Some of my trades, forecasts

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GBP/USD trade

I don't like the looks of this one, only because I want it to get the journey over with towards 1.5278, but here goes. Stochastics crossed and is OB. The pair has gone sideways at the clusterR area, one of which is my MR1 at 1.5156. This means the kijun should be hit at 1.5050. The only thing that would make me doubt this is that the candles are starting look comfortable above that cluster area. I would wait for a closing candle below it, then jump in. We're still headed towards 1.5278, so keep that in mind.
 

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AUD/USD update

There wasn't much of a move DOWN on Friday, but the tenken on the daily is still creeping downward. It will heading even further south. Look for .8216 to be containment on this leg, as that is the bottom of the monthly cloud.
 
2010 S&R's

Well we made it....sort of.
I do not know how it got formatted this way, but stuff happens. Just like the first part says, The pair is listed, then R3--S3 in descending order.
The decade's are next and they will read the same way.
I got the hard copy of the monthlies, yearlies and decades in RTF, so let me know if you want them. A few have already e-mailed me, and I have you on my list. Also, Zeph, Annabella and Hari, I have not forgtten you either.
This is the latest in the year I have ever gotten my S&R's out, but still you can plot some of them on, run the fibs, and backtest them.

Pair
R3
R2
R1
S1
S2
S3
EUR/USD
1.7424
1.6021
1.5176
1.3486
1.264
1.1238
USD/JPY
111.32
103.04
98.06
88.08
84.80
74.82
GBP/USD
2.0402
1.8480
1.7321
1.5005
1.3847
1.1924
USD/CHF
1.3174
1.1897
1.1127
0.9589
0.8819
0.7542
EUR/CHF
1.5730
1.5329
1.5087
1.4603
1.4361
1.3960
AUD/USD
1.3508
1.1452
1.0213
0.7735
0.6496
.4440
USD/CAD
1.3391
1.2063
1.1263
0.9662
0.8861
0.7532
NZD/USD
1.1323
0.9477
0.8356
0.6141
0.5029
0.3183
EUR/GBP
1.0183
0.9585
0.9225
0.8505
0.8145
0.7547
EUR/JPY
165.74
151.07
142.23
124.57
115.73
101.07
GBP/JPY
206.51
181.08
165.76
135.12
119.80
94.37
CHF/JPY
109.18
100.41
95.13
84.56
79.27
70.50
GBP/CHF
1.9740
1.8380
1.7560
1.5922
1.5102
1.3742
EUR/AUD
2.0442
1.8411
1.7188
1.4742
1.3519
1.1488
EUR/CAD
1.7175
1.6186
1.5591
1.4399
1.3804
1.2815
AUD/CAD
1.2060
1.0849
1.0119
0.8661
0.7931
.6720
AUD/JPY
128.78
107.98
95.76
71.30
59.08
38.78
NZD/JPY
147.69
111.33
89.42
45.60
23.69
12.67
CAD/JPY
117.47
104.53
96.73
81.13
73.33
60.39
AUD/NZD
1.3621
1.3052
1.2710
1.2024
1.1682
1.1113
EUR/NZD
2.3673
2.1066
1.9496
1.6356
1.4785
1.2179
GBP/AUD
2.3713
2.1124
1.9565
1.6446
1.3841
1.2297
GBP/CAD
2.0107
1.8658
1.7784
1.6038
1.5164
1.3715
GBP/NZD
2.3945
2.3185
2.2727
2.1811
2.1353
2.0593
Gold
1678.63
1415.11
1256.32
938.89
780.15
516.64
DJIA
17142
14121
12301
8661
6841
3820
Crude Oil
200.04
145.51
112.67
46.97
14.13
0
 
2000--2009 S&R's

Watch out for these! Many of the explosions we witnessed in 2007 came as the result of the decade's S or R being hit. Just like the yearlies, the margin of error is the 23.6% mark. But once you see them hit, just get ready for the action. Now having said, the 23.6% mark on the EUR/USD is about 970 pips. That is a lot, but these are the decades.
Also, the S3 for crude oil is 0. That is not a misprint. It won't be hit, but the reading for it could not go low enough. The actual figure was -40 something.



EUR/USD
2.7959
2.1778
1.8055
1.0607
0.6884
0.0703
USD/JPY
148.17
123.18
108.12
78.02
62.96
37.97
GBP/USD
2.5332
2.1173
1.8668
1.3658
1.1153
0.6994
USD/CHF
1.9663
1.5443
1.2900
0.7816
0.5273
0.1053
EUR/CHF
1.7447
1.6267
1.5556
1.4134
1.3423
1.2243
AUD/USD
1.8360
1.4103
1.1538
.6410
0.3845
0.0412
USD/CAD
1.3391
1.2063
1.1263
0.9662
0.8861
0.7532
NZD/USD
1.1323
0.9477
0.8356
0.6141
0.5029
0.3183
EUR/GBP
1.0183
0.9585
0.9225
0.8505
0.8145
0.7547
EUR/JPY
165.74
151.07
142.23
124.57
115.73
101.07
GBP/JPY
206.51
181.08
165.76
135.12
119.80
94.37
CHF/JPY
109.18
100.41
95.13
84.56
79.27
70.50
GBP/CHF
1.9740
1.8380
1.7560
1.5922
1.5102
1.3742
EUR/AUD
2.0442
1.8411
1.7188
1.4742
1.3519
1.1488
EUR/CAD
1.7175
1.6186
1.5591
1.4399
1.3804
1.2815
AUD/CAD
1.2060
1.0849
1.0119
0.8661
0.7931
.6720
AUD/JPY
128.78
107.98
95.76
71.30
59.08
38.78
NZD/JPY
147.69
111.33
89.42
45.60
23.69
12.67
CAD/JPY
117.47
104.53
96.73
81.13
73.33
60.39
AUD/NZD
1.3621
1.3052
1.2710
1.2024
1.1682
1.1113
EUR/NZD
2.3673
2.1066
1.9496
1.6356
1.4785
1.2179
GBP/AUD
2.3713
2.1124
1.9565
1.6446
1.3841
1.2297
GBP/CAD
2.0107
1.8658
1.7784
1.6038
1.5164
1.3715
GBP/NZD
2.3945
2.3185
2.2727
2.1811
2.1353
2.0593
AUD/CHF
1.2090
1.0822
1.0059
0.8531
0.7768
.6500
Gold
1678.63
1415.11
1256.32
938.89
780.15
516.64
DJIA
17142
14121
12301
8661
6841
3820
Crude Oil
200.04
145.51
112.67
46.97
14.13
0
 
Some recent EUR/CHF traits.

Last year was a very tight trading year, even for this pair. Just look at the size of the monthly candles. We can look at this the same way we do intraday candles, Most of us know that for the most part, price action will go sideways from 1800 GMT to 0700 GMT. This is because it is the slwoer time of the day, so there is no volume to move the prices. Then, when London kicks hit, we have the breakout. That's what see on the monthly EUR/CHF chart. This is also why the S3 has already been hit this year. In addition last decade's low was taken out, whch led to an extremely volatile move downward. What that, also tells me is that 1.5730 will not be hit this year, because I have never known the extremities of my S&R's to ever be hit in the same TF, within that period of time.
As far as the EUR/CHF's decade's S&R's are concerned, I'm going to have to refigure them. They don't seem right. According to what is posted, the DeS2 has already been hit. I don't think that is possible.
 
Paul, I love you!!!!
Thanks for sending the S&R's. It'sa mucha betta thanna pizza pie.
Hey, glad I caught up to you!!! You're the best!
Looks like cable is ready is ready. I'll think I'll wait for hit to hit your Fibo line.
I saw your post on Zeph. Does he show up often? Also, what about Brian S? Is he coming by?
That's it for now.
 
Just checking in, looks like you're doing a good job of explaining everything! Hope you've been making plenty from the Yen, lovely downtrend with LOTS of low risk shorting opportunities
 
Re: Some recent EUR/CHF traits.

Last year was a very tight trading year, even for this pair. Just look at the size of the monthly candles. We can look at this the same way we do intraday candles, Most of us know that for the most part, price action will go sideways from 1800 GMT to 0700 GMT. This is because it is the slwoer time of the day, so there is no volume to move the prices. Then, when London kicks hit, we have the breakout. That's what see on the monthly EUR/CHF chart. This is also why the S3 has already been hit this year. In addition last decade's low was taken out, whch led to an extremely volatile move downward. What that, also tells me is that 1.5730 will not be hit this year, because I have never known the extremities of my S&R's to ever be hit in the same TF, within that period of time.
As far as the EUR/CHF's decade's S&R's are concerned, I'm going to have to refigure them. They don't seem right. According to what is posted, the DeS2 has already been hit. I don't think that is possible.

er, any chance you will do live calls,there are 100s of guys posting charts,but few post them with called trades in real time:|
 
Re: Some recent EUR/CHF traits.

Mr. Flasheart, respectfully, I'm going to ask you to stick around and follow my thread. I don't just give charts, but I give my directional bias as I see things only through the eyes of the ichimoku and my proprietary S&R's. That is the case in post # 201, 203, 204, 205, 206, 207, 208. Everyone of those are short term trading opportunities going short. A lot of times there is not a deifinitive target, but it is most evidential that my bias will be followed to one degree or another. Also #196 shows a possible correction for the EUR/AUD coming up.
#195 gives a longer term picture for the GBP/USD, because after it makes a move DOWN to start the week, then it will be back up to 1.5278. Back in post # 165, I also mentioned when this whole corrective process has finished that cable is head to my YS2 at 1.3847.
Also, and this has happened throughout my thread that everytime I give a forecast, I give my updates, which further proves the effectiveness of the ichimoku cloud and my personal S&R's. Oh yeah, let's not forget bragging rights--lol, even though I'm not as conceited as they may have sounded.
Post # 164 I made a post concerning the USD/CHF while it was above 1.0930. I said if that level is broken, then it will speed quickly to 1.0635. BTW, while the pair was around 1.1700, I made the forecast it was headed to 1.0930 (More applause please for the forward-looking ichimoku.
In another post I mentioned how the EUR/AUD is headed to 1.7525. Now, at this point you are supposed to say I'm crazy, and then I'll respond with, "Wait and see!"
Which brings me to post # 145 where I posted 17 of my trades live. That was in an effort to dispel any notion that the ichimoku is a lagging indicator. In post # 161, I posted my statement (Without the lots and $$$ on there. That part is none of no ones business.), which showed +3,455 pips in 2 days. BTW, no big deal here. Just par for the course using the exploits of ichimoku and my S&R's, and the fact I used extremely nominal margining also helps. I was interested in showing lots of pips throguh the eyes of the ichimoku rather than making a ton of money.
Since that was posted my EUR/USD closed at +362 pips. It's documented live, just read it.
Oh, and what about Zeph? My good friend who still does not know how to read a chart. I keep telling him it's not a good idea just to take my picks on blind faith, and then he proves me wrong. He is currently up +700 pips on his EUR/AUD.
Some like calls on my trades that I have up will have definite targets, because of strong obviations with momentum and the ichimoku, as well as my S&R's. Others, just have a directional bias without a real target. May I take time to prove this? Those 7 ST short trades that I mentioned, palce them on your demo with very conservative margin, so you don't get a margin call. Go back to them in 12-24 hours and see if you don't have some appreciable gains.
Confident in what I do? You bet I am. But, please pardon me if I come off as smug. That I don't mean. Also, pardon me if I come off like my methodology is the only good one. I look at a good methodololgy as one that is a LT winner. Mine is the best (not for anyone else, but...) for me.
BTW, my LT--MY picks are uncanny, so especially follow them. My ST are excellent, but the LT--MT always gives what you are looking for, and that is targets.
Also, I will not do like I did in post # 145 on a regular basis. A lot of times, forecasting is interpretive. I read in another post where someone asked, "Do you forecast? Do you have a crystal ball?" My answer would be, "Yes!" My methodology is my crystal ball. So stick around and we'll all gaze into my crystal ball together. It's wonderful all the pips we see in there.


er, any chance you will do live calls,there are 100s of guys posting charts,but few post them with called trades in real time:|
 
Bevok, my trades on the crosses with the aussie, kiwi, and loonie are all up a combined 350 pips. You can refer to post # 145 for confirmation and for the targets I put on those 3.
You're also right about the low risk shorting opportunities, as they ahve strong ichinoku obviations which is why I went with them.
I wanted this thread to be more than just trades and forecasts. I wanted it to be enlightening, which is why I go into great detail concerning certain aspects of the currencies and what I see through the eyes of my methodology. My desire is that a few may benefit and their trading might be enhanced as a result. OTOH, I'm always open to repudiation, as that is a time when I am able to learn from possible mistakes in my synopsis.


Just checking in, looks like you're doing a good job of explaining everything! Hope you've been making plenty from the Yen, lovely downtrend with LOTS of low risk shorting opportunities
 
Annabella!! One year was so long, but I'm glad we are recnnected. Be sure and keep my e-mail this time. You are really a special person. If you didn't have a daddy, I'd adopt you.
Ahh Annabella (blush), now you and Tucker are brainwashed. You both think I'm the best.
Good choice on cable. It's taking the city transit route. I think it will move DOWN a little to start the week.
Zeph shows up every once in awhile. Right now, he's out showing off in his new car--4,000 miles this past week.
Now the bad news. Brian died. I believe it was his respiratory problems that caught up to him. I found out through his attorney. I got a letter from him, because of needing the funds from the account I managed. I was hurt by the news. He was a swell guy, and only 62 yrs old.
Post or call us anytime, Annabella. Our family always has the welcome mat for you.


Paul, I love you!!!!
Thanks for sending the S&R's. It'sa mucha betta thanna pizza pie.
Hey, glad I caught up to you!!! You're the best!
Looks like cable is ready is ready. I'll think I'll wait for hit to hit your Fibo line.
I saw your post on Zeph. Does he show up often? Also, what about Brian S? Is he coming by?
That's it for now.
 
Hello 4xpipcounter, I am a wet behind the ears 'newbie' and though I aint got a clue what your saying, let me congratulate you on a wonderful thread, and to post such in-depth analysis, and for free, you truly are a Star.....
I will endeavor to learn this 'Trade-language' so I can also enjoy the ride. Thankyou.
Regards, David.
 
David,
Thank-you. I try to all stay consistent with making decisions and always looking through the eyes of my methodology. I try to make this thread as informative as possible. So, feel free to ask questions or post comments. There would be other people that could benefit from the same question or comment you make.
I also understand that you are a "wet behind the ears 'newbie' ", so don't be afraid to ask what you feel may be a stupit question. You have to start somewhere, so feel free.

Hello 4xpipcounter, I am a wet behind the ears 'newbie' and though I aint got a clue what your saying, let me congratulate you on a wonderful thread, and to post such in-depth analysis, and for free, you truly are a Star.....
I will endeavor to learn this 'Trade-language' so I can also enjoy the ride. Thankyou.
Regards, David.
 
Another aussie daily

Valdimir,

Here's another daily of the aussie. It matches my other 2 charts. I'm still trying to figure why your is buried so far under the cloud.
 

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with all due respect,like many you are poting very vague imformation that has a good chance of being rightish in a timespam. You even say you are smug,but like many are totally unprepared to back yourself up.All you have to do to shut me up is call some live trades in realtime with stops attached.Surely this cant be hard for a man of you talents.:smart:
 
Re: Another aussie daily

Valdimir,

Here's another daily of the aussie. It matches my other 2 charts. I'm still trying to figure why your is buried so far under the cloud.

Yes It looks weird to me also. My IBFX platform has the same charts as yours, but Alpari and Fxdd not. I have downloaded history hoping it would help but it did not.

Concerning trading, signals, analysis and related stuff. I am a newbie if forex only 2 year since I first became to study this. For the current moment I ve been visiting many forex related forums, tested hundreds of systems and approaches, used many commercial EA, have about 3-5 EA made especially for me according to my own approaches. Many people are shy to tell how they really do on forex, so I tell, I am not shy and I do not want to be successful only in my words. So looking 2 years back I can say that I only loose money on forex. There can be many reason for that. Concerning the signals. Signals are good, but only if you trust them, if you trust the person who give them and if you trust his system. So it is possible for some one to trade signals only if you follow them 100% and you follow 100% of them, no exceptions.

I've seen many times when people like me see good results, like some one said: I've earned 2000 pips today based on this signals. And that person decide OMG I must grab mine 2000 pips too. They start to follow, catch a few loses in a row, and then say: M8 your signals are so crap. This happens many times.

The same issue about any trading system. We know there is no 100% system. But at least we can try to stick to the one or two systems and master them.

This thread is interesting for me because I am trying to learn ichimoku, but I do my own analysis and compare it with Paul's. This also help. I am not trying to earn all pips from the market 20-50 pips per day is enought for me using the sl of 80 pips.
 
I do appreciate your constructive input. My talents are only in my methodology.
I'm posting forecasts, I'm only concerned about being right in that timespan, such as the ones we have already alluded to. In trading, it is the same. I have the 17 trades previously alluded to, that I am only interested in being right as far as what the daily, weekly, or monthly time charts would indicate to me.
I always back myself up. Those forecasts I made concerning today's moves were right, even though small. I always give an update on my forecasts, which adds to the transparency.
I say I try not to be smug. I don't want my confidence to be mistaken as smugness. I still view my self as a shrub in the middle of a bunch of redwoods. This way I can be taught, but still be the samurai in my specialty.
I make no attempt to shut you up. I respect what is your opinion. All you have to do is read and properly interpet my forecasts. That is enough to make my word stand alone.
As far as stops are concerned, and I have mentioned this before on this thread, I don't use them. It's not advised, but that is me. No one can argue with my success and that can be defined just in my forecasts, as I use no one but my own to trade by.
Also, if just a few benefit from my forecasts, that's fine with me. I will never claim to please everyone. Also, don't forget, I have nothing to sell or any ulterior motvies. These forums serve as motivation for me, and even brings some creative instincts concerning my trading. That is the point of this being selfishly driven.
If you believe the information is vague, then that is okay. Many have found it to be extremely helpful. I have followers on this thread that have been with me for a long time, and they will disagree with you, wholeheartedly. But again, I never claim to please everyone, and in due respect, I won't attempt to. However, I still encourage you to keep reading. You still might end up liking what you read.
Food for thought. How will you argue when those 17 trades hit my TP? Also, even today's moves moved within the TF and direction I said they would. That's foretelling. That's transparency. That's what makes me a good trader. I'm content in knowing that.


with all due respect,like many you are poting very vague imformation that has a good chance of being rightish in a timespam. You even say you are smug,but like many are totally unprepared to back yourself up.All you have to do to shut me up is call some live trades in realtime with stops attached.Surely this cant be hard for a man of you talents.:smart:
 
Re: Another aussie daily

Valadimir, you said right. What I am giving is timetested and proven information. You are interpreting that information in order to incorporate it into your trading style.
Also, when someone, like the example you gave comes out and says the 2,000-pip claim. Take it with a grain of salt. I backed up those trades in real time, then showed and proved ove 3,500 pips in 2 days. Take that with a grain of salt, because, it is an exception to the rule. I did that because of being motivated by an innocnet comment that someone made. The focus needs to be, "What is the rule?""What will make me win consistently over the long haul?"


Yes It looks weird to me also. My IBFX platform has the same charts as yours, but Alpari and Fxdd not. I have downloaded history hoping it would help but it did not.

Concerning trading, signals, analysis and related stuff. I am a newbie if forex only 2 year since I first became to study this. For the current moment I ve been visiting many forex related forums, tested hundreds of systems and approaches, used many commercial EA, have about 3-5 EA made especially for me according to my own approaches. Many people are shy to tell how they really do on forex, so I tell, I am not shy and I do not want to be successful only in my words. So looking 2 years back I can say that I only loose money on forex. There can be many reason for that. Concerning the signals. Signals are good, but only if you trust them, if you trust the person who give them and if you trust his system. So it is possible for some one to trade signals only if you follow them 100% and you follow 100% of them, no exceptions.

I've seen many times when people like me see good results, like some one said: I've earned 2000 pips today based on this signals. And that person decide OMG I must grab mine 2000 pips too. They start to follow, catch a few loses in a row, and then say: M8 your signals are so crap. This happens many times.

The same issue about any trading system. We know there is no 100% system. But at least we can try to stick to the one or two systems and master them.

This thread is interesting for me because I am trying to learn ichimoku, but I do my own analysis and compare it with Paul's. This also help. I am not trying to earn all pips from the market 20-50 pips per day is enought for me using the sl of 80 pips.
 
GBP/CAD update.

Concering this pair, I just did as I thought I would do, and took it out early. This is only going to be a correction, but it could end up at 1.5865. I closed it at 1.6089 for +204 pips.
I did enter a short on this pair.
 
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