Has the market bottomed for QBTS for now?

[HB123]

• The current price action of the stock with ticker symbol QBTS has shown an inverted hammer on higher than average volume on a 4-hour extended hours chart along with the next candle fully engulfing the inverted hammer candle on higher than average volume as well very close to an area of major support on the daily chart of $26.37.
• However, on the daily chart price has created a strong bullish candle, but the volume indicator shows below average volume as per the 20 SMA volume line.
• I am a bit confused if this signals a market bottom or not as the 4-hour chart in my opinion is signalling a market bottom but the daily chart is not confirming this market bottom with an up move with higher than normal volume.
• Could you please provide your view on QBTS and explain if you think the market has reached a bottom or not at the suppport level of $26.37

 

[Kripto Tolga]

23,81 - 26,45 bottom zone 😉

 

[HB123]

23,81 - 26,45 bottom zone 😉

View attachment 344368

Thank you for your chart and analysis. It is truly appreciated. A couple of questions on the chart. I am assuming the red zone as you have noted in your comments between $23.81 - $26.45 is a zone of support? Would you mind elaborating on why you think this is going to be the "bottom zone" and how you arrived at this support zone? Also, could you please explain what the green zone at the bottom with "Buy Power: 54" indicates?

 

[xatta]

I agree with you, OP, that the situation for QBTS looks rather ambiguous. And I even have the benefit of an extra day of trading to see how its going. 🙂

On the daily chart, there is nothing remarkable that would point us in one direction or the other. It may be that it just thrashes around for a while between the support you identified around $26.50 and somewhere in the mid-$30s.

 

[HB123]

I agree with you, OP, that the situation for QBTS looks rather ambiguous. And I even have the benefit of an extra day of trading to see how its going. 🙂

On the daily chart, there is nothing remarkable that would point us in one direction or the other. It may be that it just thrashes around for a while between the support you identified around $26.50 and somewhere in the mid-$30s.

Thank you, Xatta for your contribution. In your opinion, do you think this "thrashing around" is accumulation to move upwards towards higher price points or an accumulation to go lower? Could you kindly provide your thinking and the evidence you are using for your analysis whether it be technical or fundamental where possible? I am trying to decided whether to buy at this price point or not, but my concern is that the bounce it has had off of the support close to $26.37 is on low-ish volume which is not encouraging and the other candles being formed are also on low volume. I would have also liked to have seen a longer wick being formed below the support to see stops being taken out for the market to indicate that it has potentially flushed out people at that level and is looking to move upwards. Any thoughts anyone on this one?

 

[xatta]

Personally, I would just stay away from this stock for now. Here are some things to consider:

- Ever since the peak on Oct 15, volume on up days is not what it was during the uptrend. This might be ok and just a sign that the stock is forming a longer base. I don't get the feeling from it that a quick rebound is imminent.

- There is currently strong support around $26.50. The Fibonacci 61.8% retracement is there, plus the congestion area in September, plus it recently bounced off of that twice. It isn't a law of physics, unfortunately. If the market in general would roll over, then that support may disappear.

- The chart may be in the process of forming a (bearish) descending triangle.

- The stock tripled in a matter of a few weeks and can go back to where it started just as quickly if the hot money continues to dry up.

- OTOH, QBTS could give us a quick 20% rally and everything I wrote above might still be valid.

- Fundamentals are surely useless for a "quantum computing" stock. This is pure speculation.