Iran War and the Impact on Oil

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Trump is talking about moving on to Cuba and Greenland next...

Leave the administration behind him to clean up his mess...

Absolutely crazy madmen; trump and nethanyanu.

Who will say nuff to them, before they fluff up more than they already have.

Who needs Netflix when we have these two twits.
 



Washington Backs Iran Proposal: Strategic Shift or Major US Defeat?

Israel Furious as US-Iran Ceasefire Leaves Tel Aviv Out of Talks

Trump Forces Iran on Its Knees vs. Iran Drives Trump to the Wall


 












 













The US with no strategy; no objectives or exit routes, have totally been led by the Zionist and Jewish Lobby in the US, to pretty much beginning the start of the end of their super power status.

It is clear they have the means to destroy and kill, braking all international rules and order they them selves built after the second World War, and not build civilised democracies any longer.

The war some say may have cost them 5 Trillion if one includes cost of rebuilding infrastructures and bases that were built to control the oil. Moreover, they have lost control over oil and MORE IMPORTANTLY, the petro dollar standard that has allowed them to spend beyond means pushing their military power all over the place.

Iran has become another Vietnam for the US, and fortunately, one hopes this time they will not land troops otherwise they will simply be digging a deeper hole.

Russia and China have both come out considerably, stronger out of this war. NATO weakened (it is passed it's sell by date anyhow and I can't see it being invoked if another country other than US is ever attacked.

The rest of the World have been duffed up.

Nethanyanu, should be in jail along with Trump imho both for supporting and inflicting genocide and acts against humanity on civilians. When states start acting like terrorists and worst, then they are no longer states. Some proffessors even claim it is social and political injustice that breeds terrorists along with foreign goverments, who designate who are freedom fighters and who terrorists. However, a state must never act like a terrorist, indiscriminantly targeting civilians as collateral damage.

Listening to Al Jazeera, one health organisation academic, highlighted that one way of identifying these genocidal attrocities is to look at the number of civilian deaths in children and women.

In the Ukraine war it is apparently about 1% of all children and women deaths were committed by Russia.
In Gaza and Lebanon it is between 40 and 30% of all children and women deaths were committed by Israel.
It is clear in these statistics what may be termed collateral - unincidental deaths and which war deaths not. Despite the so called laser guided smart bomb technologies.

We should also look at figures for journalists and medical staff like doctors and nurses too. Along with schools and hospitals. They didn't quote these stats but I'm sure someone will sooner or later.

I recal condemnation of Russia was very severe indeed. Hypocrisy of the West never ceases to amaze me.

The language and headlines used describing the acts of US and the West, is so misleading in the MSM. None of this matters much, I'm beginning to think because the world has seen with their own eyes, and no matter how they portray the events of Trump's administration, the US in her lust for more oil and control, has pretty much signed her own demise with Zionists signature on their genocidal bombings of civilian targets.
 



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Mark Carney's words that Canadian ties with the US are their greatest weakness, certainly resonates loudly these days.

Alliance with the US these days is fast becoming a burden. Friend in need is a friend indeed. Trump needs to be educated on how NATO is supposed to work. That fab so called defensive alliance.

Trump is going to wave his tariff stick to any country that refuses to help or see their point of view, including those NATO countries.

Also, China has been reducing exposure to US Treasury Bonds and stockpiling gold. They are getting ready for the next big recession apparently. The petro dollar standard is under major threat that's for sure.

I fail to see how blocking the straits to Iranian friendly nations is going to help it win the war or reduce price of oil. More act of desperation then common sense imo.
 
Mark Carney's words that Canadian ties with the US are their greatest weakness, certainly resonates loudly these days.

Alliance with the US these days is fast becoming a burden. Friend in need is a friend indeed. . .
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal".
Henry Kissinger
 
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal".
Henry Kissinger
So true these days yes for sure.

Just heard Starmer said we will not be supporting the blockade. Prudent decision imho.

Egypt levy charges on the Suez canal.

US weoponises pretty much every international construction and bodies to inflict her national interest MAGA foreign policies on all other countries and surprised she thinks Iran is being irresponsible in controlling her national assets. Swift payment system, tariffs, embargoes and shipping blockades on Venezuela and Cuba. Demanding Panama Canal, Greenland and now Iran's oil for her self. Has this superpower with Trump's superman's super-ego reached their limits or do we have more to see.

I suspect the Artemis II trip round the moon was to observe the Chinese base they are building on the dark-side of the moon. So I'd hazard a guess US feeling a little left out will try and take the ownership of the moon to her self before China does.

Weird times we live in.

Apparently, oil prices likely to go up even higher after Trump's blockade and his blaming the Iranians. Let's think about this for one short second.


As mentioned before I honestly believe the American and Jewish people must stop Trump and Nethanyanu or they will both be consigned to chapters of history for their genocidal and mad dreams about making them selves GREATEST amongst so called Gods other creatures. There is something profoundly wrong in the spiritual sense but some twits actually buy this tripe.
 
So true these days yes for sure.

Just heard Starmer said we will not be supporting the blockade. Prudent decision imho.

Egypt levy charges on the Suez canal.

US weoponises pretty much every international construction and bodies to inflict her national interest MAGA foreign policies on all other countries and surprised she thinks Iran is being irresponsible in controlling her national assets. Swift payment system, tariffs, embargoes and shipping blockades on Venezuela and Cuba. Demanding Panama Canal, Greenland and now Iran's oil for her self. Has this superpower with Trump's superman's super-ego reached their limits or do we have more to see.

I suspect the Artemis II trip round the moon was to observe the Chinese base they are building on the dark-side of the moon. So I'd hazard a guess US feeling a little left out will try and take the ownership of the moon to her self before China does.

Weird times we live in.

Apparently, oil prices likely to go up even higher after Trump's blockade and his blaming the Iranians. Let's think about this for one short second.


As mentioned before I honestly believe the American and Jewish people must stop Trump and Nethanyanu or they will both be consigned to chapters of history for their genocidal and mad dreams about making them selves GREATEST amongst so called Gods other creatures. There is something profoundly wrong in the spiritual sense but some twits actually buy this tripe.
 







Trump, Iran, and Limits of Power: How Miscalculation Led to Strategic Failure




 
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Trump’s Blockade Challenged: China Sends Tanker Through Hormuz Undeterred

 

Not a single ship from Iran overcame US blockade, CENTCOM says







US blockade of Hormuz pertains to Iran-linked ships only, not strait itself — media


 


No Text, No Terms: How the US–Iran Ceasefire Became an Information War









 
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The Oil Trade
In the good ol' days of trading, an announcement would come out, say for example, non-farm payrolls on the first Friday of the month and, if the numbers were bad, the market either wouldn't move much or it may even rise. "Wtf" shout the newbies on here, perplexed as to why the market didn't tank on the bad news. Those in the know would explain how the market had already fctored the numbers in, long before their release. If it rose (on bad news), then this was likely due to the numbers not being quite as bad as the market feared they might be. What's all this got to do with the the Iran war and the price of Brent Crude? Allow me to explain . . .

One would have thought, that is to say I would have thought, that the market surely knows by now that Trump isn't playing with a full deck and that anything he says must be taken with a large pinch of salt. So, I am surprised by his ability (still) to manipulate the markets every which way. The massive sell-off on Friday came on the back of the news that Trump was ready to fly to Islamabad to sign a deal, the Strait of Hormuz being open for business and Israel and Lebanon getting on like a house on fire. (An unfortunate analogy perhaps - but you get the point.) Hats off to Trump, he and his cronies front running the market must be making a fortune.

Back in the real world, everyone knows that all of this positive talk is total BS. The facts on the ground haven't changed. That is to say, none of the demands of either side have been agreed to and the U.S. continues to flood the ME with military hardware and personel. Why do that if the war is as good as over and deals are about to be signed? A rhetorical question as the answer is obvious. Both Israel and the U.S. are currently worse off than they were before the war started, so they've little incentive to stop it. And, as their only option is to bomb, bomb, bomb - that's what they'll do. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results - but that's all they know how to do - supported by Pete Hegseth having one of his prayer meetings and quoting Samuel Jackson's epic rant from Pulp Fiction. So, when the two week ceasefire ends - if not before - expect more of the same from the U.S. and Israel.

Back to the oil trade. If you were stopped out by Friday's crash, fear not, as the market is now screaming BUY, BUY, BUY!!! (You can bet that Trump and his cronies have reversed their short positions from Friday.) Getting in at any price under $100 is good. In the coming weeks, it'll return to the $110 / $115 mark and, unless there really is some miraculous breakthrough in negotiations - it'll likely go much higher. All the predictions and targets made at the start and throughout this thread still hold true. As always, ignore what the politicians and MSM say, make your decisions based on their actions rather than their words. Daily chart of Brent Crude, below.

BRENT_2026-04-19_08-03-31.png
 
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