Thanks for the answers.
So in simple terms, the zero line is market neutral and obviously the individual currencies are showing their strengths compared with the rest of the market.
YEP
Clearly the strongest "Signals" take place when two currencies diverge from the zero line. Attached is an obvious example from this week. At the beginning of the week the currencies were all bunched up around the zero line. Then Sterling weakened and Yen strengthened. Euro also strengthened around a similar time and AUD was already relatively strong.
YEP
So, looking at that situation there were potentially several possible trades
1) long EURGBP
2) short GBPAUD
3) short GBPJPY
I dont trade 1 or 2 and 3 is generally a high risk volaile pair - so no again
As it transpires, the best trade would have been the yen trade which had the bigest movement - 350 pips in this example. Note that I actually took the GBPAUD trade because at that time, AUD was strongest. The second attachment shows the GBPAUD chart, and shows my 2 trades - I scaled into this one. First trade closed for about +150 and the 2nd for about +70. So actually a good trade. Shame I put my stop a real long way a way to be safe, so my actual lot size and overal profit was small, but still profit nonetheless
I think the GBPJPY trade would not really have been that tradable. It is obvious using hindsight when looking back at the chart, but there is no other real reason to have entered the trade at that time.
So, I guess this is leading up to another question. Are there any other cues that you use to help decide when to trade? Perhaps the answer is a simple no, and rather than trying to capture all this trade, you simply waits for currencies to diverge a certain amount, and it is that point at which we jump on board, to try to take a portion of the movement?
oh boy have you asked the 65,000 dollar question .......see the 7 p's slide I posted earlier ....thats my starting point to analyse the market and find clues .....and why all 3 of your pairings above are usually not for me ..
J