Leverage Is a Double-edged Sword

Joe Ross

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The foundation of the forex industry is leverage. A few years ago we saw how LTCM used $4 billion to leverage over $1 trillion dollars in assets. George Soros used forex leverage to earn $1 billion dollars against the British pound.

On the other hand, this same forex leverage drove LTCM to the brink of bankruptcy and nearly caused worldwide financial meltdown. We also saw George Soros hit with a $2 billion dollar loss in the Russian ruble. When trading forex, leverage is not to be taken lightly.

Leverage is defined as "the use of investment capital in such a way that a relatively small amount of money enables a trader to control a relatively large value". In forex trading there are many instances when you can have leverage as high as 100:1, sometimes even higher. Putting up a few hundred dollars to have a position worth hundreds of thousands can definitely be worthwhile.

An important fact to remember is that, in forex, the money used to leverage a position does not have any intrinsic value. The margin is not a deposit on the actual position. Instead, it is considered "earnest" money, or a "good-faith" deposit .

In forex, the margin is a flat rate that helps put you in the game. This type of leverage can be terrifying for speculators.

Typical Over the Counter (OTC) leverage rules might look like this: You must put up a minimum margin of $1,000 per unit for accounts less than $25,000. Traders must maintain a balance $1,000 or 1% for each open unit.

Such an FX policy permits you to trade foreign currencies on a highly leveraged basis—up to 100 times your investment. An investment of $1,000 would enable you to trade up to $100,000 of a particular currency. A 50% loss in the value of the account, also known as a "draw down" in usable margin, will generate a margin call.

Typically, a speculator new to forex trading will initiate his first trade by getting as many contracts as possible, thereby over-leveraging his account. The greed demon has set in. It is no longer acceptable to get just $7 for every one pip move, it's better to get $70 or more for every one pip move.

Unfortunately, this behavior is not discouraged by the majority of brokerages. Instead, they fuel this greedy behavior. A broker or dealer is paid either on a commission basis or a pip spread, according to the number of contracts his client margins. So it's more profitable for the broker or dealer, at least in the short run, for the client to get as many positions as he can afford to take on margin.

This over-leveraging does a disservice to both the client and the broker. It exposes the client to too much risk at one time, and it forces brokerage to continually get new clients to trade. As a matter of fact, it is not unusual for the first trade a new speculator makes to go against him.

Disciplined speculators know to expect that every trade they take may work against them. That being the case, the disciplined speculator paces himself by investing a little at a time until he hits upon a successful trade.

As is to be expected, even the best trading systems that exist rarely have better than a fifty-percent success rate. Therefore, you must let leverage work for you, and not allow the demon of greed convince you to abuse it.
 
No sh!t. This is obvious even to a Noob.
A lot of fx bucket shops quote size in pounds or dollars per point.
So it's not hard to figure out your risk if the market goes 100 pips against you.
 
donald

It's not obvious to a noob.
The proof is in the number of noobs getting sucked in, just as Joe describes.

CR
 
donald

It's not obvious to a noob.
The proof is in the number of noobs getting sucked in, just as Joe describes.

CR

The two sided nature of leverage is obvious as soon as a trade goes against you, your P/L starts to flash big red numbers pretty quick.

What's not obvious to newbies is how hard it is to predict the market.
 
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First of all.. howdy and hook 'em Joe ;)

I agree whole-heartedly. Few traders have the discipline to keep their heads and keep it reasonable, particularly not after short-term success. It's not hard to grow up in the middle class and see stars in your eyes at the prospect of making thousands of dollars per day, but without the wisdom and discipline required the result is the same. The brokerages are well aware of human nature and exploit it to great advantage. Check the list of fastest growing companies in the US and note the amount of internet trading companies. A truly wise amateur investor invests in their stock rather than opening up a self-serve trading account.
 
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