Neil,
I was just trying to impress a friend with my knowledge of currency correlations and I dug myself in a hole. So the EUR correlates to the Dow, right? But doesn't JPY as well? Because USDJPY goes down when Dow goes up - or is that, technically speaking, codswallop? 😕
I have to come back to the master on this one time and again. You'll have to invent a memory aid for it like Never Eat Shredded Wheat.
the master ?.......hahahahahah
😆
a part time trader who got lucky on reinventing an indicator that has become famous on its own amazing merits ?
anyway heres my take on things ......
heres the pecking order on correlations regarding the Dow Futures
1) the yen is by far the numero uno top correlating currency to the Dow and equity market and its a
negative one...........dow up yen down and dow down yen up
2) in second place is the usd.....god knows why but usd sticks tight to the yen mostly and as a carry trade / safe haven whatever..........I know what I see so another negative correlation currency to the Dow/Equities
3) in third place I watch for another negatively correlating currency to the dow ...the CHF........safe haven play and sometimes the chf is tighter than a scotsman's sporran to the yen than the usd is
😛 ............get all 3 moving together and you have a steamroller trade move to trade others against
👍
they are my anchor currencies for trades and to me there is no such thing as the other G5 currencies moving WITH Equities.....they just look like it as the 3 currencies mentioned drive them to with the Dow due to a zero sum game on the G8
I have no currency at all that moves closer with the dow than any other.......just depends on economic news and conditions
if I could trade just by trading these currencies i'd be a millionaire now (ie sell yen when dow rises) ....my problem is I have to chose a currency to pair up with them and therein lies the problem ......those G5 currencies all have plans of their own and its sometimes not moving with the Dow :whistling
NVP