Weekly forecast for S&P 500 cash 2011

So if this were a futures contract, I'd be pretty broke with my call.

But it doesn't matter. Set me down for 1280 next week too, because after a down week like this, it has to go back up!
 
I am a new member and thanks to all of you in sharing your ideas.

For coming week my forecast is 1236.

Cheers!
Siv
 
For Week Ending Friday 18th November at 1215.6

Name...........Call.........Points.......Direction .......Podium ...……Total

Pat494………...1250….….......9.......….......1………... ......2……....….12
Atilla.............1296...........10.............. . 0... ..............0..........10
dpinpon.........1290............9................. 0 ... .............0...........9
DonStar.........1285.............8....... ...........0 . ........ ........0...........8
Wt av............1284............8...................0.. ... . ...........0.............8
wackypete2...1284...........8..................0. .. .. ...........0............8
Gaffs1964......1240...........4..................1 ... . .............3...........8
LuKOs.ro........0000...........6.................0 . .... ............0...........6
Av.................1285............5.............. ...0. .................0............5
Isatrader........1315...........4................ .0.. . ...............0............4
robster970......1310..........4.................0... . ..............0..............4
dc2000...........0000...........3................. 0.. ... .............0............3
VielGeld.........1280...........1.................. 0...................0..............1

Gaffs1964 has excelled himself to win this week. Yours truly takes the lead overall though from Atilla.
:clap:
 
I had one of those weeks this week. Planned an entry around 1161 on ES after the high formed, nothing happened that day, returned back to that area the following day, did I go short or did I faff around thinking "ooh, is this actually going to turn"????? Guess which.............

Trade what you see, not what you think.
 
The fundamentals look so awful for the weeks to come that my forecast is right down - 1101 could be on the conservative side unless the German Govt decides to stop behaving like super lemmings and driving everyone off the cliff, including themselves !
 
The fundamentals look so awful for the weeks to come that my forecast is right down - 1101 could be on the conservative side unless the German Govt decides to stop behaving like super lemmings and driving everyone off the cliff, including themselves !

You're also going to need to start factoring in the US again as the Super Committee looks like it's going to fail, which could lead to further US downgrades due to lack of confidence that they are taking their debt problem seriously. As they are all too worried about not getting re-elected, so are struggling to cut back on anything meaningful.

I think big picture Europe could just be the beginning. The US debt problem could be the real problem over the next few years if their politicians don't pull their finger out.
 
Olivier Knox, 9:00, Saturday 19 November 2011


Despite prodding from the White House, a US congressional "supercommittee" remained deadlocked Saturday on forging a deal to cut $1.2 trillion from government deficits over 10 years.

The 12-member panel had till Monday to make public at least a tentative plan and till Wednesday to approve it or risk triggering painful automatic cuts shared between some social programs and military spending.

"We are painfully, painfully aware of the deadline that is staring us in the face," Representative Jeb Hensarling, the co-chair of the panel, told reporters Friday, after a closed-door meeting with fellow committee Republicans.

The White House sharply rebuffed calls from some Republicans for President Barack Obama, who was wrapping up a trip to Asia, to step in to try to break a partisan logjam likely to shape the campaign to the November (Stuttgart: A0Z24E - news) 2012 elections.

"Avoiding accountability and kicking the can down the road is how Washington got into this deficit problem in the first place, so Congress needs to do its job here and make the kind of tough choices to live within its means that American families make every day," said spokeswoman Amy Brundage.

Hensarling said the committee would meet through the weekend if necessary to "try to find sufficient common ground" on a solution to "simultaneously address both our nation's jobs crisis and the debt crisis."

Markets that should have been buoyed by some positive economic data during the week were instead held back by both the supercommittee deadlock and the failure in Europe (Chicago Options: ^REURUSD - news) to quell a debt crisis that threatens to spill overseas.

The Dow Jones Industrial Index finished the week down 2.9 percent from the previous Friday, while the S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC - news) pared 3.8 percent.

The congressional effort got a burst of urgency on Wednesday when the US government debt passed the $15 trillion mark, roughly equal to 99 percent of the size of the total US economy, a level economists consider perilous.

"We're exploring every angle right now," Democratic Representative and committee member Chris Van Hollen said after a separate meeting with senators from both parties who sit on the panel.

The committee, created in an August deal on raising the US debt limit, has locked up over Republican refusals of Democratic calls to raise taxes on the very wealthy in return for cuts to cherished social safety net programs.

"This is the divide right now, and we're still working. I hope we can get there but I don't know at this point," said Democratic Senator John Kerry, a panel member who sits on the senate's finance committee.

"If you're going to ask every average American who drives a car, goes to work, struggles each day to pay their bills, and they're going to somehow be part of the solution, to have something on the table that does not ask the wealthiest people in the country to share in, that would be unconscionable."

"Democrats stand united, as we have from day one, believing that great challenges before our country today means that all Americans the wealthiest among us need to participate," said Senator Patty Murray, Hensarling's Democrat counterpart.

Van Hollen played down talk that the committee could settle on a smaller deficit-cutting plan, with automatic cuts making up the shortfall, saying: "We're still focused on trying to get an agreement on the full amount."

Republicans have rejected tax hikes on the wealthiest Americans on grounds that they would cripple job-creating investment even as the brittle US economy labors under stubbornly high unemployment of more than nine percent.

They have also sought to lay the groundwork for repealing the military spending reductions.

Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has warned that the automatic cuts, which would kick in come January 2013, would pose a national security risk by leaving the Pentagon weaker, slower and smaller than at any time since World War II.

Any deal would require majority approval on the committee, which is evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans, after which the full Congress would need to adopt it by December 23 to avoid the automatic cuts.
 
Here is an extract from Traders Magazine by Dr Woodruff Johnson that is interesting
 

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Sentiment is so negative in the media at the moment that it's making me look for reasons to be bullish. If you read zerohedge and listen to CNBC you'd think the apocalypse was coming.

There's a lot of volume support between 1190 & 1160, so I don't think we'll drop through that unless there's some seriously bad news. But the perma bears seem determined to keep price below the 200 day MA.

So I'm hoping for a reversal week and a close at 1225 please Pat
 
Sentiment is so negative in the media at the moment that it's making me look for reasons to be bullish. If you read zerohedge and listen to CNBC you'd think the apocalypse was coming.

There's a lot of volume support between 1190 & 1160, so I don't think we'll drop through that unless there's some seriously bad news. But the perma bears seem determined to keep price below the 200 day MA.

So I'm hoping for a reversal week and a close at 1225 please Pat

Same here, Im off on holiday and ready to go to sleep , so, lets hope we hit
1260
 
average = 1200
wt av = 1197

up = 5
down = 7

highest = 1296
lowest = 1101

May you see the light
 
FYI----Holiday week here in the US. Volume will be very low. NYSE closed on Thursday and shortened session on Friday.

Peter
 
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