NVP
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Mornin all .......before I respond to Steve heres the week so far and some ideas for today
the week has been a game of 2 halves (as they say in soccer)
Dow got stronger into tuesday .....but it couldnt suppress the Yen and USD south (or together) so trades were thinnish.......some euro buys by very late Tuesday evening
Wednesday DOW opened thru London am session flat.....but the yen and USD were already coming north and signalling intent .....GBP dumped off of bad economics and the Dow flow went south big making easy signals for us to sell the Euro & GBP (again) and even AUD for the next few significant hours and well well into thursday western sessions....
its all change now with Dow bouncing and the YEN and USD have gone South so we are looking at some buys on the aUD , GBP and soon the Euro today so far ....
Friday gameplan
hmmm...tough one ......
my first check is to see where traders will be locking in stops to ensure they preserve weekly profits......especially on the big Currency movers which this week are Sterling (short) and Yen (long)
Sterling has roughly already retraced over 50% on this weeks sell action and is hanging around the lows of last weeks low (resistance point ?) ...... Yen is into its third consecutive week of winners and is currently showing roughly at 25% retrace on the weeks high....see the 500ma chart below where I look for this level of detail
so where is the Dow going today ?....... its bounced back 50% on the highs of the week already so not as much to play with on predictions there....gut feel tells me more downside now but thats not gonna pay the rent
Based on above I would actually just go with the flow on whatever TF you are using.....if its the 15m trade 20ma with normal signals ....and 5 min is scalping anyway so who cares about the 4hour TF ....
later all ...I'll put a screenleap up later if I can scalping the 5mins
N
the week has been a game of 2 halves (as they say in soccer)
Dow got stronger into tuesday .....but it couldnt suppress the Yen and USD south (or together) so trades were thinnish.......some euro buys by very late Tuesday evening
Wednesday DOW opened thru London am session flat.....but the yen and USD were already coming north and signalling intent .....GBP dumped off of bad economics and the Dow flow went south big making easy signals for us to sell the Euro & GBP (again) and even AUD for the next few significant hours and well well into thursday western sessions....
its all change now with Dow bouncing and the YEN and USD have gone South so we are looking at some buys on the aUD , GBP and soon the Euro today so far ....
Friday gameplan
hmmm...tough one ......
my first check is to see where traders will be locking in stops to ensure they preserve weekly profits......especially on the big Currency movers which this week are Sterling (short) and Yen (long)
Sterling has roughly already retraced over 50% on this weeks sell action and is hanging around the lows of last weeks low (resistance point ?) ...... Yen is into its third consecutive week of winners and is currently showing roughly at 25% retrace on the weeks high....see the 500ma chart below where I look for this level of detail
so where is the Dow going today ?....... its bounced back 50% on the highs of the week already so not as much to play with on predictions there....gut feel tells me more downside now but thats not gonna pay the rent
Based on above I would actually just go with the flow on whatever TF you are using.....if its the 15m trade 20ma with normal signals ....and 5 min is scalping anyway so who cares about the 4hour TF ....
later all ...I'll put a screenleap up later if I can scalping the 5mins
N