Recent content by Z Forex

Euro Holds Firm as ECB Bets Rise (05.12.2026) President Trump described the US-Iran ceasefire as being on “massive life support” after dismissing Tehran’s latest proposal, which reportedly included sanctions relief, an end to the naval blockade, and continued Iranian influence over the Strait of...

Euro Holds Firm as ECB Bets Rise (05.12.2026) President Trump described the US-Iran ceasefire as being on “massive life support” after dismissing Tehran’s latest proposal, which reportedly included sanctions relief, an end to the naval blockade, and continued Iranian influence over the Strait of...

Markets Lean Cautiously Risk-On (05.11.2026) Global markets remained focused on the intersection of geopolitics and policy as investors tracked developments around Iran and the upcoming Trump–Xi summit in Beijing on May 13–15. Discussions are expected to cover the fragile ceasefire, the Strait...

Markets Lean Cautiously Risk-On (05.11.2026) Global markets remained focused on the intersection of geopolitics and policy as investors tracked developments around Iran and the upcoming Trump–Xi summit in Beijing on May 13–15. Discussions are expected to cover the fragile ceasefire, the Strait...

Dollar Weakness Persists (11 – 15 May 2026) Global markets moved through another volatile week as investors balanced resilient US economic data against ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East. The US dollar weakened further, falling below 98 and reaching a ten-week low despite...

Iran has seen the smallest production decline since the war began, with output down around 11%, while other Gulf producers face much steeper losses. Saudi Arabia (-29%) and the UAE (-40%) have been partly protected by pipeline routes that bypass the Strait of Hormuz, but Iraq (-63%) and Kuwait...

Optimism Returns to Markets (05.08.2026) Optimism surrounding a possible US–Iran breakthrough softened the dollar and lifted appetite for currencies and risk assets, yet renewed friction around the Strait of Hormuz kept energy markets unstable. Oil, gold, equities, and crypto all reacted to the...

Fed Cut Bets Lose Momentum as Warsh Speculation Builds Markets are starting to rethink the Fed outlook as talk of a potential Kevin Warsh-led Fed gains attention. The rate-cut narrative is losing strength, while a tighter-for-longer policy scenario is being priced more seriously. Swap markets...

Lower Oil Changes the Market Equation (05.07.2026) Markets opened with a softer dollar tone as optimism around a potential US–Iran agreement continued to build. The dollar index slipped below 98 after reports suggested both sides are nearing a 14-point framework deal that could end the...

Risk Appetite Strengthens on Iran Talks (05.07.2026) Markets opened with a softer dollar tone as optimism around a potential US–Iran agreement continued to build. The dollar index slipped below 98 after reports suggested both sides are nearing a 14-point framework deal that could end the...

Inflation Expectations Ease with Oil (05.06.2026) Global markets remained sensitive to geopolitical developments and central bank expectations as investors monitored the ongoing Middle East standoff and shifting monetary policy outlooks. The pause in US military operations and the continuation...

Markets Navigate a Fragile Balance (05.06.2026) Global markets remained sensitive to geopolitical developments and central bank expectations as investors monitored the ongoing Middle East standoff and shifting monetary policy outlooks. The pause in US military operations and the continuation of...

US PMI data came in slightly softer than expected: • Services PMI: 51.0 vs 51.3 expected • Composite PMI: 51.7 vs 52.1 expected Still above 50, so activity remains in expansion territory, but momentum is cooling. Growth is holding, but not accelerating.

Central bank gold buying rose by 36 tonnes in Q1 2026, reaching 244 tonnes, the highest level since Q4 2024 and above the five-year average of around 228 tonnes. For comparison, the 2016–2020 average was about 115 tonnes, less than half of current levels. Purchases have now topped 200 tonnes in...

Tensions Return to Center Stage (05.05.2026) Global markets are navigating a renewed wave of geopolitical risk as tensions in the Strait of Hormuz intensify. The Dollar Index (DXY) is hovering around 98.5. Economic Calendar Euro Stabilizes Amid Rising Tensions The euro traded near $1.17...