Justice League
Junior member
- Messages
- 11
- Likes
- 0
riding your winners and cutting your losses. Whatever strategy you employ, this is the only way to win at trading.
FetteredChinos said:actually, it is keeping an open mind, and not adherring to preconceived notions and traditions..
Justice League said:riding your winners and cutting your losses. Whatever strategy you employ, this is the only way to win at trading.
Practise, experience, time and maybe even a trailing stop whilst you build up your confidence...tetoncambria said:I know and I understand that the only way is to cut your losses and ride out the profits, but when I analyze my trades. I am still not doing that to the extent that I should. I have started trading strictly with stop-losses in order to cut my losses and that has really helped. I still have problems with my profit targets, I knkow that I will get better with time, but I feel there is something else I am missing. How does one let their profits run? I know this is vague but would appreciate any advice.
I don't agree with the original poster that letting your wins run is the only way to be successful. The alternative of having smaller winners than losers but many many more wins than losses is also very effective for some.tetoncambria said:I know and I understand that the only way is to cut your losses and ride out the profits, but when I analyze my trades. I am still not doing that to the extent that I should. I have started trading strictly with stop-losses in order to cut my losses and that has really helped. I still have problems with my profit targets, I knkow that I will get better with time, but I feel there is something else I am missing. How does one let their profits run? I know this is vague but would appreciate any advice.
Kiwi said:I don't agree with the original poster that letting your wins run is the only way to be successful. The alternative of having smaller winners than losers but many many more wins than losses is also very effective for some.
Teton, the easiest way to let your winners win is probably to divide your trade quantity up into 2 or 3 parts. Take the first 1/3 off at a close target (one that you'll reach 80% of the time say). Take the second 1/3 off at a more distant target (one that you'll reach 60% of the time) and then move your stop to break even on the final 1/3. This should now be a free trade and you can move your stop up gradually with the market until the run stops running.
Record each 1/3 seperately and find out which provides the best profits and under what initial market conditions to give you insight into how you should set your targets/stops in future.
tetoncambria said:I know and I understand that the only way is to cut your losses and ride out the profits, but when I analyze my trades. I am still not doing that to the extent that I should. I have started trading strictly with stop-losses in order to cut my losses and that has really helped. I still have problems with my profit targets, I knkow that I will get better with time, but I feel there is something else I am missing. How does one let their profits run? I know this is vague but would appreciate any advice.
Charlton said:Is the problem that you are hitting your stop losses too soon ? If there is too much volatility in your stock you may well hit the stop within the day's normal range. If you have bought long based on, for example, a rising triangle followed by a breakout then at the apex of the triangle you could place your stop just below the lower trend line. At the apex of the triangle the volatility is at its lowest. As the price rises during the breakout there may well be more volatility as the battle between buyers and sellers ramps up, so if the stop is moved too soon it is more likely to hit. If you let the stock run for a while or alternatively use a large % you could move it up/decrease the % as the volatility and the battle between buyers and sellers stabilises
It may be worth analysing the volatility of trades you have made during these profit runs over the period of the run to see if this is the case and to alter your stop policy accordingly
This is good advice. Using current Volatility as a dynamic in establishing a stop is far more sensible, not to mention effective, than using a fixed value or percentage.Charlton said:It may be worth analysing the volatility of trades you have made during these profit runs over the period of the run to see if this is the case and to alter your stop policy accordingly