🔓Short Market Recaps by WinningFX

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Market Snapshot (02/12/25)
💵 Dollar Index — Soft Bias Persists
  • Traded flat but still leaning bearish as Fed rate-cut expectations stay high.
  • U.S. manufacturing contracted for the 9th month, signaling deeper slowdown.
  • Market focus shifts to Core PCE — key catalyst that may move the dollar.

🥇 Gold — 6-Week High
  • Extended gains as the weaker USD boosts buying interest.
  • Safe-haven demand supported by rate-cut expectations.
  • Upside capped as Russia–Ukraine peace talks show early progress.

Bitcoin — Sharp Selloff
  • Dropped ~6%, biggest daily fall since early November.
  • Hit by broad risk-off moves and MicroStrategy’s weaker 2025 outlook.
  • Nearly $1B in liquidations — volatility rising, sentiment still fragile.
 
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Short Market Recap (03/12/25)

💵 Dollar Drifts The USD consolidated near recent lows, pressured by fragile U.S. sentiment and a lack of catalysts. Markets are focused on delayed Nonfarm Payrolls and speculation that Kevin Hassett could be the next Fed Chair, which would weigh on the greenback. Investors await the Core PCE release for a clearer directional cue.

🪙 Gold Consolidates Gold eased slightly on profit-taking after a six-week high and bearish technical divergence. Despite short-term consolidation, the broader outlook remains constructive, with U.S. inflation data later this week likely to drive renewed volatility.

Bitcoin Bounces BTC/USD rebounded above $90,000 following a leveraged selloff. Temporary support comes from SEC signals on “innovation exemptions” and Vanguard enabling crypto ETF trading, but the short-term trend remains fragile amid weak macro catalysts.

📈 Equities Recover U.S. stocks stabilized after Monday’s risk-off session. Optimism is underpinned by Fed-cut expectations, now pricing an 87% chance of a 25bps December cut. Seasonal strength and hopes for a “Santa Claus rally” help, though volatility remains a risk with key data and headline events pending.
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