🔓Short Market Recaps by WinningFX

[winningfx]

Market Snapshot (02/12/25)
💵 Dollar Index — Soft Bias Persists

• Traded flat but still leaning bearish as Fed rate-cut expectations stay high.
• U.S. manufacturing contracted for the 9th month, signaling deeper slowdown.
• Market focus shifts to Core PCE — key catalyst that may move the dollar.

🥇 Gold — 6-Week High

• Extended gains as the weaker USD boosts buying interest.
• Safe-haven demand supported by rate-cut expectations.
• Upside capped as Russia–Ukraine peace talks show early progress.

₿ Bitcoin — Sharp Selloff

• Dropped ~6%, biggest daily fall since early November.
• Hit by broad risk-off moves and MicroStrategy’s weaker 2025 outlook.
• Nearly $1B in liquidations — volatility rising, sentiment still fragile.

 

[winningfx]

Short Market Recap (03/12/25)

💵 Dollar Drifts The USD consolidated near recent lows, pressured by fragile U.S. sentiment and a lack of catalysts. Markets are focused on delayed Nonfarm Payrolls and speculation that Kevin Hassett could be the next Fed Chair, which would weigh on the greenback. Investors await the Core PCE release for a clearer directional cue.

🪙 Gold Consolidates Gold eased slightly on profit-taking after a six-week high and bearish technical divergence. Despite short-term consolidation, the broader outlook remains constructive, with U.S. inflation data later this week likely to drive renewed volatility.

₿ Bitcoin Bounces BTC/USD rebounded above $90,000 following a leveraged selloff. Temporary support comes from SEC signals on “innovation exemptions” and Vanguard enabling crypto ETF trading, but the short-term trend remains fragile amid weak macro catalysts.

📈 Equities Recover U.S. stocks stabilized after Monday’s risk-off session. Optimism is underpinned by Fed-cut expectations, now pricing an 87% chance of a 25bps December cut. Seasonal strength and hopes for a “Santa Claus rally” help, though volatility remains a risk with key data and headline events pending.
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[winningfx]

Short Market Recap (08/12/25)
💵 Dollar Extends Losses The Dollar Index slid after the Core PCE cooled from 2.9% to 2.8%, missing expectations. Inflation remains stable, boosting Fed rate-cut bets, with markets now pricing 85% odds of a 25bps cut this week ahead of the FOMC decision.

🥇 Gold Hits Resistance Gold initially spiked on the soft PCE reading but failed to break its all-time high, forming a double-top pattern. Bullish fundamentals are priced in, leaving traders cautious ahead of key U.S. data and the FOMC outlook.

🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar Surges CAD jumped after Canada added 53.6K jobs in November, beating expectations for a 5K decline. Unemployment fell to 6.5% and wages held at 4.0% YoY, supporting expectations that the BoC will hold rates at its December meeting.
https://www.instagram.com/s_puprime/

 

[winningfx]

Short Market Recap (09/12/25)📈
Equities Lifted by Nvidia US equities gained as Nvidia shares rose after the administration approved H200 AI chip sales to China under strict security conditions. The deal eases US-China tensions, supports tech sentiment, and includes a 25% payment to the US, boosting manufacturing and jobs.

🎬 Entertainment Sector in Focus Netflix’s $72B bid for Warner Bros faces regulatory and antitrust scrutiny, alongside a competing Paramount bid. A $5.8B termination fee shows Netflix’s confidence, but uncertainties keep the entertainment sector under the microscope.

💵 Dollar Corrects Slightly The USD rebounded modestly on a technical correction, despite lingering bearish sentiment from weak US data and elevated Fed rate-cut expectations. The Canadian dollar stabilized after last week’s profit-taking, with the broader FX market largely flat awaiting the delayed US jobs report and Core PCE data.

🪙 Gold Consolidates Gold retraced after forming a potential double-top pattern. Profit-taking and technical resistance capped gains, though expectations for Fed rate cuts keep longer-term bullish sentiment intact. Traders eye upcoming US data for potential renewed volatility.

instagram.com/s_puprime

 

[winningfx]

Short Market Recap (12/12/25)
💵 Dollar Slips to 8-Week Low
The Dollar Index extended losses after the Fed’s third consecutive 25 bps cut, signaling a cautious, data-dependent stance. Rising Initial Jobless Claims and political uncertainty, with Kevin Hassett likely to push for lower rates as Fed Chair, added extra pressure.

🥇 Gold Hits 1-Month High
Gold surged past a triple-top structure as the softer dollar and ongoing Fed easing expectations drove safe-haven demand. Traders now await the Dec 16 Nonfarm Payrolls for clues on whether the Fed’s dovish path continues into 2026.

📈 Equities Climb Toward Records
US stocks pushed higher, buoyed by falling Treasury yields and sustained rate-cut expectations. Rotation out of high-growth AI names occurred, but broader bullish momentum held, supported by lower borrowing costs and improved liquidity conditions.

instagram.com/s_puprime

 

[winningfx]

Short Market Recap (15/12/25)
📉 Dollar: The dollar index extended losses as the Fed’s dovish stance fuels easing expectations. Markets are eyeing the long-delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate reports—any surprise could trigger sharp moves across FX markets.
🥇 Gold: Gold hit fresh record highs before pulling back amid technical corrections. Dovish Fed signals and a weaker dollar remain supportive, though easing geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine capped gains.
🛢 Crude Oil: Oil retraced after recent rallies as signs of reduced geopolitical risk between Russia and Ukraine eased the supply premium. Traders are now weighing geopolitical tensions against demand fundamentals.
🔮 Takeaway: Fed-driven dovish sentiment and easing geopolitical risks are shaping markets this week. Focus is on US labor data and global economic signals for the next directional cues.

 

[winningfx]

Short Market Recap (16/12/25)
💵 Dollar Softens The USD eased as markets digested dovish Fed signals and political uncertainty. Fed officials indicated policy is nearing neutral, while Trump’s Fed Chair shortlist that Warsh and Hassett added caution. Softer front-end yields and a fading U.S. rate advantage pressured the greenback ahead of today’s Nonfarm Payrolls, which could shift Fed expectations and FX positioning.
🪙 Gold Near Seven-Week Highs Gold hovered near seven-week highs, supported by a softer dollar, falling yields, and markets pricing in at least two 2026 rate cuts. Central bank demand and ETF flows bolstered bullion, while geopolitical tensions sustained safe-haven interest. Today’s NFP release may dictate whether the rally extends or consolidates.
📉 Equities Slip U.S. stocks edged lower, with Nasdaq and AI-linked tech under pressure. Oracle shares fell on AI infrastructure cost concerns and slowing global demand. The Dow held better on defensive and value sectors, though weak housing data and soft business confidence limited gains. NFP outcomes will guide year-end risk sentiment.
🛢️ Oil Struggles Crude prices fell amid oversupply concerns despite geopolitical tensions. Brent slid toward $60 and WTI mid-$50s as global 2026 surplus expectations weighed. Venezuelan disruptions and Russia-Ukraine tensions provided partial support, but weak China demand and slowing U.S. growth capped upside.
₿ Crypto Retreats Bitcoin and Ethereum extended losses amid risk aversion. Derivatives data showed increased downside hedging, while cautious positioning dominated ahead of key U.S. labor and inflation releases. Falling yields and Fed easing expectations provided limited relief.

 

[winningfx]

Short Market Recap (17/12/25)
💵 Dollar: The dollar index slipped further as US labor data disappointed. November Nonfarm Payrolls rose only 64K, following October’s 105K job loss, while unemployment hit 4.6%, a four-year high. Weak labor conditions are fueling expectations for more Fed rate cuts, with upcoming CPI and Core PCE data likely to guide the next policy move.
🥇 Gold: Gold rebounded, approaching record highs on expectations of sustained monetary easing. The Fed’s 75bps of cuts this year support bullion, though easing geopolitical tensions—progress in Russia–Ukraine talks—have capped gains.
🛢 Crude Oil: Oil retreated sharply as optimism over a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire raised hopes of increased supply. Markets are pricing in possible easing of US and EU sanctions, which could allow more Russian crude back into global markets.
🔎 Takeaway: Weak labor data boosts Fed-cut bets, weighing on the dollar, supporting gold, and prompting caution in oil amid improving geopolitical outlook.