Turmeric futures edged lower due to slow down in demand. Since the buyers and stockiest are waiting for the new crop arrival. But existing low demand and fall in prices cast doubt about farmers bringing the new crop. Jeera cultivation is expected to decline in major places like Gujarat since farmers shifting to wheat and pulses cultivation due to higher water availability. More participation in Pepper is expected from the second week of January. The domestic demand of cardamom is expected increase on wedding season consumption. The retailers and millers are actively buying across the spot markets ahead of marriage season. Imports from Australia and Canada are lower extending support for the prices to gain. The mustard seed futures are expected to trade lower on extended selling pressure. Weakness in soy market is likely to weigh on the market. Domestic traders are likely to sell Soybean futures anticipating shrink in demand for soybean from crushers. Weakness in overseas market on improved weather condition in Argentina is likely to have a bearish impact on Indian market.
Traders are reportedly waiting for new Turmeric crop arrivals to initiate fresh demand. Demand for Jeera from US and European countries are likely to shift towards India in coming weeks due to low stocks in the International markets. Export demand from South-East Asian countries is there. Tight supply position in Pepper against strong demand is prevailing in the global market and the prices are likely to remain firm until the fresh arrivals from major producing nations Vietnam and India are floated into the world markets. The buying from the guar gum manufacturers for their already signed consignments has come to an end. Adequate stocks following increased arrivals from the producing regions dampened the sentiment in Cardamom prices. Soybean crushing in India is going on with full speed and the availability of soy oil is not a problem in the domestic physical markets. International market sentiments were weak due to improved weather conditions in Argentina’s soybean growing areas.
Turmeric prices in short term will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and growth of sown crop. Demand for Jeera from US and European countries are likely to shift towards India in coming weeks due to low stocks in the International markets. Export demand from South-East Asian countries is there. Any revival in demand of Pepper from the domestic stockists will however, provide support to the prices in the short term as the harvesting in Kerala is delayed. The guar gum buyers have already stocked enough to fulfill their export consignments, new export consignments shall also be backed off from registering at this higher price levels. The trend reversal can be seen if the prices cool off a bit. Chana prices may trade range bound with negative bias due to dull demand from the domestic buyers. Price gains may be capped on positive reports of sowing and rising arrivals of Kharif pulses. Mustard seed prices are expected to trade slightly lower due to higher production estimates of RM Seed amid favorable weather conditions.
Turmeric prices in short term will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and growth of sown crop. Trend will depend on Jeera price parity of various origins in international market and stocks of Jeera with local stockists. Pepper prices will depend on global black pepper availability and demand from the overseas and domestic market. The guar gum buyers have already stocked enough to fulfill their export consignments, new export consignments shall also be backed off from registering at this higher price levels. The trend reversal can be seen if the prices cool off a bit. In the short to medium term (1-2 week), Chana price gains may be capped on positive reports of sowing and fresh arrivals from Karnataka. Mustard seed prices are expected to trade lower due to higher production estimates of RM Seed amid favorable weather conditions. Huge losses in overseas market are also in favor of bears. Prices of Soy oil are expected to move northwards due to global shortage of vegetable oil couple with strong demand of edible oils.
Turmeric prices in short term will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and growth of sown crop. The short term trend is likely to remain slight weak if weather conditions remain good in the growing areas. Pepper harvest is in upswing and new material is expected to arrive into market soon. Prices of varies varieties gained during the last week. The demand could pick up in the coming weeks as the present levels are low and that could support the prices in the near term. But till that time some more corrections in rates could not be ruled out. Mustard seed prices are expected to trade lower due to higher production estimates of RM Seed amid favorable weather conditions. Huge losses in overseas market are also in favor of bears. Prices of Soy oil are expected to move northwards due to global shortage of vegetable oil couple with strong demand of edible oils. Reports of fall in production of Mentha and a rise in demand at lower levels is expected though traders are not ruling out intermittent profit booking at higher levels before demand rises again.
Turmeric prices in short term will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and arrivals in the domestic market. In short term Pepper prices will depend on global Black pepper availability and demand from the overseas and domestic market. Trend of Jeera will depend on price parity of various origins in international market and stocks of Jeera with local stockists. Bumper crop expectation of Mustard seed due to higher acreage had a bearish impact on the market. Spot markets witnessed a subdued trading due to severe winter across north India. Prices of Soy oil are expected to move northwards due to global shortage of vegetable oil couple with strong demand of edible oils. Reports of fall in production of Mentha and a rise in demand at lower levels is expected though traders are not ruling out intermittent profit booking at higher levels before demand rises again. The recovery in the weather conditions has led more arrivals of Guar to enter the market. The pressure of the arrivals to remain till the end of this month is likely to keep the market down.
Turmeric prices will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and arrivals in the domestic market. Pepper prices will depend on global availability and demand from the overseas & domestic market. Trend of Jeera will depend on price parity of various origins in international market & stocks of Jeera with local stockists. Good crop expectation of RM seed due to higher acreage had a bearish impact on the market. Spot markets witnessed a subdued trading due to severe winter across north India. Bad weather condition in American countries is likely to worsen world soy supply situation. Depleting stock level of Mentha and robust demand from local traders as well as exporters will give support to the market. The recovery in the weather conditions has led more arrivals of Guar to enter the market. The pressure of the arrivals to remain till the end of this month is likely to keep the market down. The imports of Chana have declined as the quality of produce in Australia is damaged and unfit for consumption. The upside is limited as the demand across the spot markets is lower.
Turmeric prices will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and arrivals in the domestic market. Trend of Jeera will depend on price parity of various origins in international market & stocks of Jeera with local stockists. Good crop expectation of RM seed due to higher acreage had a bearish impact on the market. Spot markets witnessed a subdued trading due to severe winter across north India. Indian traders are likely to buy soy oil futures anticipating lower import of soy oil from Argentina due to production shortfall on bad weather condition. Depleting stock level of Mentha and robust demand from local traders as well as exporters will give support to the market. At higher price levels profit booking can be seen on roll over of contracts of Guar as we are approaching January expiry. The rally in the consecutive four days shall prompt profit booking. The imports of Chana have declined as the quality of produce in Australia is damaged and unfit for consumption. The upside is limited as the demand across the spot markets is lower.
Turmeric prices will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and arrivals in the domestic market. Buyers of Jeera are adopting a wait and watch stance, expecting prices to soften further in the near term on the impending arrivals starting next week. Pepper prices will depend on demand from the overseas and domestic market and fresh arrivals pattern in the physical market. Domestic and export demand for soya meal is emerging and leading to price surge. However, rise could be limited tracking weak overseas market. Traders are likely to buy soy oil futures anticipating lower import of soy oil from Argentina due to production shortfall on bad weather condition. Depleting stock level of Mentha and robust demand from local traders as well as exporters will give support to the market. Guar prices are expected to move higher from the current levels as the arrivals will continue to decline with harvests nearing its end, while demand from the overseas market may see an improvement in the coming weeks. The imports of Chana have declined as the quality of produce in Australia is damaged.
Turmeric prices will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and arrivals in the domestic market. Buyers of Jeera are adopting a wait and watch stance, expecting prices to soften further in the near term on the impending arrivals starting next week. Pepper prices will depend on demand from the overseas and domestic market and fresh arrivals pattern in the physical market. Soybean and Refine soy oil prices are expected to trade slightly higher on account of firm international prices, taking support from the sharp decline in US ending stocks and bullish USDA report. Mustard seed prices is not moving in tandem with soybean futures due to higher production estimates of RM seed this year as compared to last year. Guar prices are expected to move higher from the current levels as the arrivals will continue to decline with harvests nearing its end, while demand from the overseas market may see an improvement in the coming weeks. Weather would be an important factor to be watched for as the final estimates on the Chana crop would mainly depend on the weather conditions.
Turmeric prices will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and arrivals in the domestic market. Jeera prices will depend on the demand from the overseas and domestic buyers and growth of the sown Jeera crop particularly in Rajasthan and Gujarat. Pepper prices will depend on demand from the overseas and domestic market and fresh arrivals pattern in the physical market. Soybean prices are expected to trade higher due to bullish USDA’s monthly and supply report as sharp decline in US ending stocks and concern of Argentina’s dry weather. Mustard seed prices are expected to trade range bound with weak sentiments due to better crop of the RM Seed in 2011. Guar prices are expected to move higher from the current levels as the arrivals will continue to decline with harvests nearing its end, while demand from the overseas market may see an improvement in the coming weeks. Weather would be an important factor to be watched for as the final estimates on the Chana crop would mainly depend on the weather conditions during the crop development period.
Turmeric prices will depend on demand from the domestic and overseas buyers and arrivals in the domestic market. Despite, lower stocks of Jeera with other producers, buyers in the international market are closely monitoring prices of the Indian market as fresh arrivals will commence from the end of January. Pepper prices will depend on demand from the overseas and domestic market and fresh arrivals pattern in the physical market. Refined soy oil prices are expected to trade range bound amid subdued trading activity on lack of fresh fundamentals. The mustard seed futures are expected to recover from recent losses on short covering and moving in unison with strong soy market. Bullish USDA crop report is likely to render support to the market. However, gains could be limited on bumper crop expectation. Guar price is expected to improve due to increase in the fresh export enquires and trade in the range of Rs. 2600 and Rs. 2750 per quintal levels. Weather would be an important factor to be watched for as the final estimates on the Chana crop would mainly depend on the weather conditions during the crop development period.
MARKET WRAP FOR DAILY AGRI COMMODITY :- 21-01-2011
Turmeric up on depleting stocks
Pepper continues uptrend on fresh buying
Jeera gains on firm demand
Chana up on local demand
Guar gains on export
Soy oil reverses gains from contract high
Bulk buyers of Turmeric are not interested in buying as of now and they are expecting further decline in prices. Despite, lower stocks of Jeera with other producers, buyers in the international market are closely monitoring prices of the Indian market as fresh arrivals will commence from the end of January. Pepper prices will depend on demand from the overseas and domestic market and fresh arrivals pattern in the physical market. Indian traders are likely to buy futures anticipating lower import of soy oil in the near-term. The mustard seed futures are expected to recover from recent losses on short covering and moving in unison with strong soy market. Bullish USDA crop report is likely to render support to the market. However, gains could be limited on bumper crop expectation. Guar price is expected to improve due to increase in the fresh export enquirers and trade in the range of Rs. 2600 and Rs. 2750 per quintal levels. Weather would be an important factor to be watched for as the final estimates on the Chana crop would mainly depend on the weather conditions during the crop development period. Chana inventory is increasing which is currently around 14260 tons as on 18th January.
Turmeric price trend in the short term are likely to depend on the arrivals and demand from the overseas and domestic buyers. Despite, lower stocks of Jeera with other producers, buyers in the international market are closely monitoring prices of the Indian market as fresh arrivals will commence from the end of January. Indian Pepper prices are now competitive in international market and Vietnam crop is expected to hit the market by mid of March till then India has good export opportunity. Refined soy oil prices are expected to trade slightly higher on firm overseas market as dry weather concern in Argentina and lower production estimates of Malaysian palm oil. Decline in supply of the produce at major spot markets and active buying interest from gum manufacturers is likely to support the Guar prices. Weather would be an important factor to be watched for as the final estimates on the Chana crop would mainly depend on the weather conditions during the crop development period. Cardamom market is attracting late buyers & early shorts; market is vulnerable to a sharp correction but likely that correction will be brought creating a buy point for uptrend.
Turmeric price trend in the short term are likely to depend on the arrivals and demand from the overseas and domestic buyers. Despite, lower stocks of Jeera with other producers, buyers in the international market are closely monitoring prices of the Indian market as fresh arrivals will commence from the end of January. Indian Pepper prices are now competitive in international market and Vietnam crop is expected to hit the market by mid of March till then India has good export opportunity. Refined soy oil prices are expected to trade slightly higher on firm overseas market as dry weather concern in Argentina and lower production estimates of Malaysian palm oil. Decline in
supply of the produce at major spot markets and active buying interest from gum manufacturers is likely to support the Guar prices. Weather would be an important factor to be watched for as the final estimates on the Chana crop would mainly depend on the weather conditions during the crop development period. Cardamom market is attracting late buyers & early shorts; market is vulnerable to a sharp correction but likely that correction will be brought creating a buy point for uptrend
Bulk buyers are not interested in buying as of now and they are expecting further decline in prices. Despite, lower stocks of Jeera with other producers, buyers in the international market are closely monitoring prices of the Indian market as fresh arrivals will commence from the end of January. Indian Pepper prices are now competitive in international market and Vietnam crop is expected to hit the market by mid of March till then India has good export opportunity. Refined soy oil prices are expected to trade higher on firm overseas market as global shortage of edible oil couple with robust demand.. Decline in supply of the produce at major spot markets and active buying interest from gum manufacturers is likely to support the Guar prices. There are also reports of fresh demand from the domestic stockists since past few days. Weather would be an important factor to be watched for as the final Estimates on the Chana crop would mainly depend on the weather conditions during the crop development period. Cardamom is attracting late buyers & early shorts; market is vulnerable to a sharp correction but likely that correction will be brought creating a buy point for uptrend.
Mentha oil futures are expected to continue to trade range bound while fresh buying from lower levels can be seen. The soybean futures are forecast to trade on a negative note on speculative selling on report of improvement in weather condition in Argentina. Indian soy oil prices are down in line with Malaysian palm and weak trend in overseas market is likely to exert pressure on the market. The pepper futures are expected trade range bound while fresh buying at lower levels may support the prices. Chana prices may trade sideways to down due to profit booking by the market participants and off takes from the domestic stockists may also determine the prices. Turmeric prices are expected to be trade sideways to down due to expected improved arrivals and strong selling interest at futures may pull down the prices. However, prices might witness good recovery on short covering at lower levels. Price trend in the short term is likely to depend on the arrivals and demand from the overseas and domestic buyers.
The turmeric futures are expected to trade up while fresh buying at lower levels may support the prices. However, overall trend is likely to remain very sluggish due to arrival pressure at spot market. Pepper prices reversed back the direction on heavy selling. Increased arrivals at spot market further added to the down side. Pepper export during April- December was around 14000 tons down by 9% compared to 15425 tons during same period last year. For Chana, improving weather condition across the major producing areas is helping the new sown crop to recover and is exerting pressure on the markets. Minimal buying across the spot markets might keep the market biased towards down side. In Jeera, continued profit booking on previous gains may pressurize the prices. However, lower production forecast and limited stocks might reverse the trend on lower level buying. Jeera production in 2011 is expected to be around 20 Lakh bags (1.10 mt) against 25 Lakh bags (1.37 mt). Extended short selling may pull down the prices. Overall steady spot market activity might weigh on sentiments. However,prices are likely to witness recovery on short covering.
Soybean drop in demand for its derivatives led to a sharp decline in the prices. Soy tumbled on fear of government intervention to curtail rising food inflation. Mentha oil prices witnessed small recovery on short covering but failed to sustain the gains; Steady spot market activity in absences of fresh market cues might also weigh on sentiments. Cardamom prices reversed the trend on active selling and remained down and weak demand at spot market may further pressurize the prices. Daily total arrivals of Cardamom at different auctions were decline to 34,164 Kg. Weak demand at spot market may further pressurize the prices. Chana prices are down due to profit booking by the market participants on worries over subdued demand though recovering weather conditions during the last week are likely to help the crop to recover from the damage of the cold wave conditions. Jeera is bearish owing to fresh arrivals in the domestic mandi. Jeera prices will depend on the demand from the overseas and domestic buyers and fresh arrivals in the domestic mandis. Turmeric prices are down due to expected improved arrivals and dull trades at the domestic market.