Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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The Dollar Strengthens in Anticipation of the Fed's Rate Decision

The current five-day period is as full as possible with important fundamental data. This morning, a meeting of the Bank of Japan and the RBA took place. Tomorrow, the Fed will announce its decision on the rate, and on Thursday, market participants expect a verdict from the Bank of England. Decisions by officials may determine the pricing of major currency pairs in the coming months. After all, most currency pairs have been trading in narrow flat corridors for a long time, and an increase in volatility can lead to the start of new medium-term trends.

GBP/USD

A week ago, pound buyers managed to update the high of December last year at 1.2830. The price almost reached 1.2900, but the pound bulls failed to continue the upward movement and test the psychological resistance level at 1.3000. The pullback from 1.2900 contributed to the formation of a reversal combination for selling bearish harami on the w1 timeframe. Technical analysis of GBP/USD shows that if this formation continues, the price may decline to recent extremes at 1.2530-1.2500. We can consider cancelling the downward scenario if we confidently consolidate above 1.2900.

Tomorrow, pay attention to the release of data on the consumer price index in the UK for February. At 12:00 GMT+3, the housing price index for the past month will be released.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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A Yen For Volatility: US Dollar Surges as Japan Ends 8 Years of Negative Rates

Eight long years have passed since the Bank of Japan introduced its controversial yet pioneering attempt to encourage spending in what has become an ultra-conservative economy, which has experienced a sustained period of stagnation.

In 2016, Japan's central bankers decided to introduce negative interest rates, a term which refers to the maintaining of artificially low interest rates in order to encourage businesses and private individuals to borrow money and therefore spend, which would in turn increase the size of the Japanese economy and result in economic growth.

During that eight-year period, times have not been easy in Japan with regard to its national economic situation, and despite the country having not invoked any lockdowns or restrictions in the way that many Western nations did four years ago and a longstanding series of challenges faced the Japanese fiscal situation.

Over the course of time, Japan's demographics have changed, and it has the longest life expectancy in the world; therefore, a large proportion of retired people and a conservative younger generation have appeared to save money rather than spend or invest it.

Many analyses consider that the negative interest rate policy was invoked to encourage such people to withdraw their savings from bank accounts and either spend it or invest it in other areas, such as property or business ventures.

Just six months after the introduction of the policy in 2016, the Japanese economy had not grown, and in some reports there are opinions which state that Japan's authorities can now look back on 25 years of failed economic stimulus attempts.

That is a harsh criticism, however it appears that Japan's central bank has given up on the most recent one and in a landmark decision has today put an end to eight years of negative interest rates.

This means a return to standard market rates, and the result in the currency markets is noticeable.

The US dollar has made gains against the Japanese Yen during today's trading session, beginning with the Asian market.

The USDJPY pair is now trading at 150.424 Yen to the US Dollar, which puts it back at the high point it was at when March began.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Again, USD/JPY Rallies Above 151

EUR/USD started another decline from the 1.0960 resistance. USD/JPY surged and broke the 151.00 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

• The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0900 support zone.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0870 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/JPY climbed higher above the 150.00 and 151.00 levels.
• There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 150.20 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0960 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0900 support zone against the US Dollar.

The pair even declined below 1.0870 and tested the 1.0835 zone. A low was formed near 1.0834 and the pair is now correcting losses. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.0906 swing high to the 1.0834 low at 1.0870.

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0870. The next key resistance is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.0906 swing high to the 1.0834 low at 1.0890.

The main resistance is 1.0905. A clear move above the 1.0905 level could send the pair toward the 1.0960 resistance. An upside break above 1.0960 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1020.

If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0835. The next key support is at 1.0820. If there is a downside break below 1.0820, the pair could drop toward 1.0785. The next support is near 1.0750, below which the pair could start a major decline.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Correction in Crypto Markets: BTC/USD Rate Drops to $60,000

On March 18, we wrote that bears became more active near the $70,000 level.

As the BTC/USD chart shows, today the price of Bitcoin is already close to the psychological level of USD 60k, while the price of Ethereum is close to USD 3,000.

According to MarketWatch, experts consider the decline to be a correction that is “long overdue” as part of an upward trend. According to Fundstrat, Monday saw net outflows from BTC ETFs for the first time since March 1, amounting to about $154.3 million.

What's next?

From a technical analysis point of view, the price of Bitcoin, given an increase of approximately 90% from point A (around USD 38.8k) to point B (around USD 73.4k), a normal correction of 50% indicates the prospect of a decline to the area of USD 56.1k.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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TSLA analysis: Price Returns to Above the $170 Level, But for How Long?

After forming a low of the year on March 14, the TSLA share price managed to rise above the USD 170 level — investors reacted positively to Tesla’s decision to increase prices for electric vehicles in the US and Europe.

However, the TSLA stock market remains under pressure:
the TSLA price performs noticeably worse than the S&P 500 index;
the price forms a downward channel (shown in red);
Goldman Sachs analysts cut their forecast for Tesla shares to USD 190 from USD 220 for the next 12 months due to problems with production and sales.

Yahoo writes that investors are not happy with Musk's attitude. The fall in Tesla shares could quickly stop if the company gets a “real CEO” or Musk changes his position and returns to work and positively promoting the brand.

What is the market outlook?

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The price of the S&P 500 set a historical record amid news from the Fed

On March 14, we wrote: “The US500 stock index market is showing signs of positivity, indicating that an attempt to overcome the resistance of 5,200 points with a new record high may be made in the near future.” Yesterday's event created the momentum that allowed the bulls to do this.

On Wednesday evening it became known that it was decided to keep the interest rate at 5.5% in the US — this was expected. What market participants paid more attention to was the dovish tone of the Fed. Thus, it became known that by the end of 2024 there may be 3 consecutive rate cuts.

According to Jerome Powell:
→ recent inflation data turned out to be hotter than expected;
→ however, “in fact, the overall story has not changed, it is a gradual decline in inflation along a somewhat bumpy road.”

Thus, fears associated with a longer period of tight monetary policy have been dispelled. As a result, the US dollar fell in price against a number of currencies, and the US stock market index S&P 500 soared to a new historical high around the level of 5,250.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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USD/CHF Analysis: SNB Decision Breaks Multi-month Trend

According to Reuters, on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos in January, the head of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Thomas Jordan told the Swiss press that the appreciation of the franc creates problems for exporters. Thus, indicating intentions to weaken the CHF.

His words in January seem to be in line with how events are developing — the franc has weakened against the US dollar by more than 6% since the start of the year.

Moreover, today, quite unexpectedly, the Swiss National Bank decided to lower the interest rate: actual = 1.50%, forecast = 1.75%, previous value = 1.75%.

The result of the decision today was a sharp weakening of the franc against other currencies, including the US dollar.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The Yen and European Currencies Strengthen after the Fed Meeting

Yesterday's meeting of the US Federal Reserve disappointed dollar buyers. The rate remained at the same level as expected (5.25–5.50%). However, according to the updated FOMC forecast, it will be reduced three times this year by 0.25%, in contrast to four in the December forecast. The 2025 forecast also shows fewer expectations for rate cuts, just three. Naturally, investors' disappointment with this turn of events resulted in sales of the American currency in almost all directions. Thus, the US dollar/yen currency pair rebounded from recent highs at 151.80 and is currently trading below 151.00, the pound/US dollar retested 1.2800, and euro/US dollar buyers managed to strengthen the pair above 1.0900.

GBP/USD

Weak data on inflation and producer price index in the UK for February, published yesterday, led to the price falling below 1.2680, but by the evening, pound buyers managed to win back losses and test 1.2800. At the same time, today the pair faces an equally important day, rich in foundations.

A meeting of the Bank of England is scheduled at 15:00 GMT+3, at which a decision on the base interest rate will be made. Analysts assume that the rate will remain at the same level (5.25%). What is important for market participants will be the number of votes of committee members for a rate reduction this year. If the number of officials who believe that the rate should be reduced at the next BoE meetings is more than one, the pound/US dollar pair may decline to 1.2700-1.2600. Otherwise, the price growth on the GBP/USD chart may resume in the direction of 1.3000-1.2900.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Signal More Losses

AUD/USD declined below the 0.6575 and 0.6550 support levels. NZD/USD is also moving lower and might trade below the 0.6000 zone.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

• The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6600 level against the US Dollar.
• There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 0.6570 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
• NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.6105 resistance zone.
• There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 0.6040 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6635 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6600 support against the US Dollar.

The pair even settled below 0.6575 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6504 swing low to the 0.6634 high. Moreover, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 0.6570.

The pair is now trading below the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6504 swing low to the 0.6634 high. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6520 zone.

The next support sits at 0.6505. If there is a downside break below 0.6505, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6455. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6420 support.

On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6550 level. The next major resistance is near 0.6575, above which the price could rise toward 0.6635. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.6700.

A close above the 0.6700 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6780.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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AAPL Share Price Falls More Than 4% after Antitrust Lawsuit

Yesterday, the Department of Justice filed an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, alleging that the company has established a monopoly with the iPhone, which has harmed consumers, developers and competitors.

“Each step in Apple's course of conduct built and reinforced the moat around its smartphone monopoly,” the government said in the 88-page lawsuit.

The result of news of the lawsuit was a sharp decline in Apple's share price by more than 4%. This is a serious blow to stocks that are already underperforming the broader market. As confirmation, we note that yesterday, the ratio of the S&P 500 index to the AAPL share price set a maximum since November 2021.

The chart for AAPL stock shows an increasingly bearish picture:

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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GBP/USD Price Falls to 1.26 after Bank of England Decision

Yesterday, the GBP/USD market experienced a day of intense volatility due to a number of news items. According to Trading Economics:

→ UK retail sales were flat last month after a strong rise of 3.6% in January, contrasting with market expectations of a 0.3% decline.

→ The Bank of England decided to leave interest rates unchanged. However, its head Andrew Bailey hinted at a potential reduction in interest rates. He noted positive indicators of lower inflation but stressed the need for greater confidence in managing price pressures.

Thus, a clearer prospect of easing monetary policy in the UK (which, however, is relevant for many countries) has become a driver for the weakening of the British pound.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Watch FXOpen's 18 - 22 March Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: S&P500, USD, SNB, TSLA

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

• The Price of the S&P 500 Set a Historical Record amid News from the Fed #SP500 #theFed
• US Dollar Shows Record Weekly Gain Since Mid-January #USD
• USD/CHF Analysis: SNB Decision Breaks Multi-month Trend #USDCHF #SNB
• TSLA analysis: Price Returns to Above the $170 Level, But for How Long? #TSLA #Tesla

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo

 

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Bitcoin Price Recovered over the Weekend, But Market Anxiety Remains

From the point of view of technical analysis of BTC/USD, on Friday evening the price of Bitcoin was near the lower boundary of the ascending channel (shown in blue). This was alarming as it indicated that the market action could result in a weekly bearish candle forming with the price of BTC down by around 5% — something that hasn't happened since August of last year.

However, this did not happen, as the price recovered over the weekend, forming rebounds from the lower border of the channel. The lower shadows of the candles are a sign of demand forces. Moreover, the bulls have broken through the downward trend line (shown in black). Will the bulls be able to return the price of Bitcoin to an upward trajectory within the specified trend?

Doubts remain.

→ Bitcoin “still looks overbought,” JPMorgan strategists warned, predicting a decline to USD 42k.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Big in Japan: Several Years of Failed Stimulus Ends, But Stocks Go Up!

Japan's notoriously conservative approach to business practices combined with a world renowned reputation for engineering excellence has been a winning combination for the island nation for over 60 years.

A relatively small country was able to successfully market a range of products in many sectors ranging from electronic goods to automobiles to a worldwide audience to the extent that Japanese corporations are now global giants with head offices in various countries across the world and the names of these corporations household names in all continents.

An incredible attention to detail, highly educated population and unfaltering work ethic transformed Japan into the ultra-sophisticated nation that it is today, however perhaps surprisingly this commercial dominance has not always equaled a world-beating national economy.

Over recent years, the Japanese Yen has been subject to various periods of volatility, and Japanese stocks, once the absolute pinnacle of economic success during the 'Yuppie Years' of the 1980s when there was no internet and heavy manufacturing companies and property development giants were the largest companies in the world.

Since the rise of the Silicon Valley tech giants, all of which are a creation of the Internet revolution, however, Japan's indices have been far less of a talking point among traders and investors of the stocks of large companies as the absolute dominance of the 'Magnificent 7' and the halo effect they have created around other internet-based companies, software firms and e-commerce tours de force has changed the entire focus from traditional bricks and mortar companies toward those whose products are in the ether.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Consolidation ahead of US News

This morning, news about inflation in Japan was published. It did not bring any surprises — inflation in Japan is gradually weakening as expected. Core CPI in annual terms: actual = 2.3%, forecast = 2.5%, a month ago = 2.6%, a year ago = 3.0%.

We also note that the official position is aimed at preventing further weakening of the yen, as the USD/JPY price has risen more than 7% since the beginning of 2024 — very close to a 32-year high. Thus, Japanese Deputy Finance Minister for Economic Affairs Masato Kanda yesterday warned that the current weakening of the yen does not correspond to fundamental indicators and is clearly caused by speculation. He concluded that the authorities would take appropriate measures against excessive fluctuations.

However, neither verbal interventions nor the publication of Japanese Core CPI values led to strong fluctuations in the USD/JPY market. Why so?

From a fundamental analysis point of view, market participants are keeping their focus on the publication of Core PCE Price Index values in the US, as well as the Fed Chairman's speech — both events are scheduled for Friday (at 15:30 and 18:30 GMT+3, respectively).

From a technical analysis point of view, the market stabilization is quite natural, since the USD/JPY price today is near the median line of the ascending channel (shown in blue), which describes the trajectory of 2024. The market seems to be cooling down after the RSI indicated it was overbought on March 20th.

It is the events of Friday that can bring the market out of the current equilibrium state (despite the fact that Friday is a day off in many countries, volatility can be high).

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The Spacs Are Back! NASDAQ on A High as Trump's Social Media Co Goes Public

It seems as though the sensationalism that surrounded the controversial SPAC listings, which suddenly found their way onto the technology-friendly NASDAQ exchange in 2021, was a long time ago.

Back at the beginning of this decade, many aspects of business and ways of life that had remained similar for a long period of time changed beyond recognition, and one of them was the admission of 'blank cheque' companies onto the NASDAQ exchange in the form of SPAC entities, with SPAC standing for Special Purchase Acquisition Company.

This method of suddenly going from a start-up status to multi-billion dollar publicly traded company within almost no time and with the ability to bypass much of the criteria required for public listing on major exchanges gave rise to the sudden influx of a number of previously unknown entities which had hardly any market share in their industry sector, yet were able to list their stock publicly for millions, sometimes billions, of dollars.

That era has passed, and many of those firms have experienced severe depreciation of their stock ever since, which has had some degree of effect on the volatility in the NASDAQ index over the tech stock doldrums the ensuing year.

Now, however, with the NASDAQ index flying high and investor appetite for tech stocks well and truly back on track, there is another interesting dynamic which has brought the concept of SPAC listings back into the public arena.

Today, the NASDAQ index was trading at 18,398 at 9.30 am UK time, which is another increment on the steady upward direction the index has been building upon all of this year so far since rebounding back from a low point of 14,127 in late November last year.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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The US Currency Corrects after Recent Growth

The incoming fundamental data of the past five-day period contributed to the strengthening of the American currency in almost all major pairs. Thus, the pound/US dollar currency pair lost more than 200 pp over several trading sessions, the euro/US dollar pair retested 1.0800, and buyers of the USD/JPY pair managed to keep the price above 151.00.

GBP/USD

The decision of British officials to leave the base interest rate at the same level did not contribute to the strengthening of the pound/US dollar pair. And the hint from the head of the Bank of England about a possible rate cut at the next meeting led to sharp losses in the pair and a test at the price of the important support level of 1.2600. At the moment, the pair is consolidating just above the mentioned mark. In the case of a positive fundamental background from the UK, the price may correct to 1.2800-1.2740. If the downtrend resumes, the price on the gbp/usd chart may retest 1.2570.

Tomorrow at 13:30 GMT+3, we are waiting for the publication of the minutes of the meeting of the Bank of England Financial Policy Committee. A little later, the CBI retail sales index will be published.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Dives While USD/CAD Gains Bullish Pace

GBP/USD declined below the 1.2665 support zone. USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.3610 resistance.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

• The British Pound started a fresh decline from the 1.2800 resistance zone.
• There was a break below a key rising channel with support at 1.2630 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.3555 support zone.
• There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.3575 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from the 1.2800 zone. The British Pound traded below the 1.2690 support to move into further a bearish zone against the US Dollar.

The pair even traded below 1.2665 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2580 level. A low was formed at 1.2575 and the pair recently attempted a recovery wave. The pair climbed above the 1.2600 level.

It cleared the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2803 swing high to the 1.2575 low. However, the bears were active near 1.2665 and pushed the pair lower again.

There was a break below a key rising channel with support at 1.2630. Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.2600. The next major support sits at 1.2575, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2500.

Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.2665 level. The first major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2803 swing high to the 1.2575 low at 1.2690.

A close above the 1.2690 resistance might spark a steady upward move. The next major resistance is near the 1.2750. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.2800 resistance in the near term.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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NIKKEI-225 Analysis Indicates Possibility of Correction from Historically High Levels

On March 21, the value of the Japanese stock index reached a historical maximum, exceeding the level of 41,100 points. This was facilitated by:

→ Weak yen supporting exporters. It increases the value of profits earned abroad for a large number of companies that sell their products abroad and then convert the profits into yen.
→ Demand for shares of Japanese companies paying dividends. For example, shares of air conditioner manufacturer Daikin Industries rose by 2.82%.

At the same time, the NIKKEI-225 chart signals indicate the likelihood of a correction, since:

→ The price is near the upper border of the ascending channel, from which resistance can be expected.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

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EUR/USD Analysis: The Price Today Has Set Its Minimum Since the Beginning of March

As the EUR/USD chart shows at the start of the European session today, the exchange rate has dropped below EUR 1.08 per US dollar.

Tuesday's news contributed to this. According to Nasdaq.com, on March 26, 2024, The Conference Board published a report for March, according to which the CB Consumer Confidence index of consumer confidence dropped sharply: fact = 104.7; forecast = 107.0; previous value = 106.7. Comments followed: “Consumers remain concerned about increased price levels, which dominates the responses. March written responses showed growing concerns about food and gasoline prices.”

As a result, the US dollar strengthened (as shown by arrow No. 1). After all, if the published data give grounds to assess inflation as high, then the Fed’s tough policy may last longer.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.