Top Market Sports - J.P. Evans

[PJmarkets702]

J.P. Evans is a grizzled Wall Street veteran who applies stock market strategies to picking sports winners.

He's recommending a play on UCF +5.5 this afternoon. Central Florida hits the road to visit Maryland in a game that will be broadcast on Fox Sports 1. Just a short time ago, both of these programs were in the dumps. UCF is not long removed from their infamous 0-12 campaign in 2015. And until recently, Maryland was considered the laughing stock of the Big Ten. But fortunes have changed for the two schools, which are both led by brilliant second year head coaches.

So what's the difference? Who's got the edge? Terp fans are extremely excited about the early play of true freshman Kasim Hill at quarterback. He was electric against Towson, but this will be his first start against an FBS team. J.P. is betting that the youngster gets a rude awakening to big time college football today. He says, "The key to the game and the number is the Hill kid...he's being drastically overvalued here."

Stat to watch for: UCF was the nation's #2 team in red zone defense in 2016. Many of those defensive starters have returned for 2017.

Keep an eye on your inbox, there might be more plays released shortly.

 

[PJmarkets702]

Jason Beddy is a currency hedge fund trader and an experienced sports investor who resides in London now. He is a former minor league pro soccer player.

He's playing UCLA +7 in one of the last game's on the board. The boys from Brentwood are 2-1 on the season, but they're being treated like they're 0-3 by the media and a restless Bruin fan base. That's somewhat unfair, considering they ran into an absolute BUZZ-SAW last week in Memphis. (NOTE: Folks need to be on notice, Memphis could quickly become a big-time college football program.)

Beddy feels success on the ground will be key for UCLA tonight. Stanford was awful against the run in their meetings with USC and SDSU. Meanwhile, UCLA has quietly improved on their running game through the first month of the season. They had 63 yards of running against A+M, then 132 against Hawaii, and most recently 170 versus Memphis. Beddy says, "Rosen's still a player...Bruins big."

 

[PJmarkets702]

J.P. Evans is a grizzled Wall Street veteran who applies stock market strategies to picking sports winners. His most recently released free email pick was a great call on UCF +4.5 Saturday morning.

Monday Night Football is here, and J.P. likes the UNDER 47. America's team looks to right the ship tonight as they head to the desert. Both the Cardinals and the Cowboys are 1-1, but don't tell that to Joe Public because he doesn't wanna hear it. Everyone and their uncle is taking Dallas! But never mind all that, because J.P. has his eyes on the Total.

There's some strong data in favor of the UNDER here. For the Cardinals, 10 of their last 12 home games have stayed Under the number. For Dallas, 6 of their last 8 road games have also resulted in an Under. However, these simple statistics aren't the reasons why J.P. expects a low scoring affair tonight.

First off, both the ticket count and the cash count show that books are being flooded with square money on the OVER. This is not unexpected, considering it's a big prime-time game and public darling Dallas is involved. Second, people forget that Arizona was one of the best defensive teams in the NFL last year even though they aren't showing it (yet) this year. Arizona has surrendered an average of 24 PPG thru their first two contests. J.P. says that's the key stat when analyzing this game. The public is overly confident that Dallas will put up a ton of points in this one, win or lose. At the same time, they're also being fed stories about the Dallas secondary being weak. An old-fashioned shootout in the desert is what most folks are banking on.

J.P. disagrees. He says, "It really sets up nicely...this one might stay WAY under."

 

[PJmarkets702]

Hey guys -- if you want 100% Free sports picks like this sent to your email inbox every day, check out our site...

www. TopMarketSports .com

 

[PJmarkets702]

Jason Beddy is a currency hedge fund trader and an experienced sports investor who resides in London now. He is a former minor league pro soccer player.

He's making a move on Texas -4.5. This line opened at 4, but was steadily pushed up to almost a full touchdown as of yesterday. The market finally experienced some buyback last night, and it's now hovering around four-and-a-half.

Fans are excited in Ames, as Iowa State has scored 40+ points in each of it's first three games. There's even chatter that this could be the best offensive unit that the school has ever had. But Beddy feels this narrative is a bit too rich. He's glad the spread has come back down to earth, so he can get involved.

NOTE: Many "sharps" are backing Iowa State in this game. This Cyclone athletic program is usually a good value in both football AND basketball, as they don't get much national attention or hype...but not tonight.

Beddy says, "Texas just has too many athletes for them to handle."

 

[PJmarkets702]

Jason Beddy is a currency hedge fund trader and an experienced sports investor who resides in London now. He is a former minor league pro soccer player.

His best play is the Bucs -2.5 today. This is a meeting of an injury riddled Tampa Bay squad versus a clueless and directionless Giant team.

The Bucs have been especially hurt by injuries at the linebacker position. Kwon Alexander and Lavonte David are expected to be out. Much of their defensive unit will be made up of backup players today.

But Tampa Bay is in a nice spot here, from a betting perspective. They'll be hungry and angry, coming off a bad loss to Minnesota last week. The market is sour on them after last week's showing, and still remembers New York's backdoor cover against the Eagles.

Here's the bottom line of the situation...Beddy would much rather invest in these Buccaneer backups instead of a Giant coaching staff that is 100% lost.

The Giants have ZERO leadership, especially on the offensive side of the ball. They are fully deserving of their 0-3 record. Ben McAdoo looks like a deer in the headlights, despite his slick new haircut. Eli Manning has had an outstanding (and clutch) career, but has never been a vocal leader. Odell Beckham has made it clear that the G-Men are now "his" team, but he's only a few outbursts away from entering full melt-down-mode.

Speaking of leaders, Jameis Winston has quietly become one for this Tampa Bay organization. He's long removed from some questionable decisions he made during his time in college at Florida State. This guy's a pro now. And he hasn't been given proper credit for that yet. Look for him to be in full control this afternoon, from start to finish.

Beddy wraps it up with, "Winston/Koetter are at least 10-12 points better than Manning/McAdoo right now".

Be sure to follow us on Instagram/Twitter @topmarketsports and enjoy your Sunday!

 

[PJmarkets702]

J.P. Evans is a grizzled Wall Street veteran who applies stock market strategies to picking sports winners.

His play for tonight is the Winnipeg Jets -107. They'll be at home to face a Maple Leaf team that's said to be on the rise. Toronto, no doubt, has flashier names on their roster (and coaching staff). Auston Matthews is a bonafide superstar. He heads a talented second-year group that will look to pick up where they left off last spring.

Inside the Jets organization, the mentality is that they've rebuilt their team "the right way". Winnipeg has been patiently drafting and developing young talent while avoiding chasing after high-priced free agents. But one important free agent they did sign during the summer is goalie Steve Mason. The hope is that Mason becomes a permanent solution in net.

J.P. sees value in the Jets here, in a line that's essentially a Pick'em. He says, "A Canadian opening night? It's like having home ice in a playoff game."

Be sure to follow us on Instagram/Twitter @topmarketsports

 

[PJmarkets702]

Henry "Hank" Kim is a math sharp and stat geek who's worked at numerous global financial firms. He cut his teeth in the betting world by handicapping horse races as a boy in China.

He's recommending a play on Oregon +3 today. They'll be at home to face a red-hot Washington State group in early-season Pac-12 play. The odds on this game opened at -1.5 but the number is now sitting at a full field goal, so we're getting the best of the number here.

Big questions marks loom for the Ducks on the offensive side of the ball. Justin Herbert won't start at QB because he suffered a broken collar bone last week. They've been secretive as to who will get the nod tonight, and Hank likes this. It will either be frosh Braxton Burmeister or senior Taylor Alie. (NOTE: Hank is betting this game in anticipation that the talented Burmeister will start.)

Washington St is still riding high from their signature upset victory against Sam Darnold and USC last week in a game that got tons of national attention. But the Ducks are also coming off an impressive win that received far less hype. They put up a solid 30-20 win against an underrated Cal team in which they completely shut down the Bears' running attack.

Look for Cougar QB Luke Falk to hold onto the ball too long today and get eaten up by an Oregon defense that's had 11 sacks in their last two outings.

Hank says, "Fading the public here...Ducks will get the money"

Check out www TopMarketSports com for more free picks

 

[PJmarkets702]

The Top Market offices are buzzing this morning because J.P. Evans has his first max play of the year. This is the type of game that's worth stepping out on...

No time for a big write-up, but here's what we can quickly report:

The play is the Seahawks +2 in the second wave of games. Seattle will visit sunny Los Angeles to face the upstart Rams.

Two things...First, expect the Coliseum to be the most quiet building to host a game today across the league. Oddsmakers are not fully factoring in the Rams (and Chargers) lack of home field advantage yet. Second, this is the time of year when hot new players such as Jared Goff start to get "figured out" by the opposition. Expect crafty old Pete Carroll (and defensive mastermind) to have a game plan prepared for the young Goff.

But let's be clear - this bet is certainly not a knock on the 2nd year Ram QB. He deserves props. Over 117 pass attempts this season, he's only thrown one interception. He's been almost flawless. And that's why J.P. is saying sharps are basically playing the overreaction to how much of a surprise he's been. That's the angle.

Don't forget - the Seahawks beat the Rams 24-3 last year in a game where Richard Sherman drilled Goff on a scramble along the sideline late in the second half. Goff has not forgotten this hit. It's also no secret around the league that Jared Goff does not like to get hit. Look for him to be slightly intimidated by this veteran Seattle defense today.

Bonus Plays: Panthers +1.5 and Cowboys -2

 

[PJmarkets702]

Henry "Hank" Kim goes to the ice tonight with his first pick of the NHL season. It's the Hurricanes -125. They'll be in Raleigh to welcome the Blue Jackets.

Some quick hitters on this one:

The two teams split their season series last year, each going 2-2 against the other.

This game will be broadcast on NHL.com for free. So no matter where you are, all you need is an internet connection. The league is doing 3-4 free games a week this fall, in order to give folks a taste of the full NHL.tv experience.

64% of the Public is backing Columbus as a dog (according to the Top Market Odds Portal @ 8:38AM PST). And that makes sense - the Blue Jackets are coming off a 100+ point season and they've been consistently making the playoffs the past few years. The Canes are extremely young and inexperienced. But you know what they say about public dogs - they often have fleas.

Hank says, "Pure price action play...the tape is talking."

 

[PJmarkets702]

J.P. Evans applies old-school stock market strategies to picking sports winners. He has been trading on Wall Street for almost 20 years.

His play for tonight is UNDER 7.5 in the Cubs/Nats series finale. Look for this game to be a tense, low-scoring affair.

Hendricks will pitch for the Cubs. Expect him pick up where he left off in Game 1, when he was dominant in a Chicago victory. His demeanor is perfect for a winner-take-all playoff game on the road in a hostile environment. Hendricks is not a guy who scares easy.

Dusty Baker has not yet announced who will start for the Nats. It'll either be Gio Gonzalez or Tanner Roark. Both are capable of getting the job done and they'll be up against a Chicago offense that is slumping, batting only .159 as a team in the series so far. Expect an all-hands-on-deck "platoon" mentality for Washington. If whoever starts has trouble, Scherzer will be available for a few innings to plug the hole.

Outside of a 4-run burst from the Nats in the 8th inning, yesterday's game was a defensive battle. J.P. feels it will be more of the same tonight, as both teams will be squeezing their bats tight in the big spot. J.P. says Hendricks is almost guaranteed to pitch a gem.

He also says, "Our model spit out 6.83 as a Total...this game will be a grind."

 

[PJmarkets702]

Good Morning Fellas,

We were forced to break even yesterday, despite going a documented 3-1 in free email picks. That Gators/Aggies game hurt, as it was our biggest monetary play of the day.

Here are three quick-hitters for Sunday:

Browns +9.5 --- Have to fade the Deshaun Watson hype here. Especially when he's facing the most hated team in the league (from a Public perspective).

Patriots -9 --- The only coach in the league who's (almost) more incompetent than Ben McAdoo is Todd Bowles. Don't let this Jet team fool you. They'll get slaughtered today.

Cardinals +1.5 --- Arizona will most likely win outright, but just pass on the ML +105. Take the short number and enjoy the minor upset. The Bucs might turn out to be an even bigger disappointment than the Cards by the end of the season.

Be sure to follow us on Instagram/Twitter @topmarketsports

 

[PJmarkets702]

Here's something our group was kicking around during this morning's conference call:

In the NFL, obviously the "key numbers" are 7 and 3 (and in certain cases 10) because games often end with a team winning by a touchdown or field goal. When a spread breaks thru a key number, that move must be given a bit more respect.

What do you think? Is a line going from 6.5 to 7.5 any different than when a line goes from 8.5 to 9.5? It's something our network was debating...

Tonight's Colts/Titans game is floating at a key. It's moved off 7.5 to mostly 7's with juice involved. If the market broke all the way down to 6.5, that would be interesting. But either way, most of us are sitting this one out.

Bonus NHL Action Play: Red Wings +110

Be sure to give us a Follow on Twitter/Instagram @topmarketsports and check our website out www TopMarketSports com

 

[PJmarkets702]

Hi Everyone..

It seems like just yesterday that we were in the dog days of late summer with nothing to bet on except baseball. Now, with football in full-swing and the NBA starting up, this is a busy time of year for professional sports investors.

Make no mistake...the amount of value on a nightly basis in the NBA is nothing short of tremendous.....if you know what to look for.

NOTE: The idea is to make money doing this. This is NOT for fun. If your bankroll isn't growing, then either stop completely or change your strategy.

Tonight, consider playing the Wizards -6.5 in the Association. They'll be in D.C. to host the 76ers.

The noise coming out of Philly is, "the rebuild is complete!!". But that might be wishful thinking, for a variety of reasons. Expect them to look like a Developmental team at times, especially during the first month of the season.

The Sixers were the worst team in the league when it came to turning the ball over last season. They coughed it up 16.7 times per game in 2016. For Washington, John Wall is hungry and rested. He and his teammates are ball hawks, too. In fact, they created more turnovers than any other team in the NBA last year.

One of our sharper sources had a hot take this morning. He said, "Ben Simmons will struggle. Having him on the floor in a starting role right now is worth 2-3 points in the opponent's favor."

Ouch!

-------

 

[PJmarkets702]

You want our advice? Put on a pot of coffee and then bet 20k on the Suns +2.

Some smart people are reportedly beginning to establish a position on them and bite on the 2. It's the late game...last game on the board. An 0-3 Phoenix team will be at home to face the Sac Kings.

Not only are the Suns 0-3, they're dealing with an unhappy Eric Bledsoe who tweeted "I Dont wanna be here" yesterday. This stunt set off a social media firestorm speculating on the mood of the Phoenix locker room as a whole.

The Suns opened as high as -2.5 favorites. Early this morning, the line was steady at -1...they were still the small favorite. But money has been coming in so lopsided in favor of Sacramento that now the Suns are +2. This is a full 4.5 point swing from the opener!!

The timing also matters. Big sharp money would have moved earlier on the Kings if they were really interested. The Bledsoe incident is almost 24 hours old. Our feeling is that dead Public money is responsible for the latest move and this should be taken advantage of.

 

[PJmarkets702]

We're going to start sounding like a broken record here but....the amount of value available on a nightly basis in the National Basketball Association is nothing short of phenomenal.

Here's why - let's compare the number of games played in the NBA this week to the number of games in the NFL. In the NFL, books have just 13 games to worry about this week. In the NBA, they have 43 games to create and monitor in the same period of time. Oddsmakers are very busy this time of year, to the point that mistakes can and do happen. Taking advantage of those spots can be highly profitable for serious professional bettors.

Today:

Pistons PK...hearing tons of noise about the excitement surrounding Minnesota upgrades. And Detroit is the furthest thing from a Public Darling. The game bets itself according to our models.

Rockets -3.5...fading the Sixers could end up burning us this first few weeks of the season. But they have to prove two things 1.) Young talent is for real 2.) Young talent is not only for real, but can gel. Most sharps aren't sold.

Heat +4...biting on the points at home. American Airlines Arena provides an underrated home-court advantage (in the right spot). Never fun to bet against the Spurs, but this Miami roster is chock full of talent.

 

[PJmarkets702]

For a little hockey action, check out the Bruins -115 tonight. The rested Bruins will host the Sharks, who are touring the northeastern part of the country.

Boston hasn't played since Saturday, when they lost to Buffalo in OT. Some time off was actually needed, as they've been hit with the injury bug. Torey Krug is still recovering from his preseason jaw injury. Tuukka Rask is expected to be in net tonight, after clearing NHL concussion protocol early in the week.

The Bruins are extremely young. We're hearing these extra couple of practice days have helped iron some things out with the group as a whole.

San Jose, like Boston, is hovering around the .500 mark. Conventional wisdom says an experienced and "heavy" Western Conference team will eat up the Baby B's. The Public is all over San Jose, to the tune of 72% according to the Top Market Odds Portal.

 

[PJmarkets702]

There's a piece of high-level syndicate action backing Tulsa +9.5 in the late ESPN2 game. Tulsa's a significant dog on the road at SMU.

The idea will be to limit the amount of time SMU's high-flying offense spends with the ball tonight. QB Ben Hicks has completed 70%+ of his pass attempts in each of his last 3 games.

Expect the visitors to surprise to the upside and be up to the task here. Tulsa's been wildly unpredictable lately. One week they're getting blown out by Tulane, the next they're dominating the best team in the conference (Houston). (BREAKING: Reports out of Oklahoma say practice has been crisp and businesslike these last few days.)

In order to limit Mustang touches, the Golden Hurricane will look to shorten the game by running the ball a ton. A capable Shamari Brooks and a (hopefully) fresh D'Angelo Brewer will lead the way. Some sharps expect this duo to have more success on the ground than the market is currently anticipating.

 

[PJmarkets702]

Monday's NHL board is looking quite interesting.

Consider playing the Canucks +115 as a small home dog. Bench boss Ken Hitchcock and the Dallas Stars will pay a visit to Rogers Arena tonight.

Many "experts" pegged Dallas as a Stanley Cup caliber team before the season began. It's still early, but their 6-5-0 record so far has been underwhelming.

Vancouver, on the other hand, has been a pleasant surprise through the first month of the season. And there are whispers this morning in a few high-level circles that the Canucks are a screaming "BUY" at any plus number tonight.

It might make sense to move quickly on this one, as the number is already beginning to melt at some outlets.

Follow us on Instagram @topmarketsports

 

[PJmarkets702]

Splash some cold water in your face and bang the Texans -6.5 this morning. Vegas had installed them as a 13 point favorite against the struggling Colts, but that was obviously before the biggest injury news of the week in the NFL.

It's not a shock that Joe Public has completely jumped ship on this Houston bunch after hearing Deshaun Watson will miss the remainder of the season. And the masses still remember how awful Tom Savage looked as the starter in the first game of the year.

But here's what the over-the-top giggling clowns on ESPN won't tell you. Houston was extremely sharp on Friday, having one of their best practices of the year. And Savage has looked surprisingly capable while taking first-team snaps in the wake of the injury news.

It helps that they're playing Indy, a team that has it's own problems. They're amazingly dysfunctional. This week's distractions? Forget about the Andrew Luck news. They spent the last 48 hours going back-and-forth about whether Vontae Davis' absence today is due to an injury or because of violating team rules.

IMPORTANT: Don't forget that the NFL is a team sport. This is a situation where one side is circling the wagons while the other can't even present a unified front to the media. The Texans should be favored by at least 10 points here.

Small Bonus Play: Rams -5.5...please be aware that the best of the number is gone. Our inner circle took them last night at -4. Look for Ben McAdoo to have no clue what's going on. We expect him to be caught on camera at least 4 or 5 times today looking up in the sky with a blank expression on his face that says, "I'm the head coach of the Giants?? What day is it? Where am I??"

Another Small Bonus Play: Bengals +6.5