did not attack Cyprus, Turkey or Azerbajan. They had also denied attacking Saudie's refinery.

The word is that Israel has captured some of the Iranian drones and having replaced the control box are able to use them against Iran and neighbours. Effectively creating a white flag incident. Iranian's are stating that they have closed off the straights of Hormuz and have no need to or desire, attack oil infrastructure.

Iranians have acknowledged attacking US base and radar infrastructures

Israel attacking oil depos in Iran pretty much confirms their desire to conduct a scorch earth policy of ravaging Iran and Lebanon.

US desire to bring Israel into line has had a calming effect and oil is dropping back down to $100 at present.

Ultimate objective is ofcourse to achieve greater land grab whilst diverting attention suggesting it is facing an existential threat.

The attack in Iran on the girls school is also said to be calculated and deliberate, with the expectation that Iran would retaliate hitting civilian targets in Israel to justify it's attrocities but we are all seeing the true face of Nethanyanu who will do anything and everything to save his arse and face from corruption and genocide charges when all these episodes calm to an end.


Rubio is talking tosh about Iran being a threat to the world with their balistic weapons attacking neighbours. Perhaps the US should explore who really fired the weapons to neighbouring countries! Attacking US bases doesn't count, obviously.

 

[IlIlIlIlI]

US Army Can’t Whitewash Itself After Strike On Girl’s School in Iran — Experts

All attempts to "whitewash" the image of the US military after the strike on a school in Iran will be futile — its history remains stained, and accountability for war crimes necessitates bringing the US to trial, experts told Sputnik.

sputnikglobe.com

US State Department Orders US Diplomats to Leave Saudi Arabia Immediately - Reports

US diplomats serving in Saudi Arabia have been ordered to leave the country, the New York Times reported citing sources.

sputnikglobe.com

Iran Conflict Exposes Limits of US Arms Supply for Europe and Its Allies

Reports earlier said that US allies in Europe and Asia fear that the Iran war will leave them without US weapons they bought.

sputnikglobe.com

 

[Atilla]

Israel seems to have stopped barking as US loses control of impact on markets and the war.

Nethanyanu has fallen silent. I'm sure he has received Trump's boot up his arse for blowing up oil depos and escalating this war, serving Iranian objectives.

Cost approachign a trillion dollars with oil and inflation and interest rates in shit territory.
https://iran-cost-ticker.com/

Trump is saying the war is almost over?

How will Trump explain this fiasco whilst electioneering for the mid-term elections? Pretty much most peeps now seeing what Trump says and believes is just a trifle detached from reality.

US has fired so many EXPENSIVE rockets, cost of replacing them will equally be a challenge diverting funds and raising mineral prices even more.

People are rightly asking what has been achieved that we did not have before?

Personally, I'd like to see the back of turban heads my self. If there is one thing I'd like to see would be an end to this stupid islamic regime that surpresses own people. Mission total failure imo. So the plan is to assassinate Iranian leaders until they comply with Trump's approval subject to God knows what?

What a remarkably farcical situation the Israelis and the US have come to?

Whilst I'm very happy investigation is going into the bombing of the girls school, it raises the questions that Israel has destroyed many schools and hospitals and nothing has come of the genocidal destruction in Gaza?

Israel and US have sunk to new depths of depravity committing war crimes and history will not forget.

Personally, this war in no way feels like victory but total humuliation and illegal war crimes committed by both Israel and the US imho.

 

[timsk]

Anyone following along with this needs to keep the faith, ignore the criminal politicians and compliant MSM. Yesterday's sell off was nothing more than a huge collective sigh of relief and professional profit taking in resonse to Trump's outright lie that the war was almost won and would likely end in a week or so. It isn't won and it won't end. For weeks - if not months - to come. Why? The U.S. and Israel have not achieved any of their stated goals. The Iranian regime has not surrendered (and nor will it), their missile and drone production facilities have not been destroyed and the U.S. can't keep open the Straight of Hormuz which is de facto shut to all shipping apart from what the Iranians allow to pass through. As for the war coming to an end, one could be forgiven for thinking that this is the sole decision of Trump and the U.S. and that the Iranians have no say in the matter. What if they gain the upper hand because they still have reserves of weapons after the U.S. and Israel have depleted theirs? What will be their incentive be to stop when they can continue to hit U.S. bases and Israel with virtual impunity? No one is asking that question!

So, where does this leave us with the oil trade? Same as before: ignore the politicians and media and focus on what is actually happening on the ground. Little has changed; the war continues to escalate and the U.S. certainly isn't winning anything at the moment. So oil will resume its upward trajectory in the coming days. Use this opportunity to add to your position or jump on board if you're late to the party. Do not be shaken out for fear that the gig is up and everything's returning to normal. It absolutely isn't: this is a long way from over and oil will continue to rise. Daily chart below to highlight yesterday's insane volatility.

 

[timsk]

Needless to say, the entire narrative about Iran being a potential nuclear threat to the U.S. and using that as a justification for the war is total BS. Iran is a threat to U.S. hegemony and control over the oil rich gulf states because of its allegiance to BRICS. It's oil that dictates the actions of the U.S. as it's the one commodity that every single nation on the globe needs. The bigger the nation, the more it requires. The true narrative (that MSM won't tell you) is that the U.S. wants to stop China's access to oil from the region at it counts for circa 15% of it's total supply. If the U.S. can cut that off, it will damage China economically and thwart its progress towards energy independance. The ever excellent Brian Berletic of The New Atlas explains all in this video. Enjoy . . .

 

[THT]

This is also playing out to what David Icke wrote 20-30 years ago about the plan for the middle east

If you look back at most wars you can align the petro $

The UK and USA have been involved in regime change in Iran decades ago - Operation AJAX is what you want to read up on

Iran has always been "1 step away from having a nuclear bomb" - yet that 1 step seemed to be taking decades to complete!

Interesting times