November 17, 2010 (London session)
The euro is on a strong downtrend lately because of those resurfacing debt concerns, this time in Ireland. Last time I heard, there were increasing speculations about a huge bailout for that country. Then, I saw this descending
trend line on EUR/USD's 1-hour chart and noticed that it held for around a week and a half already. I'm hoping it'll still hold because I plan to join the euro-selling bandwagon. But I decided it'd be safer to wait for the
retracement first. That's why I drew the Fibonacci tool on the recent move. Then, I saw that the previous week low lined up with today's top daily ATR and the 38.2% Fibbonacci level.
Because of those reasons, here's the trade setup I came up with: Short EUR/USD at 1.3570, stop loss at 1.3600, lock in profits at yesterday's low of 1.3450.
Just a really simple setup. Please look at the graph I posted and see if I did it properly. Feedback, anyone?