couldnt find my cloking device.......so this is naked..........hehe
I think it was George Foreman who said ;
Quote:
Let the other guy have whatever he wants before the fight. Once the bell rings he's gonna be disappointed anyway.
yep, that's my defense...........to wit;
first, strength and impulsivity of the initial downmove gives me an idea of who is in the game......the sideways tells me who is not in the game........the initial downmove into A doesnt carry a lot of weight, doesn't appear impulsive into the low and the rejection pass the high of the third candle suggests a farming........some squeezing.........after that inital activity into initial prior ceiling of "ri" price is ever more laboured in the pull-back........now a lot of reactive, long players (smaller fry) are trapped........they are probably your technical players...........I have placed a horizontal arrow to display the probability of a first sup at "s2".......the fast candle and first false break (FB1) is an insight that liquidity has dried, the bigger players have largely disappeared adn the the few reamaining want to hold this price......they won't mind spending to get back...........so let's go back to "B" where the choppy and laboured and overlapping pull-back would have played with the head of a few more long players.........it all leads to the mini purge resulting in the long candle.........at this stage I am still not in.......this is all looking very dodgy.......a game I don't quite understand, yet.........in the middle of the "B' there is a small green bar.........the first initial resistance goes into this from the false break at FB1 and the confirming base from FB1 which occurs just after the an attempt to draw in more long players.........doesn't take much to move price at this juncture............a few fellow elliotticians are probably scratching their heads at this point.............as the game within the game unfurls the time is the biggest piece of evidence that either the majors have gone home or are merely waiting for the most to swim into the net as possible..........not withstanding that not all the fish are small and some will be multi account holders..........standing aside appears to remain the focus.........risk aversion.............time rolls over to another day, this may or may not play significantly into the play by the larger cap..........probably does.........too easy to get sidetracked on these fundamental issues even though they may include some mechanical characteristics such as carry, close books, holiday etc etc...........in "C" we have two unhealthy attempts to buy into and suck-into...........both are smaller plays for smaller players and a narrowing of focus..........there's no clear demand and no clear dumping of supply........not yet for either side.........by now I'm getting a negative bias..........as I'm still talking AT the price with my opinion I want to sit shtume until I get a better signal (either way).........not being in the trade always affords time to think.........in "C" I get the confirmation of the overlapping climb, I see a solid ceiling which leads to an even more concentrated price focus...........lottsa little fish biting at each others tails.........getting toward 7.00 o'clock........ two false breaks (FB2 FB3)......straight back into the channel with you little *******s.........some testing of strength, who's ready to bite .........sure there's some titbit about pommy troops captured, subprime.........it's all in the heads of the smallfish......the larger fish can play around with that..........still have a some trapped long players...........the false breaks are part of the farming process.......mines bigger than yours sorta thing.........for the small fish who didnt read the covering play at the previous 1.00 o'clock get-out the disposition has become nervous.........by now most of the small-fry got that gut-wrench happening.........doesnt look right..........after FB2 and FB3 the focus gets renarrowed...........there are times where size is everything and most of the sidweways move is about that.........not real demand not real supply.........not at the large level.......this is easy to see in hindsight so am typing as I think I would be seeing the action..............the elliottician in me wants to talk about the zigzags at lower degrees and how they form 3s and if i got really boared I'd probably throw on a fibonacci just to prove how robust those fractals are.........HAHA...........it's tough to avoid going into past regimes and strategies when the price is doing this..........of course this all being thought about at a faster speed than I can type........jeez, is this a book yet?..........anyway, we're into the time peirod of larger money activity.........check the brewery, yep, the beers just about ready to drink.......at this point my entrance is based on the lower degree activity as you can see in "E"........and my stop is immediately above this (this is a mental stop).......after the last red bar that intially attempts to break S2 I'll then set mental stop above that bar..........once the long green tailed candle gaps then I'll move my mental stop down to that level and I'll add to the sell at that level with a buyback of that second tranch set at the lower (poss support) purple patch and a buyback of the first tranch at the white patch..........the actual exact numbers arent listed......the object of the transaction is to "see" flow as best I can........in fact, the operation is the other way around, see the psychology of the weak, see the transacting of the size within each play.........I havent gone into the gap-down at the end, its likely participants or supply push or lack of demand or who is likely to be buying all the sells.........that's important, yes, I get that, each phase carries equal weight in summation..........I am always doing something in the game......that is, sitting out.........the question is not necessarily where do I enter/exit, but, rather, where and what are other people doing, for whiich target, at what time.............
I'm a tad fried at trying to get that onto this page and I know I'll come back in a couple of days and spot an integral signal that Ive practised, so much, that Ive taken for granted everyone else sees or I am going to find out that .........the one thing I would say is that I havent placed a post into this site for several days and the 2k odd posts I have placed are gone........ther'es good reasons for that..........97% of trader wealth is controlled by 3% of the players........so I'm told............
any reply that you see fit to render is eagerly looked forward to.........now, where's my superglue so I can attatch my left frontal lobe to my right........coffee, give me coffee